FOGO: The 4h trend and the latest 15m directional balance are pulling apart.
🔴 SHORT
$FOGO /USDT · CRYPTO FUTURES
Status: Waiting for price to reclaim the zone.
Why this plan
The 4h trend supports the plan while 15m DI favors the opposite side; short-term alignment is still missing.
• 4h bearish EMA50/200 stack; 1h bearish.
• 1h RSI 46.2: supports SHORT.
The levels
Entry: 0.002313 – 0.002335
TP1: 0.002246 (-3.4% | 0.75R) [projection]
TP2: 0.002237 (-3.7% | 0.84R) [1h swing]
TP3: 0.002234 (-3.9% | 0.87R) [1h swing]
SL: 0.002428 (+4.5%) [1h swing]
Percentages/R: zone midpoint, before costs. Projections are not observed S/R.
TP1 net est. 0.54R at worst zone edge; fees 5 + slippage 2 bps/side. Funding excluded.
Main risk: 15m DI favors LONG; short-term timing has not aligned with the SHORT case.
Watch also: Confirmed 1h support at 0.002226 can interrupt progress toward later targets.
Entry review: Wait for price to reclaim the zone, then review a closed 15m candle; no confirmed entry.
Invalid: SL 0.002428, 4h loses SHORT, or 1h turns LONG.
If triggered: exit 50/25/25% at TP1/2/3; stop to entry after TP1 (before costs).
Updated 06 Nov 02:02 UTC | Expires 06 Nov 02:32 UTC
Conditional analysis · NFA · Manage risk.
🔴 SHORT
$FOGO /USDT · CRYPTO FUTURES
Status: Waiting for price to reclaim the zone.
Why this plan
The 4h trend supports the plan while 15m DI favors the opposite side; short-term alignment is still missing.
• 4h bearish EMA50/200 stack; 1h bearish.
• 1h RSI 46.2: supports SHORT.
The levels
Entry: 0.002313 – 0.002335
TP1: 0.002246 (-3.4% | 0.75R) [projection]
TP2: 0.002237 (-3.7% | 0.84R) [1h swing]
TP3: 0.002234 (-3.9% | 0.87R) [1h swing]
SL: 0.002428 (+4.5%) [1h swing]
Percentages/R: zone midpoint, before costs. Projections are not observed S/R.
TP1 net est. 0.54R at worst zone edge; fees 5 + slippage 2 bps/side. Funding excluded.
Main risk: 15m DI favors LONG; short-term timing has not aligned with the SHORT case.
Watch also: Confirmed 1h support at 0.002226 can interrupt progress toward later targets.
Entry review: Wait for price to reclaim the zone, then review a closed 15m candle; no confirmed entry.
Invalid: SL 0.002428, 4h loses SHORT, or 1h turns LONG.
If triggered: exit 50/25/25% at TP1/2/3; stop to entry after TP1 (before costs).
Updated 06 Nov 02:02 UTC | Expires 06 Nov 02:32 UTC
Conditional analysis · NFA · Manage risk.
