XMR is trading at about $618–637; Investing.com showed $629.52 at about 07:00 UTC. Sources disagree on the 24h change, from −3.1% to +0.5%, so it is roughly flat. The daily range was about $618–647. Monero barely moved while the broad market sold off. Key question: can XMR break the $646–658 resistance cluster?
Technicals
Moving averages: price is well above the 50-day SMA (~$568), the 100-day EMA (~$507) and the 200-day SMA (~$430).
RSI(14): 56–58, neutral with a positive tilt. The MACD histogram is slightly positive.
Resistance: $637–643 · $646–654 (day high, Fibonacci level) · $658 (late-October wick high) · $700–714
Support: $605–613 (7–20-day SMAs) · $583–586 (20-day EMA) · $554–568 (50-day) · $534
Fundamentals and on-chain
Regulation: the EU AMLR bars regulated providers from handling privacy coins from July 2027. Earlier delistings include Binance (EU), Kraken (EEA) and OKX. On Oct 24, Kraken dropped its source-of-funds questionnaire for XMR buyers and still supports the coin.
Hashrate: about 7.06 GH/s, ~94% of the January record. Three pools held about 60% of hashrate as of Oct 26, a concentration to watch. I found no current Qubic data.
FCMP++: still on stressnet. Version 3.1 (Oct 26) fixed a testnet inflation bug. There is no mainnet date; a tentative goal is spring 2027.
Liquidity: 24h volume was $161–192M.
Derivatives:
Open interest is about $397M on CoinGlass. Totals vary widely by source because of an outlier venue.
Liquidations were only ~$138K.
Median funding was about +0.01% per 8h on Oct 23.
Top news
Swap service Wagyu.xyz leaked off-chain order records. It was not a Monero protocol flaw.
FCMP++ stressnet testing continues after the v3.1 fixes.
Decibel listed XMR perpetuals with up to 5x leverage.
Funds from a reported $133M theft at Crédit Mutuel Arkéa were traced into XMR, per an AI-generated CMC summary that I could not verify.
Forecasts
🟢 Bullish, $658–700: a break above $654 and the $658 wick high opens $700.
⚪ Base, $585–654: a range above the short-term moving averages.
🔴 Bearish, $534–554: losing $583 sends XMR toward the 50-day MA and $534.
Analyst views
I found no views from named firms.
cryptonews.net: a November range of $554–627, with upside to $658 and risk to $534.
Coinpedia: resistance at $650/700, support at $570/535. It flags leverage risk.
Upcoming events
Fri Nov 6, 15:30: US October jobs report.
Tue Nov 10, 15:30: US October CPI.
No dated XMR-specific events found. FCMP++ stressnet updates are possible.
July 1, 2027: EU AMLR privacy-coin restrictions take effect.