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This is the Bitcoin Situation for the Next 3 Years

Since last August I warned that the $108,000 level could not be lost in Bitcoin or else we entered a bearish cycle and it was going to be hard.

I am not a guru nor do I have a crystal ball.

But I try to get informed and I dedicate a lot of time to understanding what a Halving is. I understand mining costs. I understand staking. I understand leverage.

But above all we need to understand how all this leads us to CYCLES.

This chart is very powerful for understanding Bitcoin.

Each line is a cycle since its Halving. This event happens every 4 years.

The first cycle (the blue one) made the high somewhat earlier but the following cycles have made their highs at the same moment. All the lows have happened one year after reaching this high.

This last cycle (the strong yellow one) looks smaller and this is not a coincidence. Notice that each cycle is smaller than the previous one.

And this makes sense.

Bitcoin cycles are INFLATIONARY AND LOGARITHMIC.

Inflationary and logarithmic?

This is vital. Let me translate it for you.

Bitcoin should follow inflation because it is a finite asset like gold or real estate in certain areas.

Easy but logarithmic?

This is something you can't IGNORE anymore.

🤔 Bitcoin cycles go up less every time.

One reason is that the more an asset capitalizes the more it costs to keep it going up. Money in the world is finite and therefore when something capitalizes billions it starts to be complicated to make it grow in a faster rate than inflation.

But you must also know that in the Halvings the rewards to miners are reduced.

At the beginning this meant a beastly reduction of many BTCs which drove the price very high. But now the reward is barely reduced by 3 or 1 BTC so the price cannot rise at the same pace.

If we pay attention to previous cycles Bitcoin will keep falling in 2026 until the end of the year before starting a recovery. This is the most likely scenario right now.

So much for Bitcoin theory so let us go to the practical part.

🚀 Where will this low happen?

I do not know and nobody knows but we have clues.

In each of the cycles we have seen the price retreat from highs.

And a lot.

The first cycle down 85%
The second down 80%
The third down 75%

And now?

Maybe 70%? It could be. It is just an approximation.

This last drop to $60,000 is already a great milestone as the price has corrected 50% but in previous cycles we see that the best is still to come. It can fall another 50% down to $30k or $40k to meet the levels close to 70% correction which would seem plausible based on previous behavior.

In terms of price it seems there is a gap to fill and in terms of time it is even better.

Correction time of first cycle is 12 months
Correction time of second cycle is 12 months
Correction time of third cycle is 12 months

If this fourth cycle lasts the same as the previous ones we will be talking about seeing the moment of maximum pain in October 2026.

That is the moment where we will all say that $BTC is going to 0.

Who knows.

But, if we start accumulating in the $60k zone and save some money for the $30-40k area, we could easily average a $50k position during 2026.

After three years we should be at the next cycle peak which following a logarithmic progression could be somewhat higher than these last $120k (current cycle peak).

Let us assume $150k. (Which is a number I get from the serie of previous rallies, but there is too much math for today)

We are talking about selling the investment for triple the price in 3 years. That is a return that is not bad at all.

The risk is total. I go without a Stop Loss. It is aspirational investment and in no case is it capital protection.

And while we wait for the price to reach the right zone to keep buying, you could also make a quick trade to catch the next 10% rally.

👇 WANT MORE?

🚀 Hit the rocket, read my profile and follow so we can find each other again.
#BTC #bitcoin #TrendingTopic

Since the genesis block was mined in January 2009, the identity of Bitcoin’s creator, Satoshi Nakamoto, has remained one of the most enduring mysteries in finance. According to the Bitcoin whitepaper, Nakamoto planned for Bitcoin to exist as a decentralized entity without a leader. However, the vacuum created by the Bitcoin founder’s disappearance since 2011 has opened the door to numerous claims of authorship. 
Several figures have since been rumored to be Bitcoin’s creator, with attention focused on those widely speculated to be within the crypto community. While nearly everyone else denied being involved in Bitcoin’s creation, Craig Wright went as far as engaging in a high-profile litigation that culminated in a March 2024 UK High Court ruling that found “overwhelming evidence” he is not Bitcoin’s creator.
The next section details the various “Bitcoin Creator” allegations and claims since Nakamoto’s disappearance, highlighting each individual’s argument and what the crypto community thinks about them.
Adam Back

