Analyst Matthew Hyland dropping a wild take: $BTC could run an 8-year cycle instead of the usual 4.
His thesis? Extended macro bearish conditions = stretched timelines.
Key levels:
• Need $350k+ to trigger a proper 70%+ bear
• Peak might not hit until 2028
This breaks the classic halving-driven 4-year model most degens trade on. If he's right, we're still early in this cycle and the real euphoria is years away.
Macro headwinds (rates, liquidity, geopolitics) could keep grinding price action sideways longer than expected. Patience might be the real alpha here.
Not saying he's right, but worth gaming out scenarios beyond the standard playbook.
His thesis? Extended macro bearish conditions = stretched timelines.
Key levels:
• Need $350k+ to trigger a proper 70%+ bear
• Peak might not hit until 2028
This breaks the classic halving-driven 4-year model most degens trade on. If he's right, we're still early in this cycle and the real euphoria is years away.
Macro headwinds (rates, liquidity, geopolitics) could keep grinding price action sideways longer than expected. Patience might be the real alpha here.
Not saying he's right, but worth gaming out scenarios beyond the standard playbook.