Market narrative vs. reality check:

Consensus says gold's down because the oil spike forces nations to liquidate reserves. Consensus also says China's most exposed to US-Iran moves.

Meanwhile: China just bought the most gold in 3 years — even as prices rallied.

Actions speak louder than narratives. When a major central bank is accumulating aggressively into strength, that tells you something about their long-term view on dollar alternatives and reserve diversification. Not panic selling — strategic buying.

Watch what they do, not what the headlines say they should do.