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fed
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🔴 Губернатор ФРС Кристофер Уоллер заявил, что проголосует за повышение ставок на 0,25% на декабрьском заседании FOMC. ⚡ Биткоин и фьючерсы на акции снизились после речи, по данным CoinTelegraph, при этом рыночные ставки на повышение цитировались на уровне 96%. Сигналы о политических ставках, подобные этому, формируют долларовую ликвидность как на крипто-, так и на традиционных рынках.
Как решения ФРС по ставкам меняют то, как вы оцениваете или управляете запасами в вашей P2P-торговле? 👇
#fed #waller #fomc #bitcoin #rates
🔴 Губернатор ФРС Кристофер Уоллер заявил, что проголосует за повышение ставок на 0,25% на декабрьском заседании FOMC. ⚡ Биткоин и фьючерсы на акции снизились после речи, по данным CoinTelegraph, при этом рыночные ставки на повышение цитировались на уровне 96%. Сигналы о политических ставках, подобные этому, формируют долларовую ликвидность как на крипто-, так и на традиционных рынках.
Как решения ФРС по ставкам меняют то, как вы оцениваете или управляете запасами в вашей P2P-торговле? 👇
#fed #waller #fomc #bitcoin #rates
Как решения ФРС по ставкам меняют то, как вы оцениваете или управляете запасами в вашей P2P-торговле? 👇
#fed #waller #fomc #bitcoin #rates
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Падение
$BTC
{spot}(BTCUSDT)
🚨🚨 Current financial market forecasts indicate a 97.1% probability that the US Federal Reserve will hike interest rates by 25 basis points this coming December
This high figure does not reflect arbitrary speculation; rather, it is anchored in clear economic indicators—including recent inflation data, employment levels, and statements from Fed officials leaning towards monetary tightening to curb inflation and bring it back down to the targeted 2% level
$ETH
{spot}(ETHUSDT)
From a practical standpoint, this decision carries direct implications for the markets. It means an additional rise in borrowing costs for individuals and businesses, continued pressure on risk assets, and, conversely, higher yields on fixed-income instruments and the US dollar
The markets have now almost fully priced in this decision, meaning that the true focus is no longer solely on the 25-basis-point increment, but rather on the future signals and guidance the Fed will provide regarding the interest rate trajectory throughout the coming year
$SOL
{spot}(SOLUSDT)
#Fed #KevinWarshDisclosed
$BTC
🚨🚨 Current financial market forecasts indicate a 97.1% probability that the US Federal Reserve will hike interest rates by 25 basis points this coming December
This high figure does not reflect arbitrary speculation; rather, it is anchored in clear economic indicators—including recent inflation data, employment levels, and statements from Fed officials leaning towards monetary tightening to curb inflation and bring it back down to the targeted 2% level
$ETH
From a practical standpoint, this decision carries direct implications for the markets. It means an additional rise in borrowing costs for individuals and businesses, continued pressure on risk assets, and, conversely, higher yields on fixed-income instruments and the US dollar
The markets have now almost fully priced in this decision, meaning that the true focus is no longer solely on the 25-basis-point increment, but rather on the future signals and guidance the Fed will provide regarding the interest rate trajectory throughout the coming year
$SOL
#Fed #KevinWarshDisclosed
🚨🚨 Current financial market forecasts indicate a 97.1% probability that the US Federal Reserve will hike interest rates by 25 basis points this coming December
This high figure does not reflect arbitrary speculation; rather, it is anchored in clear economic indicators—including recent inflation data, employment levels, and statements from Fed officials leaning towards monetary tightening to curb inflation and bring it back down to the targeted 2% level
$ETH
From a practical standpoint, this decision carries direct implications for the markets. It means an additional rise in borrowing costs for individuals and businesses, continued pressure on risk assets, and, conversely, higher yields on fixed-income instruments and the US dollar
The markets have now almost fully priced in this decision, meaning that the true focus is no longer solely on the 25-basis-point increment, but rather on the future signals and guidance the Fed will provide regarding the interest rate trajectory throughout the coming year
$SOL
#Fed #KevinWarshDisclosed
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Рост
$XRP
{spot}(XRPUSDT)
🚨🚨 don't let rate-hike worries get on top of you. We're looking at a 99% probability of a hike next month, and Fed officials are calling for another two or three on top of that. But cast your mind back to 2023:
