XRP Ledger released "xrpld" 3.4.0 on September 16, adding LendingProtocolV1_1 with closed-ended vaults and cash-basis accounting, yet XRP is still around $1.3198, versus $1.4895 on September 14 and a September 16 low of $1.2516. Meanwhile, U.S. spot XRP ETFs had accumulated more than $1.5B of inflows by early March, with over 769M XRP in custody, but XRP remains down about 6.6% over seven days.

That divergence is the tell: network functionality and institutional access are advancing faster than price confirmation. This is a watch, not a confident long or short. Ripple also stated on September 15 that the failed Senate vote on the Clarity Act did not change XRP's established legal status, separating that regulatory development from the current price weakness.

For XRP/USDT, $1.4909 is the confirmation level, reclaiming this week's high. $1.2516 is the immediate support, defined by the September 16 low. A confirmed break below it puts $1.20 back on the line, a level that previously acted as a major breakout reference in June.

Timeframe: next 1-2 weeks, while 3.4.0 adoption develops following the September 16 release.

A daily close below $1.2516 invalidates this watch setup. Broad-market strength could lift XRP without improving XRP-specific demand.

$XRP