Famously known as a British cryptographer and CEO of Blockstream, Adam Back invented Hashcash, a proof-of-work system crucial to Bitcoin mining, in 1997, several years before Bitcoin was created, and even before launching Blockstream. Back did not claim to be the creator of Bitcoin. Instead, it is the public and Bitcoin ecosystem participants who suspect him to be Satoshi Nakamoto.
The suspicion stems from several pieces of circumstantial evidence, including his Hashcash creation years before Bitcoin was founded, being explicitly cited in the 2008 Bitcoin whitepaper by Nakamoto, and his association with the Bitcoin creator—he was the second person Nakamoto reached out to via email before Bitcoin’s official launch.
Back refuted the claims of being Bitcoin’s founder by providing evidence demonstrating he had yet to fully understand Bitcoin’s internal mechanics long after the cryptocurrency’s launch. He shared logs from the Bitcoin-wizards IRC channel from 2013, admitted to being “an idiot” for not buying or mining Bitcoin until 2013, long after its release, and released his email history with Nakamoto, which revealed a professional distance between them.
Dorian Nakamoto
Similar to Adam Back, Dorian Nakamoto has denied being the creator of Bitcoin following a publication by a major media outlet linking him to the cryptocurrency. He opposed the details contained in a controversial investigative report in 2014, categorically denying any involvement with Bitcoin’s creation.
In March 2014, Newsweek ran a cover story by journalist Leah McGrath Goodman titled “The Face Behind Bitcoin.” Goodman cited Nakamoto’s legal birth name, his professional background, his geographical proximity to the first recipient of a Bitcoin transaction, and the political views he held as evidence behind his report.
However, the suspected Bitcoin creator later rebutted the most crucial piece of evidence in the Newsweek report—a quote he allegedly gave while police were present at his home. He said,
“I am no longer involved in that, and I cannot discuss it. It’s been turned over to other people. They are in charge of it now. I no longer have any connection.”
According to him, it was a “major misunderstanding” with a misinterpreted context. He exposed his unfamiliarity with cryptocurrency by referring to it as “Bitcom,” and claimed that his financial and health situation does not agree with someone in control of such a significant amount of funds and resources.
Nick Szabo

Nick Szabo is another prominent American cryptographer who has repeatedly denied being Satoshi Nakamoto. Many third-party researchers and public figures have linked Szabo with  Bitcoin creation because he conceptualized Bit Gold, a decentralized digital currency that is widely considered the most direct precursor to Bitcoin, as early as 1998. 
Incidentally, Bit Gold featured technical elements of today’s Bitcoin cryptocurrency, including Proof-of-Work (PoW), decentralized ledger, and Byzantine Fault Tolerance. However, despite the researchers’ findings, Szabo has maintained a firm denial, insisting that those doxing him as Satoshi Nakamoto got it wrong.
Hal Finney

Hal Finney is another American developer who denied being Satoshi Nakamoto until he died in August 2014. According to Finney, the closest he came to the technology was being a supporter and an admirer of the work done by Satoshi Nakamoto.
Those who suspected Finney to be Bitcoin’s creator cited his status as the first person, other than Nakamoto, to download the Bitcoin software in January 2009. He also received the first-ever Bitcoin transaction of 10 BTC directly from the creator.
Other evidence cited by proponents includes Finney’s creation of Reusable Proof-of-Work (RPoW) in 2004, a critical stepping stone that directly influenced Bitcoin’s decentralized design. Finney also lived a few blocks away from Dorian Nakamoto, leading theorists to suggest he may have used his neighbor’s real name as a pseudonym. Meanwhile, Satoshi Nakamoto’s final communication in April 2011 coincided with the progression of Finney’s ALS (Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis), which eventually left him paralyzed.
Finney categorically denied being Bitcoin’s creator in 2013, describing himself as the “eager apprentice” of Nakamoto’s “master architect.” He further produced extensive email archives of his conversations with Nakamoto, revealing his role as a developer seeking clarification about the novel technology.
Peter Todd

