The S&P 500 bull run is now 4 years old, up 118% since the October 2022 low. That's faster than the average post-WWII bull market and ranks as the 3rd-best performance at this stage.
Year-by-year breakdown:
• Year 1: +21.6%
• Year 2: +33.7%
• Year 3: +12.7%
• Year 4: +19.4%
Historically, Year 5 has averaged +20.8% returns—the second-strongest year after the initial surge. Only 6 of the 13 previous bull markets even made it this far.
If the pattern holds, we're looking at another solid year ahead. But remember: past performance doesn't guarantee future results, and fewer than half of bull markets reach Year 5 at all.
Year-by-year breakdown:
• Year 1: +21.6%
• Year 2: +33.7%
• Year 3: +12.7%
• Year 4: +19.4%
Historically, Year 5 has averaged +20.8% returns—the second-strongest year after the initial surge. Only 6 of the 13 previous bull markets even made it this far.
If the pattern holds, we're looking at another solid year ahead. But remember: past performance doesn't guarantee future results, and fewer than half of bull markets reach Year 5 at all.