The plan was simple: wait for the planned zone, define the risk, let the reaction do the rest. No chasing the first candle.
How it played out: - Entry zone 0.316986–0.31812 filled right at the post - TP1 0.313472 hit ~2h45m after entry - TP2 0.310752 hit ~6h45m after entry - TP3 0.306671 hit ~8h after entry - Worst move against: 1.43%, SL 0.324354 untouched
NFA · DYOR
509 Jony Dong
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Падение
Short $XTZ : sellers must defend 0.3170–0.3181 on the 4H
This is a fade against the trend, so my line is tight. I'm watching for a rejection here, not acceptance above it.
What I'm seeing: - 4H price 0.318 above EMA50 0.312, so this fade needs the stop to hold - Risk 2.2% to SL vs 3.4% to TP3, about 1.6R if it plays out - 1H RSI 56, momentum neutral with room to roll over
$DASH short: price sits at 48.9, the line sellers must defend on the 4H.
Reject 48.9 → 47.7, then 47.1. Reclaim 49.8 → the idea is off the table. I wait for the reaction here before I decide anything.
Why it's on my radar: - 4H price 48.8 below EMA50 50.9, trend structure still favors sellers - Risk 2.1% to SL vs 3.4% to TP3, about 1.6R if the full move plays out - 1H RSI 43, momentum neutral and room to roll over
Short $CAP : sellers need to hold 0.0720–0.0724 on the 4H 👀
Price sits at 0.0722, still under the 4H EMA50. I want to see sellers lean on this zone, not step aside. Above 0.0750 and I drop the idea.
What I'm seeing: - 4H price 0.0722 below EMA50 0.0811, trend structure still favors sellers - Risk 3.9% to SL vs 6.1% to TP3, about 1.6R if the full move plays out - BTC short-term trend bearish, a tailwind for this idea
$ZEC short: 1156 is the line on the 4H. 1077 next. 1199 breaks, I'm out of the idea.
What I'm seeing: - 4H price 1152 below EMA50 1223, so trend structure still favors sellers - Risk 4.1% to SL vs 6.5% to TP3, about 1.6R if the full move plays out
$APT short: price sits at 0.843, the line on the 4H.
Reject 0.843 → 0.811, then 0.793. Reclaim 0.870 → the idea is off the table. I want to see sellers step in here, not let it run.
The read: - Risk 3.5% to SL vs 5.6% to TP3, about 1.6R if the full move plays out - BTC short-term trend bearish, a tailwind for this idea - 1H RSI 47: momentum neutral, room to roll over
Sellers have to defend this zone. I want to see a rejection here, not a push through it. Below 1.81 my eyes go to 1.76.
What I'm seeing: - 4H price 1.80 below EMA50 2.05, trend structure still favors sellers - Risk 3.6% to SL vs 5.9% to TP3, about 1.6R if the full move plays out - BTC short-term trend bearish, a tailwind for this idea
The price moved smoothly from the entry zone, with momentum building as the RSI climbed from 50 to 68. This steady advance led to hitting TP2, reflecting the strength of the trade.
The path: - Entry zone 1.9083–1.9253 filled right at the post - TP1 1.9904 hit ~5h after entry - TP2 2.0395 hit ~7h30m after entry - Worst move against: 6.05%, SL 1.7941 untouched - TP3 2.1131 still open
NFA · DYOR
509 Jony Dong
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Рост
$BTW long setup: support at 1.908–1.925 on the 4H
This zone needs to hold for buyers to stay in control. I'm watching for their defense here to avoid chasing higher prices.
Why this level: - 4H price at 1.92 above EMA50 at 1.81, trend favors buyers - Risk 6.4% to SL vs 10.3% to TP3, good risk-reward - BTC short-term trend bullish, adds a tailwind
Short $LINK : price at 12.4, a deciding level for sellers. 👀
Reject 12.4 → 12.2, then 12.0. Reclaim 12.6 → the idea is off the table. I'm watching for sellers to step in and defend this level.
