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Oil
Commodity analysts at Standard Chartered expect oil prices to remain supported at elevated levels, given the ongoing standoff between the United States and Iran and escalating physical risks to crude exports from the Gulf region—despite a recent dip in prices amid signs that some supply pressures might ease.
The bank noted that the postponement of a scheduled diplomatic meeting between Iran and Gulf states regarding commercial shipping through the Strait of Hormuz has dashed near-term hopes for de-escalation. Persistent disagreements among Arab nations regarding the meeting further ensure that geopolitical risks remain a key factor in oil pricing.
Standard Chartered believes that the damage sustained by the Saudi East-West oil pipeline significantly heightens near-term risks to crude exports, as the primary alternative route to the port of Yanbu is expected to remain largely out of service for several weeks. The pipeline is particularly significant as it provides Saudi Arabia with a route to export oil to the Red Sea, bypassing the Strait of Hormuz.