Must read about $BTC
Посты
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mkeshari
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Рост$BTC
Bears are celebrating sub-50k targets again.
I think many of them are about to get left behind.
My view remains: BTC has been in a bear market since December 2024, and that bear market is now likely entering its final stage.
In prior cycles, BTC moved roughly 15-20% below the previous cycle ATH before bottoming. We are now trading in that historical range.
BTC also tended to bounce shortly after trading below the previous cycle POC. Again, we are there now.
Add the declining volume across the 2021 and 2024/2025 distribution zones, and the picture becomes clear to me:
This looks like late-stage capitulation, not the beginning of a fresh bear market.
Yes, lower wave counts are technically valid. But for me, they fight too many higher-timeframe datapoints, e.g. miner production cost, cycle POC reactions and bullish divergence on the weekly.
The WXY structure also looks familiar:
Maximum liquidity grab. Maximum fear. Maximum disbelief.
CT still trades this market like it is 2018.
It is not.
Institutions are here. Market structure has changed. BTC has matured.
My base case:
Bear market basically over. Final capitulation underway.
Don’t fade these times.
Always ask yourself:
If everyone is selling, who is buying?
Institutions.
And once they are done accumulating, you already know where the next liquidity pool is: Higher.
Bears are celebrating sub-50k targets again.
I think many of them are about to get left behind.
My view remains: BTC has been in a bear market since December 2024, and that bear market is now likely entering its final stage.
In prior cycles, BTC moved roughly 15-20% below the previous cycle ATH before bottoming. We are now trading in that historical range.
BTC also tended to bounce shortly after trading below the previous cycle POC. Again, we are there now.
Add the declining volume across the 2021 and 2024/2025 distribution zones, and the picture becomes clear to me:
This looks like late-stage capitulation, not the beginning of a fresh bear market.
Yes, lower wave counts are technically valid. But for me, they fight too many higher-timeframe datapoints, e.g. miner production cost, cycle POC reactions and bullish divergence on the weekly.
The WXY structure also looks familiar:
Maximum liquidity grab. Maximum fear. Maximum disbelief.
CT still trades this market like it is 2018.
It is not.
Institutions are here. Market structure has changed. BTC has matured.
My base case:
Bear market basically over. Final capitulation underway.
Don’t fade these times.
Always ask yourself:
If everyone is selling, who is buying?
Institutions.
And once they are done accumulating, you already know where the next liquidity pool is: Higher.
Отказ от ответственности. Содержит мнения третьих сторон. Не является рекомендацией. Binance AI не предоставляет гарантий. См. Правила и условия.