Yesterday I Called The $BTC Dump And It Happened… Today I'm Expecting A Possible Pump. Let's See If I'm Right Again 🚨
Derivatives are still mixed: futures CVD is around -13.1M, taker buy/sell ratio is 0.854, and orderbook deltas are negative. Sellers are still active, but OI has already dropped heavily during the dump.
Now look at spot flow 1H is +197 BTC and 4H is +757 BTC. That's a real improvement in short-term buying, even though daily large-wallet flow remains negative.
The heatmap shows liquidity around $82.9K-$83.3K, then $83.5K-$84K. If BTC breaks the first zone, short liquidations could help accelerate the move toward the next liquidity pocket.
👉 My bigger reason? Macro has improved compared with yesterday. Trump said the US won't attack Iran before the November elections, and talks were described as productive. Brent is down around 1.3% to $102.91 and WTI around 1.2% to $90.40 today. Yields also cooled from yesterday's highs, though they're still elevated.
If Iran agrees to de-escalation and Hormuz shipping reopens, conditions could improve much more.
And guys, around $1.84B in BTC options are expiring today, with max pain near $84K and a put/call ratio around 1.12. Expiry is coming up shortly. If BTC pushes through $83.3K and starts moving toward $84K, expiry-related hedging and short liquidations could add fuel to that move.
I'm slightly bullish short-term, but BTC already bounced from $80.3K to $82.5K, so part of the recovery has happened. I'm not chasing blindly. I'll watch the US market open: if BTC reclaims $83.3K with stronger buying, $84K becomes possible. A weekend recovery toward $85K is possible too, provided buying continues and we don't get fresh escalation.
Also guys, I opened a small $BNB long around $736, targeting $800, with my SL at $717. This is a position size I can comfortably afford to lose, so don't copy it blindly. If you're considering the same trade, manage your risk properly and keep an eye on BTC because a sudden BTC drop can put pressure on BNB too.
Derivatives are still mixed: futures CVD is around -13.1M, taker buy/sell ratio is 0.854, and orderbook deltas are negative. Sellers are still active, but OI has already dropped heavily during the dump.
Now look at spot flow 1H is +197 BTC and 4H is +757 BTC. That's a real improvement in short-term buying, even though daily large-wallet flow remains negative.
The heatmap shows liquidity around $82.9K-$83.3K, then $83.5K-$84K. If BTC breaks the first zone, short liquidations could help accelerate the move toward the next liquidity pocket.
👉 My bigger reason? Macro has improved compared with yesterday. Trump said the US won't attack Iran before the November elections, and talks were described as productive. Brent is down around 1.3% to $102.91 and WTI around 1.2% to $90.40 today. Yields also cooled from yesterday's highs, though they're still elevated.
If Iran agrees to de-escalation and Hormuz shipping reopens, conditions could improve much more.
And guys, around $1.84B in BTC options are expiring today, with max pain near $84K and a put/call ratio around 1.12. Expiry is coming up shortly. If BTC pushes through $83.3K and starts moving toward $84K, expiry-related hedging and short liquidations could add fuel to that move.
I'm slightly bullish short-term, but BTC already bounced from $80.3K to $82.5K, so part of the recovery has happened. I'm not chasing blindly. I'll watch the US market open: if BTC reclaims $83.3K with stronger buying, $84K becomes possible. A weekend recovery toward $85K is possible too, provided buying continues and we don't get fresh escalation.
Also guys, I opened a small $BNB long around $736, targeting $800, with my SL at $717. This is a position size I can comfortably afford to lose, so don't copy it blindly. If you're considering the same trade, manage your risk properly and keep an eye on BTC because a sudden BTC drop can put pressure on BNB too.