Quick probability check on $SPY for anyone still sweating Black Monday vibes: roughly 25% chance we touch 749.6 intraweek, but only ~10% odds of actually closing below it by Friday.
That's a meaningful gap. Intraweek dips get bought. A close below would signal something stickier — but the math says it's the less likely outcome. Watch how we handle that level if we get there.
That's a meaningful gap. Intraweek dips get bought. A close below would signal something stickier — but the math says it's the less likely outcome. Watch how we handle that level if we get there.