Peter Todd is another of several individuals who have denied being the creator of Bitcoin. Todd described claims associating him with creating the cryptocurrency as “ludicrous” and “grasping at straws”. 
A documentary linking Todd with Bitcoin creation cited evidence from a December 2010 post on the BitcoinTalk forum. According to the documentary’s director, a reply from Todd’s account was a continuation of a thought started by Nakamoto, suggesting that Todd accidentally posted while logged into the wrong account.
The documentary made more allegations, including the use of a John Dillon persona, linguistic and geographical matches, and technical expertise to push the narrative of Todd being the founder of Bitcoin. However, the Canadian software developer rebutted those claims.
According to Todd, the BitcoinTalk forum post was simply a technical correction and not a continuation of Nakamoto’s post. In the meantime, critics believe that at 23, Todd was too young and could not have had the experience to author the Bitcoin whitepaper.
Jeffrey Esptein

Millions of pages of Department of Justice (DOJ) files released between late 2025 and February 2026 confirm that Jeffrey Epstein was an active early investor and networker within the Bitcoin ecosystem. The now-public documents triggered a viral narrative that Epstein could be the main individual behind Bitcoin.
Investigators and fact-checkers have since confirmed the emails were doctored and the document fabricated. They cited formatting errors and the use of an email address not found in authenticated Epstein records as reasons enough to discredit such claims. Meanwhile, authentic DOJ files reveal that Epstein claimed to have direct access to Bitcoin founders despite not claiming to be the founder.
Epstein died in a New York prison cell on 10 August 2019 as he awaited, without the chance of bail, his trial on sex trafficking charges. He was previously convicted of soliciting prostitution from a minor, for which he was registered as a sex offender.
In the meantime, discussions surrounding the Epstein case surged after U.S. President Donald Trump signed the Epstein Files Transparency Act, which Congress overwhelmingly passed, ordering the Justice Department to release all its files from the criminal investigations into Epstein. The event also reignited discussions around his role in Bitcoin’s creation.
Conclusion
Besides the above-listed individuals, there are several other crypto community players and technology experts who users allege to be the creator, or members of the team that created Bitcoin. These individuals include Jack Dorsey, Len Sassaman, and Paul Le Roux, among others.
Despite the allegations and claims, the identity of Bitcoin’s original creator remains a mystery, aligning with the fundamental philosophy contained in the whitepaper, which describes Bitcoin as the people’s money that should not be controlled by a centralized entity.