What I'm seeing: - 4H price at 12.4 below EMA50 at 12.8, trend favors sellers - BTC short-term trend bearish, adds pressure on LINK - 1H RSI at 45, indicating neutral momentum, room to roll over
$TUT long setup: watching 0.01988–0.01993 on the 4H
This zone is where buyers need to step in. A bounce here would show strength, but a break below 0.0195 invalidates.
Why this level: - 4H price at 0.0199 is below EMA50 at 0.0212; bounce under trend is critical. - Risk 2.1% to stop for 3.3% to TP3 offers a favorable risk-to-reward setup. - 1H RSI at 40 indicates momentum is neutral, allowing for a possible recovery.
Short $XTZ : sellers must defend 0.3170–0.3181 on the 4H
This is a fade against the trend, so my line is tight. I'm watching for a rejection here, not acceptance above it.
What I'm seeing: - 4H price 0.318 above EMA50 0.312, so this fade needs the stop to hold - Risk 2.2% to SL vs 3.4% to TP3, about 1.6R if it plays out - 1H RSI 56, momentum neutral with room to roll over
This zone is where sellers need to step in. I'd rather wait for a rejection than chase green candles.
Why it's on my radar: - 4H price at 0.139 is above EMA50 at 0.137, a fade against the trend - 1H RSI at 55 shows neutral momentum, still room to roll over - 65% of accounts long, the crowd is leaning in the wrong direction
66% of accounts are long on $1000PEPE : defend 0.00408 on the 4H
If buyers hold 0.00408, we target 0.00412 and higher. Break 0.00402, and the support fails, flipping sentiment.
What backs it: - Daily trend is up, supporting the long side. - Risk 1.6% to SL vs 2.6% to TP3 for a decent R. - 4H price at 0.00408 below EMA50, a bounce attempt to watch.
How it played out: - Entry zone 0.331–0.333 filled right at the post - TP1 0.32 hit ~4h45m after entry - Worst move against: 3.77%, SL 0.352 untouched - TP2 0.312 still open
Price moved 3.61% in our favor while RSI cooled from 50 near entry to 44 at the target. Patience through the entry zone matters more than chasing the first candle.
NFA · DYOR
509 Jony Dong
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Падение
$PONS short: 0.333 is the line, 0.300 next. 0.352 breaks, I drop the idea. 👀
The read: - 4H price 0.332 sits below EMA50 0.357, so structure still favors sellers - Risk 6.0% to SL vs 9.6% to TP3, about 1.6R if the full move plays out
Short $ONE : sellers defend 0.00154 on the 4H. 0.00149 next. 0.00157 breaks, I drop the idea. 👀
The read: - 4H price 0.00154 below EMA50 0.00184, trend structure still favors sellers - Risk 1.9% to SL vs 3.2% to TP3, about 1.7R if the full move plays out
This zone needs to hold for buyers to stay in control. I'm watching for their defense here to avoid chasing higher prices.
Why this level: - 4H price at 1.92 above EMA50 at 1.81, trend favors buyers - Risk 6.4% to SL vs 10.3% to TP3, good risk-reward - BTC short-term trend bullish, adds a tailwind
$ENA long: price at 0.2034–0.2044 on the 4H. 0.203 holds, 0.216 next. 0.196 breaks, I'm out of the idea.
What backs it: - 4H price at 0.204 below EMA50 at 0.215, bounce attempt under the trend. - Daily above EMA200 at 0.147, the bigger trend is on the buyers' side.
Buyers need to hold this area. It's a bounce attempt under the downtrend. I wait for their defense.
What backs it: - 4H price at 0.00435 is below EMA50 at 0.00471, so the stop matters. - BTC short-term trend bullish; this could help FOGO's bounce. - Risk 4.3% to SL vs 6.9% to TP3, offering about 1.6R if the move plays out.
$PONS short: 0.333 is the line, 0.300 next. 0.352 breaks, I drop the idea. 👀
The read: - 4H price 0.332 sits below EMA50 0.357, so structure still favors sellers - Risk 6.0% to SL vs 9.6% to TP3, about 1.6R if the full move plays out