🚨 BREAKING: TRADERS BET ON THREE MORE FED HIKES - 75 BPS TIGHTENING COMING! 🚨
Market pricing hawkish Fed!
Derivative markets now pricing three more quarter-point rate hikes (+75 bps), starting December and ending June, per BMO Capital Markets & CME FedWatch. 2-year Treasury yield at 4.92% signals bond traders expect 3-4 more hikes in 12 months.
FORECAST TIMELINE:
Hike 1: Dec (Odds 44% rising after hot CPI 3.7%)
Hike 2: Early 2026
Hike 3: By March-June 2026
Current: 4.50% → Projected: 5.25%
DIVERGENCE: NY Fed's John Williams sees only ONE more hike in 2026, none in 2027 - at odds with futures markets betting on more tightening. Hot inflation (Core CPI 0.3% vs 0.2% expected) doubled Oct hike odds to 44%.
Money markets still price at least 3 hikes over next 12 months. S&P reaction -0.8% risk-off.
Is Fed about to crush crypto rally?
$BTC, $ETH, $SOL
#FederalReserve #FedHikes #InterestRates #Inflation #CryptoMarket#tradersbetonthreemorefedhikes
Market pricing hawkish Fed!
Derivative markets now pricing three more quarter-point rate hikes (+75 bps), starting December and ending June, per BMO Capital Markets & CME FedWatch. 2-year Treasury yield at 4.92% signals bond traders expect 3-4 more hikes in 12 months.
FORECAST TIMELINE:
Hike 1: Dec (Odds 44% rising after hot CPI 3.7%)
Hike 2: Early 2026
Hike 3: By March-June 2026
Current: 4.50% → Projected: 5.25%
DIVERGENCE: NY Fed's John Williams sees only ONE more hike in 2026, none in 2027 - at odds with futures markets betting on more tightening. Hot inflation (Core CPI 0.3% vs 0.2% expected) doubled Oct hike odds to 44%.
Money markets still price at least 3 hikes over next 12 months. S&P reaction -0.8% risk-off.
Is Fed about to crush crypto rally?
$BTC, $ETH, $SOL
#FederalReserve #FedHikes #InterestRates #Inflation #CryptoMarket#tradersbetonthreemorefedhikes