the Fed whacked up rates four times on the bounce by 25 basis points in February, March, May, and July—that’s a whole 100 basis points of punchy tightening
Even so, Bitcoin surged from around sixteen grand to over forty-two grand by the end of the year, knocking out roughly 160% growth
$BTC
{spot}(BTCUSDT)
Today's shaping up much the same , Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan is doubling down on the need for at least two more hikes, potentially coming thick and fast this winter, while inflation’s still sticky and the markets are already pricing in a December bump
But here's the kicker everyone's missing: higher rates don't automatically spell a meltdown for Bitcoin. Back in 2023, it was bouncing back from its macro bottom while the Fed was still busy cranking up rates. And that exact same setup is playing out all over again. History doesn't just repeat itself—it proper rhymes
$UNI
{spot}(UNIUSDT)
#Fed
$XRP
🚨🚨 don't let rate-hike worries get on top of you. We're looking at a 99% probability of a hike next month, and Fed officials are calling for another two or three on top of that. But cast your mind back to 2023:
the Fed whacked up rates four times on the bounce by 25 basis points in February, March, May, and July—that’s a whole 100 basis points of punchy tightening
Even so, Bitcoin surged from around sixteen grand to over forty-two grand by the end of the year, knocking out roughly 160% growth
$BTC
Today's shaping up much the same , Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan is doubling down on the need for at least two more hikes, potentially coming thick and fast this winter, while inflation’s still sticky and the markets are already pricing in a December bump
But here's the kicker everyone's missing: higher rates don't automatically spell a meltdown for Bitcoin. Back in 2023, it was bouncing back from its macro bottom while the Fed was still busy cranking up rates. And that exact same setup is playing out all over again. History doesn't just repeat itself—it proper rhymes
$UNI
#Fed
🚨🚨 don't let rate-hike worries get on top of you. We're looking at a 99% probability of a hike next month, and Fed officials are calling for another two or three on top of that. But cast your mind back to 2023:
the Fed whacked up rates four times on the bounce by 25 basis points in February, March, May, and July—that’s a whole 100 basis points of punchy tightening
Even so, Bitcoin surged from around sixteen grand to over forty-two grand by the end of the year, knocking out roughly 160% growth
$BTC
Today's shaping up much the same , Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan is doubling down on the need for at least two more hikes, potentially coming thick and fast this winter, while inflation’s still sticky and the markets are already pricing in a December bump
But here's the kicker everyone's missing: higher rates don't automatically spell a meltdown for Bitcoin. Back in 2023, it was bouncing back from its macro bottom while the Fed was still busy cranking up rates. And that exact same setup is playing out all over again. History doesn't just repeat itself—it proper rhymes
$UNI
#Fed
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🚨 SHOCKING: FED RATE HIKE FEARS EXPLODE! MARKETS BRACE FOR A MAJOR MOVE IN DECEMBER!
According to CME FedWatch, the probability of the #Fed RAISING interest rates by 25 basis points in December has surged to 99.1%!
Expectations of rate cuts are giving way to fears of a rate hike. All eyes are now on the Fed's next move!
$BTC $XRP $XAG
#BitcoinFiveWeeklyLosses #TrumpMediaAdds1510BTCInQ3 #HotCPIDecemberHikePriced #CanNvidiaEarningsEaseMarketConcerns?
🚨 SHOCKING: FED RATE HIKE FEARS EXPLODE! MARKETS BRACE FOR A MAJOR MOVE IN DECEMBER!
According to CME FedWatch, the probability of the #Fed RAISING interest rates by 25 basis points in December has surged to 99.1%!
Expectations of rate cuts are giving way to fears of a rate hike. All eyes are now on the Fed's next move!
$BTC $XRP $XAG
#BitcoinFiveWeeklyLosses #TrumpMediaAdds1510BTCInQ3 #HotCPIDecemberHikePriced #CanNvidiaEarningsEaseMarketConcerns?
According to CME FedWatch, the probability of the #Fed RAISING interest rates by 25 basis points in December has surged to 99.1%!
Expectations of rate cuts are giving way to fears of a rate hike. All eyes are now on the Fed's next move!
$BTC $XRP $XAG
#BitcoinFiveWeeklyLosses #TrumpMediaAdds1510BTCInQ3 #HotCPIDecemberHikePriced #CanNvidiaEarningsEaseMarketConcerns?
KYFKON:
SUBHAN ALLAH 🌟
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4.6k
🌐 Tín hiệu thị trường: Áp lực lãi suất từ Cục Dự trữ Liên bang Mỹ (Fed) đang quay trở lại!