#BTC #TrendingTopic #SatoshiNakamoto

منذ أغسطس الماضي، حذرت من أن مستوى 108,000 دولار لا يمكن أن يُفقد في البيتكوين وإلا سندخل في دورة هبوطية وسيكون من الصعب.
أنا لست خبيرًا ولا أملك كرة بلورية.
لكنني أحاول أن أكون مطلعًا وأ dedicates الكثير من الوقت لفهم ما هو الهالفينغ. أفهم تكاليف التعدين. أفهم الستاكينغ. أفهم الرفع المالي.
لكن فوق كل شيء، نحتاج إلى فهم كيف يقودنا كل هذا إلى الدورات.
هذا الرسم البياني قوي جداً لفهم البيتكوين.
كل خط هو دورة منذ التقسيم. يحدث هذا الحدث كل 4 سنوات.
جعلت الدورة الأولى (الزرقاء) الارتفاع في وقت مبكر بعض الشيء ولكن الدورات التالية حققت ارتفاعاتها في نفس اللحظة. جميع الانخفاضات حدثت بعد عام من الوصول إلى هذا الارتفاع.
تبدو هذه الدورة الأخيرة (الصفراء القوية) أصغر وهذا ليس من قبيل المصادفة. لاحظ أن كل دورة أصغر من سابقتها.
وهذا منطقي.
دورات البيتكوين هي تضخمية ولوغاريتمية.
تضخمية ولوغاريتمية؟
هذا أمر حيوي. دعني أترجمه لك.
يجب أن يتبع البيتكوين التضخم لأنه أصل محدود مثل الذهب أو العقارات في مناطق معينة.
سهل ولكن لوغاريتمي؟
هذا شيء لا يمكنك تجاهله بعد الآن.
🤔 دورات البيتكوين ترتفع أقل في كل مرة.
أحد الأسباب هو أنه كلما زاد رأس المال لأصل، زادت تكلفته للحفاظ على ارتفاعه. المال في العالم محدود، وبالتالي عندما يتراكم شيء ما بمليارات، يبدأ أن يكون من المعقد جعله ينمو بمعدل أسرع من التضخم.
لكن يجب أن تعرف أيضًا أنه في التقسيمات، يتم تقليل المكافآت للعمال.
في البداية كان هذا يعني تقليصًا هائلًا للعديد من البيتكوين، مما دفع السعر إلى الارتفاع بشكل كبير. لكن الآن المكافأة بالكاد تقلصت بمقدار 3 أو 1 بيتكوين، لذا لا يمكن أن يرتفع السعر بنفس الوتيرة.
إذا انتبهنا للدورات السابقة، سيستمر البيتكوين في الانخفاض في 2026 حتى نهاية العام قبل بدء الانتعاش. هذا هو السيناريو الأكثر احتمالاً حتى الآن.
هذا يكفي عن نظرية البيتكوين، فلنذهب إلى الجزء العملي.
🚀 أين ستحدث هذه الانخفاضات؟
لا أعرف ولا أحد يعرف، لكن لدينا أدلة.
في كل من الدورات، رأينا السعر يتراجع من الارتفاعات.
والكثير.
الدورة الأولى هبطت بنسبة 85%
الثانية هبطت بنسبة 80%
الثالثة هبطت بنسبة 75%
وماذا الآن؟
ربما 70%؟ قد يكون. إنها مجرد تقدير.
هذا الانخفاض الأخير إلى 60,000 دولار هو بالفعل إنجاز كبير حيث تصحح السعر بنسبة 50%، لكن في الدورات السابقة نرى أن الأفضل لا يزال قادمًا. يمكن أن ينخفض بنسبة أخرى تصل إلى 50% إلى 30,000 أو 40,000 دولار للوصول إلى مستويات قريبة من تصحيح بنسبة 70%، وهو ما يبدو معقولًا بناءً على السلوك السابق.
من حيث السعر، يبدو أن هناك فجوة يجب ملؤها ومن حيث الوقت، يكون الأمر أفضل.
مدة تصحيح الدورة الأولى هي 12 شهرًا
مدة تصحيح الدورة الثانية هي 12 شهرًا
مدة تصحيح الدورة الثالثة هي 12 شهرًا
إذا استمر هذا الدورة الرابعة بنفس طول الدورات السابقة، سنتحدث عن رؤية لحظة الألم الأقصى في أكتوبر 2026.
هذه هي اللحظة التي سنقول فيها جميعًا أن $BTC ستذهب إلى 0.
من يعرف.
لكن، إذا بدأنا في التراكم في منطقة 60,000 دولار وادخرنا بعض المال لمنطقة 30-40,000 دولار، يمكننا بسهولة أن نحقق متوسط مركز 50,000 دولار خلال 2026.
بعد ثلاث سنوات يجب أن نكون عند ذروة الدورة التالية، والتي يمكن أن تكون أعلى قليلاً من آخر 120,000 دولار (ذروة الدورة الحالية) وفقًا لتقدم لوغاريتمي.
دعنا نفترض 150,000 دولار. (وهو رقم أستمده من سلسلة من الارتفاعات السابقة، لكن هناك الكثير من الرياضيات اليوم)
نتحدث عن بيع الاستثمار بثلاثة أضعاف السعر في 3 سنوات. هذه عائد ليس سيئًا على الإطلاق.
المخاطرة هي الكاملة. أذهب بدون وقف خسارة. إنها استثمار طموح وفي أي حال ليست حماية رأس المال.
وأثناء انتظارنا لوصول السعر إلى المنطقة المناسبة لمواصلة الشراء، يمكنك أيضًا القيام بصفقة سريعة لالتقاط الارتفاع التالي بنسبة 10%.
👇 تريد المزيد؟
🚀 اضغط على الصاروخ، اقرأ ملفي الشخصي واتبعني حتى نتمكن من العثور على بعضنا مجددًا.
#BTC #bitcoin #TrendingTopic
$XRP $ETH

$ETH is getting heavily criticized right now, mostly by people who once supported it. The main reason is simple: the price hasn’t exploded like some meme coins. Many of us, myself included, focus too much on charts, fast trades, and quick profits. But sometimes, the market just doesn’t move the way we expect.
Ethereum is not just another coin you trade. It is the foundation that much of the crypto space is built on. From a fundamentals point of view, ETH is still extremely undervalued, both in terms of its use and its price. What we may be seeing is a slow and steady rise that happens while most people are still negative on it.

