FOMC September 16-17: Why The Fed Is FORCED To Cut Rates? My Analysis
The Federal Reserve is facing a tough choice this September.
According to Reuters poll on Sep 11, almost all 107 economists expect the Fed to cut its key rate by 25 basis points on September 17, as labor market softness is now overshadowing inflation risks.
This view is supported by Fed Governor Waller, who said he would support a 25 basis point cut at the upcoming September 16-17 meeting and fully expects more cuts over next 3-6 months to reach neutral rate.
What's the real driver?
It is not inflation. It is jobs. Jobless claims are rising, hiring is slowing, and the Fed knows if it waits too long, the labor market could deteriorate quickly.
What it means for Crypto?
A 25bps cut alone will not start altseason. The market has already priced in a 62% probability. The real volatility will come from:
The Dot Plot - Will Fed show 1 more cut or 2 cuts in 2026?Powell's press conference - Dovish = $BTC breaks $71k, Hawkish = rejection to $65k.Liquidity - Rate cuts mean more money flow into risk assets in Q4.
My strategy is simple: I am not entering any new leverage position before FOMC. I will wait for Powell to speak at 2:30 PM ET. Risk management first.
This is not financial advice. Do your own research.
What is your expectation for Powell's tone tomorrow? Dovish or Hawkish?
#FOMC #FederalReserve #Bitcoin#fedratewatch
The Federal Reserve is facing a tough choice this September.
According to Reuters poll on Sep 11, almost all 107 economists expect the Fed to cut its key rate by 25 basis points on September 17, as labor market softness is now overshadowing inflation risks.
This view is supported by Fed Governor Waller, who said he would support a 25 basis point cut at the upcoming September 16-17 meeting and fully expects more cuts over next 3-6 months to reach neutral rate.
What's the real driver?
It is not inflation. It is jobs. Jobless claims are rising, hiring is slowing, and the Fed knows if it waits too long, the labor market could deteriorate quickly.
What it means for Crypto?
A 25bps cut alone will not start altseason. The market has already priced in a 62% probability. The real volatility will come from:
The Dot Plot - Will Fed show 1 more cut or 2 cuts in 2026?Powell's press conference - Dovish = $BTC breaks $71k, Hawkish = rejection to $65k.Liquidity - Rate cuts mean more money flow into risk assets in Q4.
My strategy is simple: I am not entering any new leverage position before FOMC. I will wait for Powell to speak at 2:30 PM ET. Risk management first.
This is not financial advice. Do your own research.
What is your expectation for Powell's tone tomorrow? Dovish or Hawkish?
#FOMC #FederalReserve #Bitcoin#fedratewatch