Số liệu CPI tháng 10 vừa công bố cho thấy lạm phát lõi cao hơn dự kiến, khiến các quan chức Fed phát đi tín hiệu "diều hâu" mạnh mẽ hơn. Thị trường trái phiếu Mỹ ngay lập tức phản ứng dữ dội:
📈 Lợi suất trái phiếu 2 năm: Tăng 19 điểm cơ bản lên 4,75% (mức tăng ngày lớn nhất kể từ tháng 4/2025)
📈 CPI tổng thể: Tăng 0,4% so với tháng trước
📈 CPI lõi: Tăng 0,3% (cao hơn mức dự báo 0,2%)
*Tại sao quan trọng?*
🔹 Lạm phát dai dẳng khiến Fed có thể tăng lãi suất mạnh hơn, thậm chí cân nhắc mức 50 điểm cơ bản vào tháng 12.
🔹 Đồng USD mạnh lên thường gây áp lực giảm giá lên các tài sản rủi ro như tiền điện tử.
🔹 Sự không chắc chắn về lộ trình lãi suất sẽ khiến thị trường biến động mạnh trong ngắn hạn.
👉 Tin tức, tín hiệu, cơ hội — Follow Kênh https://app.binance.com/uni-qr/cpro/Square-Creator-4a0f2008149d?l=en&r=BOZMO8A1
#Fed #CPI. $TRX
🌐 Tín hiệu thị trường: Áp lực lãi suất từ Cục Dự trữ Liên bang Mỹ (Fed) đang quay trở lại!
Số liệu CPI tháng 10 vừa công bố cho thấy lạm phát lõi cao hơn dự kiến, khiến các quan chức Fed phát đi tín hiệu "diều hâu" mạnh mẽ hơn. Thị trường trái phiếu Mỹ ngay lập tức phản ứng dữ dội:
📈 Lợi suất trái phiếu 2 năm: Tăng 19 điểm cơ bản lên 4,75% (mức tăng ngày lớn nhất kể từ tháng 4/2025)
📈 CPI tổng thể: Tăng 0,4% so với tháng trước
📈 CPI lõi: Tăng 0,3% (cao hơn mức dự báo 0,2%)
*Tại sao quan trọng?*
🔹 Lạm phát dai dẳng khiến Fed có thể tăng lãi suất mạnh hơn, thậm chí cân nhắc mức 50 điểm cơ bản vào tháng 12.
🔹 Đồng USD mạnh lên thường gây áp lực giảm giá lên các tài sản rủi ro như tiền điện tử.
🔹 Sự không chắc chắn về lộ trình lãi suất sẽ khiến thị trường biến động mạnh trong ngắn hạn.
👉 Tin tức, tín hiệu, cơ hội — Follow Kênh https://app.binance.com/uni-qr/cpro/Square-Creator-4a0f2008149d?l=en&r=BOZMO8A1
#Fed #CPI. $TRX
Số liệu CPI tháng 10 vừa công bố cho thấy lạm phát lõi cao hơn dự kiến, khiến các quan chức Fed phát đi tín hiệu "diều hâu" mạnh mẽ hơn. Thị trường trái phiếu Mỹ ngay lập tức phản ứng dữ dội:
📈 Lợi suất trái phiếu 2 năm: Tăng 19 điểm cơ bản lên 4,75% (mức tăng ngày lớn nhất kể từ tháng 4/2025)
📈 CPI tổng thể: Tăng 0,4% so với tháng trước
📈 CPI lõi: Tăng 0,3% (cao hơn mức dự báo 0,2%)
*Tại sao quan trọng?*
🔹 Lạm phát dai dẳng khiến Fed có thể tăng lãi suất mạnh hơn, thậm chí cân nhắc mức 50 điểm cơ bản vào tháng 12.
🔹 Đồng USD mạnh lên thường gây áp lực giảm giá lên các tài sản rủi ro như tiền điện tử.
🔹 Sự không chắc chắn về lộ trình lãi suất sẽ khiến thị trường biến động mạnh trong ngắn hạn.
👉 Tin tức, tín hiệu, cơ hội — Follow Kênh https://app.binance.com/uni-qr/cpro/Square-Creator-4a0f2008149d?l=en&r=BOZMO8A1
#Fed #CPI. $TRX
141
ليش السوق نزل بعد خبر التضخم؟ خلي أشرحها ببساطة 👇
تضخم أكتوبر بأمريكا طلع 0.4% شهري، والمتوقع كان 0.3%. والتضخم الأساسي 0.3% مقابل 0.2% متوقع.
يعني الأسعار بعدها ترتفع أسرع مما يريد الفيدرالي. وهنا عضو الفيدرالي والر قال إنه يدعم رفع الفائدة 25 نقطة بديسمبر.
