Recovery From the Lows
HBAR has staged a strong recovery from the multi-month low around $0.064, with the move initially helped by bullish RSI divergence at the lows.
Buying Volume Surges
Buying volume has increased significantly during the latest move higher. This gives the recovery more conviction and shows buyers have returned with considerably more strength.
Weekly EMAs Turn Bullish
The 21/8-week EMAs have now bullishly crossed. This is another positive development and adds weight to the improving medium-term picture.
RSI Reclaims 50
RSI has moved above 50 for the first time since July 2025, confirming a significant improvement in weekly momentum. StochRSI, however, is now overbought after the sharp rally.
Big Rejection at $0.1099
HBAR spiked as high as $0.13096 but was quickly sold back below the key $0.1099 resistance. That rejection shows sellers are still very active around this important structural level.
Bulls Still Need the Breakout
For me, a break and close above $0.1099 is still required to confirm a bullish weekly change of character. Until that happens, the primary structure hasn't fully turned despite the improving signals underneath.
Higher Levels Come Into Play
If bulls can eventually confirm the breakout, attention can begin shifting towards the 0.618 Fib around $0.16035. Above there, the 0.786 Fib sits around $0.18647.
In Summary
HBAR’s weekly picture has improved considerably, with increased buying volume, a bullish 21/8-week EMA cross and RSI finally back above 50. However, the rejection after spiking through $0.1099 shows the main battle is far from won. For me, a break and close above that level is still needed to confirm a bullish change of character. Until then, the recovery looks promising, but resistance remains firmly in play.
