$1000CAT PLAN CLOSED A LOSS — TP1 MISSED BY 6.13% AND THAT STILL COUNTS AS A MISS
• Called 6 Sep at 0.00254 · spot 0.002269 (−10.67%)
Count so far: 2107 reached, 162 expired unhit — 92.86%. Missed ones are never deleted.
• The full ladder published on 6 Sep, graded 30 days later:
• TP1 0.0026035 — expired unhit · best price got was 0.002444, short by 6.13% · published hit rate 75.1%
• TP2 0.00268852 — expired unhit · best price got was 0.002444, short by 9.09% · published hit rate 50%
• TP3 0.00279181 — expired unhit · best price got was 0.002444, short by 12.46% · published hit rate 29.9%
• Invalidation SL 0.00220663 — reached, 13.12% under the call. That is the level the original post named as the point where it is wrong, and price went through it.
• Invalidation SL 0.00232888 — reached, 8.31% under the call. That is the level the original post named as the point where it is wrong, and price went through it.
• Invalidation SL 0.00241022 — reached, 5.11% under the call. That is the level the original post named as the point where it is wrong, and price went through it.
There is nothing to celebrate in this one. It is here because misses belong on the timeline too, in the same place the wins go.
• Levels come from historical quantiles, not forecasts. Not financial advice.
#1000CAT #CryptoTrading
• Called 6 Sep at 0.00254 · spot 0.002269 (−10.67%)
Count so far: 2107 reached, 162 expired unhit — 92.86%. Missed ones are never deleted.
• The full ladder published on 6 Sep, graded 30 days later:
• TP1 0.0026035 — expired unhit · best price got was 0.002444, short by 6.13% · published hit rate 75.1%
• TP2 0.00268852 — expired unhit · best price got was 0.002444, short by 9.09% · published hit rate 50%
• TP3 0.00279181 — expired unhit · best price got was 0.002444, short by 12.46% · published hit rate 29.9%
• Invalidation SL 0.00220663 — reached, 13.12% under the call. That is the level the original post named as the point where it is wrong, and price went through it.
• Invalidation SL 0.00232888 — reached, 8.31% under the call. That is the level the original post named as the point where it is wrong, and price went through it.
• Invalidation SL 0.00241022 — reached, 5.11% under the call. That is the level the original post named as the point where it is wrong, and price went through it.
There is nothing to celebrate in this one. It is here because misses belong on the timeline too, in the same place the wins go.
• Levels come from historical quantiles, not forecasts. Not financial advice.
#1000CAT #CryptoTrading
