📍 #BTC Technical Analysis (2025/11/30)
BTC 【1D】
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【Summary】
Trend: Strong Bearish
Why: Daily close stays below EMA9 and EMA21 and under the key 99,005 level, with only a weak bounce inside the 88,400～99,000 band and bearish MACD/RSI/DMI.
Strategy:
• Plan: Fade bounces into 【99,005～112,603】 with layered short entries, treating the move as a relief rally.
• Size: 70% passive sell limits / 30% add-on on breakdowns.
• Invalid: Daily close back above 【112,603】 invalidates the short swing.
🛑 Short Setup:
• SL: 113,000
• Zone: 99,000 ~ 112,000
• Breakdown: Daily close below 【88,403】
• TP: First target 【88,403】; second target 【74,806】
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BTC 【4H】
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【Summary】
Trend: Medium Bullish
Why: 4H closes above EMA9, EMA21 and the 87,824 pivot zone, with rising anchored VWAP and MACD histogram turning positive, signaling a rebound leg within the higher timeframe downtrend.
Strategy:
• Plan: Buy pullbacks into 【88,000～90,000】 and add on a confirmed breakout above 【95,049】.
• Size: 60% scale-in on dips / 40% breakout add-on.
• Invalid: 4H close back below 【87,824】 or under the anchored VWAP.
🟢 Long Setup:
• SL: 84,000
• Zone: 88,000 ~ 90,000
• Breakout: 95,049
• TP: 【99,005】 then 【103,267】, extended target 【110,492】
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BTC 【1H】
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【Summary】
Trend: Range
Why: Price is chopping around 90,708 with EMA9, EMA21 and EMA200 clustered, and flat MACD/RSI, forming an intraday consolidation inside the 4H rebound.
Strategy:
• Plan: Only scalp the 【89,697～91,806】 range; avoid chasing breakouts with large size.
• Size: Max 20% of capital for intraday range trades; keep the rest for higher timeframe setups.
• Invalid: 1H close below 【89,239】 or a sustained close above 【91,806】 breaks the range and cancels this play.