ليش هذا يأثر على $BTC؟ لأن الفائدة العالية تخلي الفلوس تروح للسندات (عائد السندات لسنتين وصل حوالي 4.73%) بدل الأصول عالية المخاطرة مثل الكريبتو.
الخلاصة: الماكرو هو اللي يحرك السوق هالفترة، مو بس الأخبار الداخلية للكريبتو.
ليس نصيحة مالية.
تتوقعون الفيدرالي فعلاً يرفع بديسمبر؟
#BinanceSquare #CPI #Fed #Bitcoin
ليش السوق نزل بعد خبر التضخم؟ خلي أشرحها ببساطة 👇
تضخم أكتوبر بأمريكا طلع 0.4% شهري، والمتوقع كان 0.3%. والتضخم الأساسي 0.3% مقابل 0.2% متوقع.
يعني الأسعار بعدها ترتفع أسرع مما يريد الفيدرالي. وهنا عضو الفيدرالي والر قال إنه يدعم رفع الفائدة 25 نقطة بديسمبر.
ليش هذا يأثر على $BTC ؟ لأن الفائدة العالية تخلي الفلوس تروح للسندات (عائد السندات لسنتين وصل حوالي 4.73%) بدل الأصول عالية المخاطرة مثل الكريبتو.
الخلاصة: الماكرو هو اللي يحرك السوق هالفترة، مو بس الأخبار الداخلية للكريبتو.
ليس نصيحة مالية.
تتوقعون الفيدرالي فعلاً يرفع بديسمبر؟
#BinanceSquare #CPI #Fed #Bitcoin
تضخم أكتوبر بأمريكا طلع 0.4% شهري، والمتوقع كان 0.3%. والتضخم الأساسي 0.3% مقابل 0.2% متوقع.
يعني الأسعار بعدها ترتفع أسرع مما يريد الفيدرالي. وهنا عضو الفيدرالي والر قال إنه يدعم رفع الفائدة 25 نقطة بديسمبر.
ليش هذا يأثر على $BTC ؟ لأن الفائدة العالية تخلي الفلوس تروح للسندات (عائد السندات لسنتين وصل حوالي 4.73%) بدل الأصول عالية المخاطرة مثل الكريبتو.
الخلاصة: الماكرو هو اللي يحرك السوق هالفترة، مو بس الأخبار الداخلية للكريبتو.
ليس نصيحة مالية.
تتوقعون الفيدرالي فعلاً يرفع بديسمبر؟
#BinanceSquare #CPI #Fed #Bitcoin
140
The 50-point hike panic lasted about a day.
Bitcoin is back above $74,000 tonight — $74,078, down just 0.3% in 24h after touching an 11-week low of $72,727 this morning.
And the market's big fear is already cooling off:
• Right after CPI, odds of a 50-point December hike jumped to 15%
• By this afternoon they had faded back to around 10%
• A 25-point hike is still the call — priced near 90%
But here is the twist: traders are now pricing in MORE hikes after December. Goldman is calling another one in March, and the market sees a third by the middle of next year.
So the panic about one big hike is fading — and being replaced by a slower, longer squeeze. That is worse for crypto in a way, because expensive money stays expensive.
Next trigger: US producer prices on Friday. Then the Fed meets December 8–9.
Do you think the Fed stops at 25 — or keeps going into next year?
$BTC
#Bitcoin #Fed #CPI
Not financial advice.
The 50-point hike panic lasted about a day.
Bitcoin is back above $74,000 tonight — $74,078, down just 0.3% in 24h after touching an 11-week low of $72,727 this morning.
And the market's big fear is already cooling off:
• Right after CPI, odds of a 50-point December hike jumped to 15%
• By this afternoon they had faded back to around 10%
• A 25-point hike is still the call — priced near 90%
But here is the twist: traders are now pricing in MORE hikes after December. Goldman is calling another one in March, and the market sees a third by the middle of next year.
So the panic about one big hike is fading — and being replaced by a slower, longer squeeze. That is worse for crypto in a way, because expensive money stays expensive.
Next trigger: US producer prices on Friday. Then the Fed meets December 8–9.
Do you think the Fed stops at 25 — or keeps going into next year?
$BTC
#Bitcoin #Fed #CPI
Not financial advice.
Bitcoin is back above $74,000 tonight — $74,078, down just 0.3% in 24h after touching an 11-week low of $72,727 this morning.
And the market's big fear is already cooling off:
• Right after CPI, odds of a 50-point December hike jumped to 15%
• By this afternoon they had faded back to around 10%
• A 25-point hike is still the call — priced near 90%
But here is the twist: traders are now pricing in MORE hikes after December. Goldman is calling another one in March, and the market sees a third by the middle of next year.
