$BTC : The same principle applies to Bitcoin.
We must analyse Bitcoin’s entire price history to understand which previous cycle the current market is most likely to rhyme with — and, more importantly, why.
Instead of automatically assuming that Bitcoin must follow the 2018–2022 cycle, we need to examine the bigger picture and identify which historical structure best aligns with the current one.
That’s why assuming this bear market should last approximately one year simply because previous cycles did is, in my view, an arbitrary assumption without a complete structural analysis to support it.
This is exactly what I did a long time ago.
I analysed Bitcoin’s entire price history, comparing its larger structures, correction phases, and cycle durations rather than focusing on just one previous cycle.
My analysis points towards the current market rhyming with the prolonged 2013–2015 bear market, suggesting that this cycle could last well over a year.
The objective isn’t to force Bitcoin to repeat the most recent cycle. It’s to understand which historical pattern the current market structure most closely resembles.
History rhymes, but identifying the right rhyme requires analysing the entire history — not cherry-picking the cycle that fits your expectations.
We must analyse Bitcoin’s entire price history to understand which previous cycle the current market is most likely to rhyme with — and, more importantly, why.
Instead of automatically assuming that Bitcoin must follow the 2018–2022 cycle, we need to examine the bigger picture and identify which historical structure best aligns with the current one.
That’s why assuming this bear market should last approximately one year simply because previous cycles did is, in my view, an arbitrary assumption without a complete structural analysis to support it.
This is exactly what I did a long time ago.
I analysed Bitcoin’s entire price history, comparing its larger structures, correction phases, and cycle durations rather than focusing on just one previous cycle.
My analysis points towards the current market rhyming with the prolonged 2013–2015 bear market, suggesting that this cycle could last well over a year.
The objective isn’t to force Bitcoin to repeat the most recent cycle. It’s to understand which historical pattern the current market structure most closely resembles.
History rhymes, but identifying the right rhyme requires analysing the entire history — not cherry-picking the cycle that fits your expectations.