FOMC September: The Fed Is About to Test the Market

This week could be a serious volatility event for BTC, tech stocks, and gold. With August core CPI rising 0.3% month-over-month and markets pricing in roughly a 90% chance of a 25bp rate hike, the big question is no longer just “Will the Fed hike?” it’s “What happens after the hike?”

A 25bp increase could initially put pressure on BTC and tech stocks as yields and the dollar move higher. Gold may also see short-term weakness. But if the Fed signals that this is a one-off move rather than the beginning of a long hiking cycle, risk assets could quickly recover.

My strategy is simple: I’m not chasing the first FOMC candle. I’ll watch BTC’s reaction after the announcement and look for confirmation before taking a larger position.

One thing is clear: volatility is coming. The real opportunity may appear after the first market reaction.

What are you watching BTC, tech stocks, or gold?

#FedRateWatch

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