So the panic about one big hike is fading — and being replaced by a slower, longer squeeze. That is worse for crypto in a way, because expensive money stays expensive.
Next trigger: US producer prices on Friday. Then the Fed meets December 8–9.
Do you think the Fed stops at 25 — or keeps going into next year?
$BTC
#Bitcoin #Fed #CPI
Not financial advice.
3
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高盛：通胀连续三次超预期，预计美联储12月和明年3月各加息25个基点
美国10月CPI环比上涨0.4%、核心CPI上涨0.3%，均高于预期，已是通胀连续第三次超预期。高盛据此上调加息预测：预计美联储将在12月加息25个基点，并于明年3月再加息25个基点；此前高盛仅预计12月加息一次。
高盛同时指出，第三次加息也可能提前至明年1月，但3月的可能性略高；首次降息预期则推迟至2027年12月。
CME FedWatch最新显示，美联储12月加息25个基点的概率为88.5%，加息50个基点的概率为11.5%；到明年1月，累计加息50个基点的概率升至59.2%。
$BTC $ETH
#fed #cpiwatch
高盛：通胀连续三次超预期，预计美联储12月和明年3月各加息25个基点
美国10月CPI环比上涨0.4%、核心CPI上涨0.3%，均高于预期，已是通胀连续第三次超预期。高盛据此上调加息预测：预计美联储将在12月加息25个基点，并于明年3月再加息25个基点；此前高盛仅预计12月加息一次。
高盛同时指出，第三次加息也可能提前至明年1月，但3月的可能性略高；首次降息预期则推迟至2027年12月。
CME FedWatch最新显示，美联储12月加息25个基点的概率为88.5%，加息50个基点的概率为11.5%；到明年1月，累计加息50个基点的概率升至59.2%。
$BTC $ETH
#fed #cpiwatch
美国10月CPI环比上涨0.4%、核心CPI上涨0.3%，均高于预期，已是通胀连续第三次超预期。高盛据此上调加息预测：预计美联储将在12月加息25个基点，并于明年3月再加息25个基点；此前高盛仅预计12月加息一次。
高盛同时指出，第三次加息也可能提前至明年1月，但3月的可能性略高；首次降息预期则推迟至2027年12月。
CME FedWatch最新显示，美联储12月加息25个基点的概率为88.5%，加息50个基点的概率为11.5%；到明年1月，累计加息50个基点的概率升至59.2%。
$BTC $ETH
#fed #cpiwatch
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GÂY SỐC: NỖI LO FED TĂNG LÃI SUẤT BÙNG NỔ! THỊ TRƯỜNG CHUẨN BỊ ĐÓN MỘT BƯỚC ĐI LỚN VÀO THÁNG 12 !
Theo CME FedWatch, xác suất Fed #Fed TĂNG lãi suất thêm 25 điểm cơ bản vào tháng 12 đã tăng vọt lên 99,1%!
Kỳ vọng cắt giảm lãi suất đang nhường chỗ cho nỗi lo tăng lãi suất. Giờ đây, mọi ánh mắt đều đổ dồn vào bước đi tiếp theo của Fed!
$BTC $XRP $XAG
#BitcoinFiveWeeklyLosses [ ](https://www.binance.com/square/hashtag/BitcoinFiveWeeklyLosses)#TrumpMediaAdds1510BTCInQ3 #HotCPIDecemberHikePriced #CanNvidiaEarningsEaseMarketConcerns?
{future}(BTCUSDT)
{future}(XRPUSDT)
{future}(XAGUSDT)
GÂY SỐC: NỖI LO FED TĂNG LÃI SUẤT BÙNG NỔ! THỊ TRƯỜNG CHUẨN BỊ ĐÓN MỘT BƯỚC ĐI LỚN VÀO THÁNG 12 !
Theo CME FedWatch, xác suất Fed #Fed TĂNG lãi suất thêm 25 điểm cơ bản vào tháng 12 đã tăng vọt lên 99,1%!
Kỳ vọng cắt giảm lãi suất đang nhường chỗ cho nỗi lo tăng lãi suất. Giờ đây, mọi ánh mắt đều đổ dồn vào bước đi tiếp theo của Fed!
$BTC $XRP $XAG
#BitcoinFiveWeeklyLosses [ ](https://www.binance.com/square/hashtag/BitcoinFiveWeeklyLosses)#TrumpMediaAdds1510BTCInQ3 #HotCPIDecemberHikePriced #CanNvidiaEarningsEaseMarketConcerns?
Theo CME FedWatch, xác suất Fed #Fed TĂNG lãi suất thêm 25 điểm cơ bản vào tháng 12 đã tăng vọt lên 99,1%!
