⚡ Достигнут стоп сценария SHORT.
закрытие 0.0186 / уровень 0.0186 · объём 3.52× / ориентир 1.25×
📉 SHORT · $PLUME (PLUME/USDT) · downside scenario · context 15m, indicators 15m, trigger 5m
📍 Scenario: Premium zone unavailable; tracking a technical EMA50 retest.
📊 MARKET
💵 Price: $0.01895 · 1h +1.66% · 24h -10.36%.
💧 1h volume: $184,176.5357 · trades 2,977.
📊 M5 activity: volume $59,265.4842 · trades 570 · activity score 74/100.
📚 Order book ±1%: depth $123,848.4262 · spread 0.05%.
🛡️ DATA CHECKS AND MARKET TYPE
✅ Data audit: passed · 5m/15m closed-candle checks are passed.
✅ Market quality: passed.
🛡️ Risk assessment: BLOCKED · mandatory checks did not pass ❗
🏷️ Context: Spot analytical hypothesis; no short position is opened automatically.
🧭 TECHNICAL PICTURE
🧭 Trigger state: Premium zone unavailable; tracking a technical EMA50 retest ❗
📉 Structural downside breakout recorded.
🔎 Trigger checks:
↩️ Retest: no ❗
🕯️ 5m bearish close: no ❗
💧 Volume filter: not available · not passed ❗
🔵 Trigger level: $0.01864157.
🕯️ 5m candle context: confirmation is not available ❗
📉 SHORT context: EMA50 $0.01864157 · VWAP $0.01933701.
📊 Indicators:
〽️ EMA 21: $0.01857205 · price above
〽️ EMA 50: $0.01864157 · price above
〽️ EMA 200: $0.01869721 · price above
⚖️ VWAP: $0.01933701 · price below
🌡️ RSI 14: 49.9
🧱 STRUCTURE AND PD ARRAY
📐 24h dealing range: $0.01825–$0.0212 · EQ $0.019725 · price is in Discount.
🧱 No verified OB/BB/PD Array in the required range half ❗
💎 SHORT analysis uses the Premium half of the range; Discount alone does not strengthen a sell scenario. ❗
🎯 OBSERVATION PLAN
🔻 SHORT entry: a 5m close below $0.01864157 · confirmation pending.
🛑 SHORT stop/invalidation: a 5m close above $0.01866.
🎯 SHORT TP1 · 1R: $0.01862314 · theoretical level.
🏁 SHORT TP2 · 2R: $0.01860471 · theoretical level.
🧪 STATISTICS
📈 Confirmed downside impulses in 24h: 2.
🎲 Probability: no calibrated percentage yet; retest outcomes are still insufficient.
⚠️ Analytical draft only, not a trading recommendation or order. Verify levels on the chart and account for your own risk ❗
#PLUME #CryptoAnalysis #Earlyradar_onchain #RiskManagement #Binance_Square