Short-term price action creates a lot of noise, but it rarely tells the full story. Meme coins can be fun and bring fast excitement, but that doesn’t last. Strong blockchains are built on real utility, strong infrastructure, and long-term value. Right now, nothing in crypto comes close to what Ethereum offers on that level.
Let’s break down what’s been happening with $ETH recently.

𝗣𝗿𝗶𝗰𝗲 𝗕𝗲𝗵𝗮𝘃𝗶𝗼𝗿 𝗖𝗼𝗻𝘁𝗿𝗮𝗿𝘆 𝘁𝗼 𝗙𝘂𝗻𝗱𝗮𝗺𝗲𝗻𝘁𝗮𝗹𝘀
𝘛𝘰𝘵𝘢𝘭 𝘛𝘗𝘚 𝘪𝘯 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘌𝘵𝘩 𝘦𝘤𝘰𝘴𝘺𝘴𝘵𝘦𝘮

ETH investors are starting to lose faith because the “price isn’t moving,” the usual degen mindset. But real success isn’t about how many new rugs or hype tokens launch every day. It’s about building systems that actually last. On that front, ETH is doing very well. Revenue is growing, TVL remains strong, and staking demand keeps rising, all pointing to strength beneath the surface. While other altcoins are busy competing over memes and short-term hype, ETH is quietly stacking real value. Newcomers get burned chasing fast profits? That’s part of gambling, sometimes you win, most times you don’t. ETH isn’t chasing noise. It’s focused on the long term game.

𝗥𝗲𝘃𝗲𝗻𝘂𝗲 𝗟𝗲𝗮𝗱𝗲𝗿𝘀𝗵𝗶𝗽: 𝗘𝗧𝗛 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝗕𝗮𝘀𝗲 𝗧𝗮𝗸𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗖𝗼𝗻𝘁𝗿𝗼𝗹 𝗼𝗳 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗠𝗮𝗿𝗸𝗲𝘁
Base and Ethereum together pulled in more than 66% of total chain revenue 3 days ago. That’s clear dominance. Base on its own beat Solana, showing that Ethereum’s Layer-2 ecosystem is more than hype. It’s generating real income. While most chains struggle to earn fees in tough market conditions, Ethereum’s structure continues to bring in steady revenue from actual user activity.
𝖤𝗍𝗁 𝗂𝗌 𝗍𝗁𝖾 𝗁𝗂𝗀𝗁𝖾𝗌𝗍 𝗋𝖾𝗏𝖾𝗇𝗎𝖾 𝗀𝖾𝗇𝖾𝗋𝖺𝗍𝗂𝗇𝗀 𝖼𝗁𝖺𝗂𝗇

𝗧𝗩𝗟: 𝗘𝘁𝗵𝗲𝗿𝗲𝘂𝗺 𝗦𝘁𝗮𝗻𝗱𝘀 𝗙𝗮𝗿 𝗔𝗯𝗼𝘃𝗲 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗥𝗲𝘀𝘁

Ethereum’s total value locked remains solid at roughly $53–55 billion, sometimes pushing even higher. This gives it over half of the entire DeFi market, around 50–57% or more. In many cases, Ethereum alone holds more value than the next ten chains combined, including Solana at about $6–9 billion, Bitcoin around $7 billion, BNB Chain near $6–7 billion, and others.
This strength isn’t by chance. Ethereum continues to attract large capital because it offers strong security, deep liquidity, and systems that work well together. Even during market downturns, DeFi on Ethereum has stayed steady, falling only about 12% from its highs while prices across the market dropped much harder.
Money isn’t rushing out of Ethereum. Instead, it’s staying put, drawn by reliable yields, proven infrastructure, and long-term confidence in the network.

