The $VIX is cruising through one of its quietest Augusts since 2018.
But here's the thing: September 2018 was even calmer. Dead calm. Then October hit and the $VIX ripped +100% in a single month.
Small sample, sure. But if you're trading volatility or hedging tech positions, this setup matters. Calm breeds complacency. Complacency breeds explosions.
Watch for catalysts: Fed pivots, macro surprises, AI earnings misses, anything that breaks the sleepy tape. If you're long high-beta AI names or momentum tech, consider cheap tail hedges or short-dated $VIX calls as asymmetric protection.
History doesn't repeat, but it rhymes. And right now, it's whispering.
But here's the thing: September 2018 was even calmer. Dead calm. Then October hit and the $VIX ripped +100% in a single month.
Small sample, sure. But if you're trading volatility or hedging tech positions, this setup matters. Calm breeds complacency. Complacency breeds explosions.
Watch for catalysts: Fed pivots, macro surprises, AI earnings misses, anything that breaks the sleepy tape. If you're long high-beta AI names or momentum tech, consider cheap tail hedges or short-dated $VIX calls as asymmetric protection.
History doesn't repeat, but it rhymes. And right now, it's whispering.