Kỳ vọng cắt giảm lãi suất đang nhường chỗ cho nỗi lo tăng lãi suất. Giờ đây, mọi ánh mắt đều đổ dồn vào bước đi tiếp theo của Fed!
$BTC $XRP $XAG
#BitcoinFiveWeeklyLosses [ ](https://www.binance.com/square/hashtag/BitcoinFiveWeeklyLosses)#TrumpMediaAdds1510BTCInQ3 #HotCPIDecemberHikePriced #CanNvidiaEarningsEaseMarketConcerns?
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La Fed va-t-elle vraiment remonter ses taux le 9 décembre ? Pour le marché, c'est quasiment acté depuis le CPI de mardi, et Goldman Sachs ajoute maintenant une hausse de plus en mars 2027.
Réponse courte : oui, c'est le scénario central. Selon Reuters ce mercredi 11/11, les contrats suivis par le CME FedWatch intègrent pleinement une hausse de 25 points de base le 9 décembre, avec une petite probabilité pour 50. Le déclencheur, c'est l'inflation d'octobre à +0,4 % sur un mois contre 0,3 % attendu, la troisième surprise à la hausse d'affilée.
Ce qui change vraiment, c'est la suite. David Mericle, économiste en chef de Goldman, prévoit désormais une troisième hausse du cycle en mars 2027 (janvier possible) et repousse la première baisse de taux à décembre 2027. Deutsche Bank va plus loin et ajoute une hausse en janvier en plus de décembre et mars.
Pour le $BTC, ça s'est vu tout de suite. Sur Binance, le prix est passé de 74 770 $ à la minute du CPI (13:30 UTC) à un plus bas de 72 727 $ vers 16:00 UTC, son niveau le plus faible depuis août. Cette nuit, le creux s'est arrêté à 73 209 $ et le BTC traînait vers 73 860 $ à 07:00 UTC. Selon CoinGlass (via crypto.news), 723 M$ de positions ont été liquidées en 24h, dont environ 570 M$ de longs.
Ma lecture : le choc du chiffre est absorbé, celui du calendrier pas encore. Des taux plus hauts plus longtemps, c'est un coût d'opportunité réel pour les actifs sans rendement. Tant que 75 000 $ n'est pas repris, les rebonds restent fragiles. Une perte nette de 72 727 $ remettrait la pression sur les longs, alors qu'un retour au-dessus de 75 000 $ montrerait que le marché avait déjà tout intégré.
Vraie question : une Fed qui monte encore en mars, c'est déjà dans le prix du BTC, ou le marché le découvre seulement maintenant ?
#Bitcoin #Fed
La Fed va-t-elle vraiment remonter ses taux le 9 décembre ? Pour le marché, c'est quasiment acté depuis le CPI de mardi, et Goldman Sachs ajoute maintenant une hausse de plus en mars 2027.
Réponse courte : oui, c'est le scénario central. Selon Reuters ce mercredi 11/11, les contrats suivis par le CME FedWatch intègrent pleinement une hausse de 25 points de base le 9 décembre, avec une petite probabilité pour 50. Le déclencheur, c'est l'inflation d'octobre à +0,4 % sur un mois contre 0,3 % attendu, la troisième surprise à la hausse d'affilée.
Ce qui change vraiment, c'est la suite. David Mericle, économiste en chef de Goldman, prévoit désormais une troisième hausse du cycle en mars 2027 (janvier possible) et repousse la première baisse de taux à décembre 2027. Deutsche Bank va plus loin et ajoute une hausse en janvier en plus de décembre et mars.
Pour le $BTC , ça s'est vu tout de suite. Sur Binance, le prix est passé de 74 770 $ à la minute du CPI (13:30 UTC) à un plus bas de 72 727 $ vers 16:00 UTC, son niveau le plus faible depuis août. Cette nuit, le creux s'est arrêté à 73 209 $ et le BTC traînait vers 73 860 $ à 07:00 UTC. Selon CoinGlass (via crypto.news), 723 M$ de positions ont été liquidées en 24h, dont environ 570 M$ de longs.
Ma lecture : le choc du chiffre est absorbé, celui du calendrier pas encore. Des taux plus hauts plus longtemps, c'est un coût d'opportunité réel pour les actifs sans rendement. Tant que 75 000 $ n'est pas repris, les rebonds restent fragiles. Une perte nette de 72 727 $ remettrait la pression sur les longs, alors qu'un retour au-dessus de 75 000 $ montrerait que le marché avait déjà tout intégré.
