9.15｜BTC & ETH Morning Session Outlook
The FOMC-day strategy is straightforward: favor shorts at higher levels and avoid chasing longs before the decision.
$BTC is around $77.8K–$78.2K after Monday’s move from $76.4K to $79.6K before pulling back. The key risk isn’t the hike itself, as a 25 bps move is largely priced in. Markets are still betting on a “hawkish-to-dovish” shift afterward, while funding remains positive. The bigger risk is a more hawkish dot plot than expected.
$ETH is near $2,515, moving with BTC after reaching around $2,600 before pulling back.
Tonight’s key catalysts are tomorrow’s FOMC decision and dot plot, alongside today’s CLARITY procedural vote. If the statement confirms a 25 bps hike while the dot plot turns more hawkish, BTC could retest $76K, with $74.5K–$73K also possible.
Current strategy:
BTC: short around $78.8K–$79.8K, targets $76K–$74.5K
ETH: short around $2,560–$2,620, targets $2,480–$2,420
If BTC breaks and holds above $80K with strong volume, the short setup is invalidated. Never fight the trend.
What do you think? After the decision, does BTC test $76K first or break above $80K directly?
#本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？
#OKX星球话题来啦
The FOMC-day strategy is straightforward: favor shorts at higher levels and avoid chasing longs before the decision.
$BTC is around $77.8K–$78.2K after Monday’s move from $76.4K to $79.6K before pulling back. The key risk isn’t the hike itself, as a 25 bps move is largely priced in. Markets are still betting on a “hawkish-to-dovish” shift afterward, while funding remains positive. The bigger risk is a more hawkish dot plot than expected.
$ETH is near $2,515, moving with BTC after reaching around $2,600 before pulling back.
Tonight’s key catalysts are tomorrow’s FOMC decision and dot plot, alongside today’s CLARITY procedural vote. If the statement confirms a 25 bps hike while the dot plot turns more hawkish, BTC could retest $76K, with $74.5K–$73K also possible.
Current strategy:
BTC: short around $78.8K–$79.8K, targets $76K–$74.5K
ETH: short around $2,560–$2,620, targets $2,480–$2,420
If BTC breaks and holds above $80K with strong volume, the short setup is invalidated. Never fight the trend.
What do you think? After the decision, does BTC test $76K first or break above $80K directly?
#本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？
#OKX星球话题来啦