𝗦𝘁𝗮𝗸𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗪𝗮𝗶𝘁𝗹𝗶𝘀𝘁: 𝗕𝗶𝗹𝗹𝗶𝗼𝗻𝘀 𝗟𝗼𝗰𝗸𝗲𝗱 𝗜𝗻
Right now, there’s a 70-day wait to stake ETH, with billions of dollars waiting to get in. While some sell during price drops, many ETH holders are buying and stacking more. Already, over 30% of all ETH is staked, with 36 million+ ETH locked in the system.

𝖳𝗁𝖾 𝖤𝗍𝗁 𝗐𝖺𝗂𝗍𝗅𝗂𝗌𝗍

𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗟𝟮 𝗧𝘂𝗿𝗻𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗣𝗼𝗶𝗻𝘁: 𝗛𝗮𝘃𝗲 𝗪𝗲 𝗠𝗶𝘀𝘀𝗲𝗱 𝗜𝘁?
The talk about “pivoting away from L2s” has some people shouting, “the last five years were a mistake.” Classic drama from old “Ethereum maxis.” But that’s wrong. ETH is literally moving toward a rollup itself, so how does that make sense? ZKVMs (zero-knowledge virtual machines) wouldn’t be this advanced without Ethereum’s rollup-focused roadmap driving the tech. Vitalik’s early blogs always hinted that rollups were the endgame for L1 scaling. Everything else was just temporary. This shift doesn’t kill strong L2s like Base—it’s doing fine. It just pushes weak or pointless ones to either adapt, add real value, or disappear. Ethereum is bringing the whole rollup ecosystem together with native rollups and synchronous composability. Rollups are still the future, with ETH as the hub for security and issuance.

𝟮𝟴 𝗪𝗶𝗻𝘀 𝗗𝗲𝗹𝗶𝘃𝗲𝗿𝗲𝗱 𝗶𝗻 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗘𝗰𝗼𝘀𝘆𝘀𝘁𝗲𝗺: 𝗔 𝗠𝗼𝗻𝘁𝗵 𝗼𝗳 𝗣𝗿𝗼𝗴𝗿𝗲𝘀𝘀
To show how much is being built, check this Ethereum Foundation thread summarizing January. 28 real updates proving ETH’s momentum. Some highlights: Fidelity launched FIDD, a USD stablecoin on Ethereum, making it a major settlement layer. ERC-8004 for AI agents went live with 24k+ agents and 80+ verified services. A new Post-Quantum research team formed to strengthen security. Morgan Stanley proposed a spot ETH ETF. Ethereum L1 hit an all-time high in transaction activity. The second Blob Parameter Only fork improved data availability. Ondo added 200+ tokenized stocks/ETFs. Aave integrated institutional yield on offline storage. And that’s just a sample. From community hubs in Hong Kong to upgrades on Arbitrum, Optimism, Mantle, and Polygon Ethereum is cooking.

𝗦𝘁𝗿𝗼𝗻𝗴𝗲𝗿 𝗕𝘂𝗹𝗹 𝗦𝗶𝗴𝗻𝗮𝗹𝘀: 𝗠𝗮𝗿𝗸𝗲𝘁 𝗔𝗰𝘁𝗶𝘃𝗶𝘁𝘆 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝗠𝗼𝗺𝗲𝗻𝘁𝘂𝗺
ETH’s on-chain numbers are looking strong. Daily transaction volume is up 20% month over month, and daily active addresses jumped 50%. Mainnet active addresses are at an all-time high while gas fees are at a record low. Cheap and high usage vibes. Prediction markets give ETH a 17% chance of reclaiming $5k this year, but with upgrades like Glamsterdam (parallel processing, gas to 200M) and Heze-Bogota (anti-censorship) coming, momentum could surprise. Institutional flows are also strong: ETFs hold about 3% of supply, with billions in inflows even during volatile periods.
𝖬𝖺𝗂𝗇𝗇𝖾𝗍 𝖳𝖯𝖲

𝗤𝘂𝗮𝗻𝘁𝘂𝗺 𝗣𝗿𝗼𝘁𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻: 𝗘𝗧𝗛 𝗮𝘁 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗙𝗿𝗼𝗻𝘁
Ethereum isn’t just aiming to be the first quantum-secure blockchain. It’s building itself to be the first quantum-secure global financial system. The new Post Quantum research team is a game changer, protecting ETH from quantum threats that could break other chains. While everyone else scrambles to catch up, ETH is quietly creating the strong infrastructure for a post-quantum future. Imagine secure AI, finance, and governance operating at scale.

𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁 𝗜 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝗻𝗸
The haters are loud, shouting that ETH is “dead,” while it steadily builds its empire. I think this low key grind is setting the stage for one of the most underestimated rallies ever. When ETH moons, the people who sold early will ask, “Why didn’t I hold?” Fundamentals don’t lie, price always follows. Short term, we’ll see more dips and struggle. ETHdominance is finding a floor, $BTC dominance may peak. That could create a generational buying window ($1,000–$1,500) when sentiment is at its worst. Those moments? That’s when strong hands load up, and weak hands fold.

𝐖𝐡𝐚𝐭 𝐝𝐨 𝐲𝐨𝐮 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐧𝐤?
𝐖𝐡𝐞𝐧 𝐬𝐡𝐨𝐫𝐭-𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐦 𝐦𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 𝐦𝐨𝐯𝐞𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐬 𝐝𝐨𝐧’𝐭 𝐫𝐞𝐟𝐥𝐞𝐜𝐭 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐮𝐧𝐝𝐞𝐫𝐥𝐲𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐯𝐚𝐥𝐮𝐞 𝐨𝐟 𝐚 𝐩𝐫𝐨𝐣𝐞𝐜𝐭, 𝐡𝐨𝐰 𝐝𝐨 𝐲𝐨𝐮 𝐝𝐞𝐜𝐢𝐝𝐞 𝐰𝐡𝐞𝐫𝐞 𝐭𝐨 𝐩𝐮𝐭 𝐲𝐨𝐮𝐫 𝐦𝐨𝐧𝐞𝐲 𝐨𝐫 𝐚𝐭𝐭𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐢𝐧 𝐜𝐫𝐲𝐩𝐭𝐨?


#Ethereum #RiskAssetsMarketShock #BTC走势分析 #etf #TrendingTopic

Binance Wallet hân hạnh giới thiệu Alpha Box , một cơ chế airdrop mới kết hợp nhiều dự án trong một sự kiện duy nhất
Hộp Alpha là gì?
- Alpha Box là mô hình airdrop mới do Binance tiên phong, trong đó nhiều dự án cùng góp token của mình vào một sự kiện duy nhất. Người dùng có thể tham gia bằng cách đổi điểm Binance Alpha Points để nhận airdrop Alpha Box và nhận token có giá trị tương đương từ một trong những dự án nổi bật trong hộp.
- Ngoài ra, Alpha Box có thể bao gồm các dự án đã từng ra mắt trên Binance Alpha, mang đến cho người dùng cơ hội thứ hai để tham gia vào các dự án giai đoạn đầu này (Phần này giống túi mù)
Cơ chế tương tự alpha: Ví dụ FCFS, và sẽ giảm 5 điểm trên 5 phút
Cách thức tham gia:

1. Vào ngày 11/02/2026 , hãy mở ứng dụng Binance và nhấn vào biểu tượng hồ sơ người dùng ở góc trên bên trái. Sau đó, chọn [Dịch vụ khác] , tìm kiếm [Sự kiện Alpha] và chuyển đến tab [Airdrop] . Hoặc, bạn có thể điều hướng đến tab [Sự kiện Alpha] - [Airdrop] trong Ví Binance của mình trên ứng dụng Binance.
2. Nhấn vào sự kiện Alpha Box đang diễn ra trên trang Airdrop.
3. Hãy đảm bảo bạn có đủ điểm Binance Alpha Points. Tham gia sẽ tiêu tốn 15 điểm Alpha Points .
4. Nhấn vào nút [Nhận] bên cạnh sự kiện và xác nhận để sử dụng điểm của bạn.
5. Sau khi tham gia thành công, bạn sẽ nhận được một phần thưởng airdrop chứa token từ một trong những dự án nổi bật.
6. Bạn có thể xem phần thưởng của mình trên trang [Tài sản] - [Alpha] trong ứng dụng Binance, hoặc truy cập trang [Tài sản] trong Ví Binance của bạn trên ứng dụng Binance.
Ghi chú:
Mỗi hộp Alpha chỉ chứa một loại token duy nhất.
Việc tham gia sẽ tiêu tốn một lượng Binance Alpha Points nhất định, và số điểm này sẽ không được hoàn lại sau khi đã sử dụng.
Người dùng sẽ nhận được mã thông báo có thể đổi ngay lập tức bằng cách nhấn vào [Nhận] trên trang [Sự kiện Alpha] - [Airdrop] .