Vraie question : une Fed qui monte encore en mars, c'est déjà dans le prix du BTC, ou le marché le découvre seulement maintenant ?
#Bitcoin #Fed
Réponse courte : oui, c'est le scénario central. Selon Reuters ce mercredi 11/11, les contrats suivis par le CME FedWatch intègrent pleinement une hausse de 25 points de base le 9 décembre, avec une petite probabilité pour 50. Le déclencheur, c'est l'inflation d'octobre à +0,4 % sur un mois contre 0,3 % attendu, la troisième surprise à la hausse d'affilée.
Ce qui change vraiment, c'est la suite. David Mericle, économiste en chef de Goldman, prévoit désormais une troisième hausse du cycle en mars 2027 (janvier possible) et repousse la première baisse de taux à décembre 2027. Deutsche Bank va plus loin et ajoute une hausse en janvier en plus de décembre et mars.
Pour le $BTC , ça s'est vu tout de suite. Sur Binance, le prix est passé de 74 770 $ à la minute du CPI (13:30 UTC) à un plus bas de 72 727 $ vers 16:00 UTC, son niveau le plus faible depuis août. Cette nuit, le creux s'est arrêté à 73 209 $ et le BTC traînait vers 73 860 $ à 07:00 UTC. Selon CoinGlass (via crypto.news), 723 M$ de positions ont été liquidées en 24h, dont environ 570 M$ de longs.
Ma lecture : le choc du chiffre est absorbé, celui du calendrier pas encore. Des taux plus hauts plus longtemps, c'est un coût d'opportunité réel pour les actifs sans rendement. Tant que 75 000 $ n'est pas repris, les rebonds restent fragiles. Une perte nette de 72 727 $ remettrait la pression sur les longs, alors qu'un retour au-dessus de 75 000 $ montrerait que le marché avait déjà tout intégré.
Vraie question : une Fed qui monte encore en mars, c'est déjà dans le prix du BTC, ou le marché le découvre seulement maintenant ?
#Bitcoin #Fed
73
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美联储12月加息50bp可能只是虚张声势！核心服务通胀数据8月已见顶，这意味着什么？加息周期可能接近尾声！对加密市场而言，宽松预期升温，BTC可能迎来新机遇！#美联储 #加息 $BTC
Fed's 50bps rate hike in December might be just for show! Core services inflation peaked back in August, signaling what? Rate hike cycle could be ending! For crypto markets, easing expectations heating up, BTC might see new opportunities! #Fed #Hike $BTC
美联储12月加息50bp可能只是虚张声势！核心服务通胀数据8月已见顶，这意味着什么？加息周期可能接近尾声！对加密市场而言，宽松预期升温，BTC可能迎来新机遇！#美联储 #加息 $BTC
Fed's 50bps rate hike in December might be just for show! Core services inflation peaked back in August, signaling what? Rate hike cycle could be ending! For crypto markets, easing expectations heating up, BTC might see new opportunities! #Fed #Hike $BTC
Fed's 50bps rate hike in December might be just for show! Core services inflation peaked back in August, signaling what? Rate hike cycle could be ending! For crypto markets, easing expectations heating up, BTC might see new opportunities! #Fed #Hike $BTC
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🔥 Hot CPI = December Hike Almost Confirmed. But Is The Fear Already Priced In?
October CPI just changed everything.
Headline CPI came at +0.4%, above the +0.3% forecast.
Core CPI came at +0.3%, above the +0.2% expected - 3rd month in a row.
Now the market is fully pricing in a 25 bps Fed hike in December, and some are even talking about 50 bps.
For crypto, this is simple:
Higher rates = Stronger dollar = Higher yields = Less appetite for risk.
That's why BTC is at ∼$73,800, ETH is struggling, and alts are bleeding. $1.28B already left BTC ETFs last week.
But here is my take - and this is different from the crowd:
Most of this hike fear is ALREADY priced in.
The real question is NOT December. The real question is:
Will the Fed signal MORE tightening into 2027?
If Fed says "one hike and done" - market will bounce hard.
If Fed says "more hikes coming" - we go to $68K - $70K.
So I am not panic selling here. I am watching 3 things before my next move:
1. Dollar strength
2. Nov 13 PPI data
3. Nov 18 Fed Minutes
Patience > Panic. Risk management > Prediction.
Do you think December hike is already priced in, or is more downside coming?
Drop your view 👇
#BTC #CPI #Fed #Bitcoin #crypto
$BTC
{spot}(BTCUSDT)
$ETH
{spot}(ETHUSDT)
$SOL
{spot}(SOLUSDT)
🔥 Hot CPI = December Hike Almost Confirmed. But Is The Fear Already Priced In?
