Today CPI report could be more than just another economic release.
My focus is on core CPI.
If the core number shows continued progress, the market may interpret that as evidence that underlying inflation is cooling.
That could be constructive for stocks, gold, and crypto.
But if core inflation comes in significantly hotter, I would expect volatility to increase as traders reassess rates Treasury yields, and the dollar.
The important distinction is between temporary inflation and persistent inflation.
Higher energy prices can lift the headline CPI number but that does not automatically mean the entire inflation picture is getting worse.
A cool CPI could support risk sentiment and potentially benefit stock gold and crypto.
A hot core reading could strengthen the dollar lift yields and create pressure on risk assets. My bias is to stay patient until the data confirms the story.
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