Your gas receipt is basically a geopolitical incident report now.

Three of the four big global refining hubs are in trouble at the same time. Middle East refineries getting bombed, Russia's getting drone-striked (40% capacity offline), China hoarding its own fuel. So the whole load falls on US Gulf Coast refiners grinding overtime and making bank.

Diesel margins just hit ATH. Diesel up 48% YoY, jet fuel up 70%+, gas sitting at $4.07/gal — 30% higher than last summer.

Diesel's the one to watch. It's not just your pump price. It's in your groceries, your packages, anything that touched a truck.

Bob McNally (former Bush energy advisor) told CNN straight: either Iran taps out or the president does. Couldn't call which happens first.

This is the kind of macro setup that bleeds into everything. Including risk assets.