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Bitcoin just flashed a signal that has appeared only four times before.
CryptoQuant contributor Darkfost says the latest crossover happened when Bitcoin’s short-term holder cost basis moved above the cost basis of active long-term holders.
The previous signals appeared in 2012, 2015, 2019 and 2023.
What makes this interesting is the context. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $2.06B in net inflows from Sept. 21–23, including a massive $999M on Sept. 21.
Still, one signal doesn’t guarantee anything. The analyst himself points out there is always a margin for error.
For me, the bigger question is whether this crossover is the start of another sustained cycle or simply another temporary shift in holder behavior.
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📈 LONG setup — confirmation ke baad Entry: 8.715–8.725 ke upar 15m candle close SL: 8.690 TP1: 8.750 TP2: 8.780 TP3: 8.820 📉 SHORT setup — agar resistance reject ho Agar 8.712–8.730 se strong rejection aaye aur price 8.690 ke neeche 15m close kare: Entry: 8.685–8.690 SL: 8.715 TP1: 8.660 TP2: 8.640
$AAVE
📉 SHORT setup 153.55 ke neeche 15m candle close mile to: Entry: 153.50–153.55 SL: 154.40 TP1: 153.30 TP2: 152.80 TP3: 152.20 📈 LONG setup Long ke liye pehle 154.40 ke upar 15m candle close ka confirmation: Entry: 154.40–154.50 SL: 153.90 TP1: 155.00 TP2: 155.50 TP3: 156.00
$龙虾
📈 LONG SETUP — 15M Chart Current Price: 0.109410 Long Entry: 0.11335 ke upar 15-minute candle close hone ke baad Stop Loss (SL): 0.10920 TP1: 0.11550 TP2: 0.11800 TP3: 0.12100
📉 SHORT setup — confirmation ke baad 0.10920 ke neeche 15m candle close mile to: Entry: 0.1090–0.1092 SL: 0.1120 TP1: 0.1070 TP2: 0.1050 TP3: 0.1025
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