BTC short setup: the levels I'm watching

🔴 SHORT $BTC /USDT: expecting price to go DOWN
Bias: SHORT · Leaning

Entry: 81601.20 – 81741.80
TP1: 80629.79 (-1.3%)
TP2: 79935.31 (-2.1%)
TP3: 78893.60 (-3.4%)
SL: 83060.45 (+1.7%)
Plan: enter only inside the zone, take half at TP1, then move the stop to entry.
Caution: counter-trend setup against the bigger trend, only 4 signals confirm it. Size down, respect the stop.

Why SHORT? Leaning call, 4/12 signals agree, 1 against, 7 undecided.
• 1h trend: price < EMA50 < EMA200, bearish stack → the short-term trend is down
• Trend strength (ADX/DI, 15m): ADX 30.8 with sellers in control (DI+ 17.5 vs DI− 24.5) → sellers are driving the move
• 4h RSI: 31.2, bearish momentum (below 45) → sellers have the momentum
Risk: Daily trend: price > EMA50 > EMA200, bullish stack → the big-picture trend is up

The reasoning:
The daily trend reads bullish, and 4/12 signals aligned favour the short side. The plan is to work the 81601.20 – 81741.80 zone, scale out at 80629.79 and 79935.31, and stay patient for 78893.60. A move through 83060.45 means the idea is wrong and the stop does its job. This is a counter-trend bet against the higher-timeframe trend, so size down.

Does BTC tag 80629.79 first, or the stop?

Full setup on the chart below.

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