I'm bullish on stocks and crypto.

That doesn't mean a Black Swan can't happen tomorrow.

Black Swans are unpredictable by definition. Something breaks, markets panic, and nobody saw it coming.

If you predict a Black Swan every single day, eventually you'll be right.

That doesn't mean you were smart.

It means you stayed sidelined while everyone else made money.

Perma-bears can be right about the crash and still lose.
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