#bitcoin #TrendingTopic #binance
$BTC $ETH $BNB

Strategy $MSTR executive chairman Michael Saylor has affirmed that the firm will not stop buying Bitcoin despite the prevailing volatility and unrealized losses on the company’s investment. He dismissed arguments that declining prices will force the company to liquidate its holdings.

Michael Saylor Affirms Strategy Will Not Sell
In an interview with CNBC, the Strategy co-founder said they will not sell their BTC holdings, despite speculation that market conditions may force the company to do so. He noted that Strategy considers its Bitcoin purchase as a long-term decision and not a short-term one.
Michael Saylor maintained that the credit risk associated with Strategy is very low, even in extreme circumstances. Instead, he claimed that Bitcoin would need to drop about 90% and remain down for years before refinancing would become challenging. He insisted that, in such a case, the company would still be able to roll forward its debt obligations. This echoes Strategy CEO Phong Le’s recent statement that Bitcoin would have to drop to $8,000 and remain there through 2032 for them to face liquidation risks.
Meanwhile, the Strategy co-founder noted that his company owns decades of dividends in Bitcoin. This huge reserve will give it a great financial buffer. With this, he feels that there is no cause to worry about forced liquidation as being exaggerated by short-term traders.
Michael Saylor also addressed speculation about Strategy’s financial situation. He claimed that the company has two and a half years of cash reserves to make dividend and debt payments. He added that the net leverage ratio of Strategy is one-half of an average investment-grade company.
Strategy Will Keep Buying Bitcoin
The executive chairman also clarified that Strategy’s Bitcoin accumulation plans have not changed. He said the company has raised billions in capital to further accumulate Bitcoin. “We’re not going to be selling. We are going to be buying bitcoin, Michael Saylor said.
He further indicated that Strategy will buy Bitcoin each quarter going forward. On Monday, Strategy declared another weekly Bitcoin buy of 1,142 BTC between February 2 and 8. According to Saylor, volatility is a characteristic of the asset. Also, he remarked that Bitcoin provides two to three times better returns than traditional assets like gold, equities, and real estate over a multi-year timeframe.
The company’s commitment to keep buying more Bitcoin despite the fact that it is facing an unrealized loss of $5.1 billion on its BTC holdings. This follows BTC’s crash below Strategy’s average buy price of $76,056 for its Bitcoin investment.
Saylor Comments On Market Volatility
Michael Saylor also explained that a recent volatility in the shares of Strategy was a result of a market pullback of Bitcoin. The Strategy co-founder said the last four months had been an unprecedented drawdown for MSTR stock, but noted that it recently posted a 25% gain in a day.
He argued that Strategy’s stock is more liquid on a market cap basis than any of the Mag 7 stocks by 2.34 times. He also indicated that open interest in MSTR options is presently the highest when compared with other top U.S. equities.
There is also ongoing downside momentum in the company’s stock due to the crash in BTC. MSTR stock has dropped to $134.93, down 2.38% over the last day, according to TradingView data.

Another point raised during the interview was that Bitcoin has a structural floor price of about $60,000 due to the cost of production for miners. Michael Saylor downplayed this argument. He said that increasing the presence of large banks and institutional credit markets will cause a much more significant impact on the movement of BTC’s price.
Saylor refused to give a 12-month prediction on the price of Bitcoin. Instead, he predicts that Bitcoin would perform two to three times better compared to the S&P 500 in the next four to eight years.

#BTC #TrendingTopic