October CPI just changed everything.
Headline CPI came at +0.4%, above the +0.3% forecast.
Core CPI came at +0.3%, above the +0.2% expected - 3rd month in a row.
Now the market is fully pricing in a 25 bps Fed hike in December, and some are even talking about 50 bps.
For crypto, this is simple:
Higher rates = Stronger dollar = Higher yields = Less appetite for risk.
That's why BTC is at ∼$73,800, ETH is struggling, and alts are bleeding. $1.28B already left BTC ETFs last week.
But here is my take - and this is different from the crowd:
Most of this hike fear is ALREADY priced in.
The real question is NOT December. The real question is:
Will the Fed signal MORE tightening into 2027?
If Fed says "one hike and done" - market will bounce hard.
If Fed says "more hikes coming" - we go to $68K - $70K.
So I am not panic selling here. I am watching 3 things before my next move:
1. Dollar strength
2. Nov 13 PPI data
3. Nov 18 Fed Minutes
Patience > Panic. Risk management > Prediction.
Do you think December hike is already priced in, or is more downside coming?
Drop your view 👇
#BTC #CPI #Fed #Bitcoin #crypto
$BTC
$ETH
$SOL
October CPI just changed everything.
Headline CPI came at +0.4%, above the +0.3% forecast.
Core CPI came at +0.3%, above the +0.2% expected - 3rd month in a row.
Now the market is fully pricing in a 25 bps Fed hike in December, and some are even talking about 50 bps.
For crypto, this is simple:
Higher rates = Stronger dollar = Higher yields = Less appetite for risk.
That's why BTC is at ∼$73,800, ETH is struggling, and alts are bleeding. $1.28B already left BTC ETFs last week.
But here is my take - and this is different from the crowd:
Most of this hike fear is ALREADY priced in.
The real question is NOT December. The real question is:
Will the Fed signal MORE tightening into 2027?
If Fed says "one hike and done" - market will bounce hard.
If Fed says "more hikes coming" - we go to $68K - $70K.
So I am not panic selling here. I am watching 3 things before my next move:
1. Dollar strength
2. Nov 13 PPI data
3. Nov 18 Fed Minutes
Patience > Panic. Risk management > Prediction.
Do you think December hike is already priced in, or is more downside coming?
Drop your view 👇
#BTC #CPI #Fed #Bitcoin #crypto
$BTC
$ETH
$SOL
1
167
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兄弟们，注意了！美联储这波收紧金融条件可不是免费的午餐。现在市场在硬扛，但如果鹰派预期落空，反噬会非常严重！$BTC $ETH 正在悬崖边跳舞啊！
#Fed #Crypto
Yo fam, listen up! The market's paying the price for fighting against Fed's tightening. If the hawkish expectations don't materialize, the backlash could be brutal. $BTC $ETH are dancing on the edge right now!
#FedPolicy #CryptoMarkets
兄弟们，注意了！美联储这波收紧金融条件可不是免费的午餐。现在市场在硬扛，但如果鹰派预期落空，反噬会非常严重！$BTC $ETH 正在悬崖边跳舞啊！
#Fed #Crypto
Yo fam, listen up! The market's paying the price for fighting against Fed's tightening. If the hawkish expectations don't materialize, the backlash could be brutal. $BTC $ETH are dancing on the edge right now!
#FedPolicy #CryptoMarkets
#Fed #Crypto
Yo fam, listen up! The market's paying the price for fighting against Fed's tightening. If the hawkish expectations don't materialize, the backlash could be brutal. $BTC $ETH are dancing on the edge right now!
#FedPolicy #CryptoMarkets
232
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🚨 BREAKING: 90% CHANCE OF A FED RATE HIKE IN DECEMBER!
A rate hike sounds scary. But what does it actually mean for crypto? Let me explain it simply.
1️⃣ A rate hike means borrowing money becomes more expensive. Loans, credit cards, everything costs more.
2️⃣ When money is expensive, investors become careful. They move away from risky assets like crypto and stocks.
3️⃣ That is why crypto often falls when a rate hike is expected. It is not about Bitcoin itself. It is about the cost of money.
So what should a beginner do? Stay calm. Do not panic sell on one headline. A rate decision is one piece of news, not the whole story.
Did you know before today that the Fed's decision can move crypto prices? Tell me in the comments.
$BTC $ETH $XRP $SOL
#learncrypto #CryptoBasics #Fed
Educational only, not financial advice.
🚨 BREAKING: 90% CHANCE OF A FED RATE HIKE IN DECEMBER!
A rate hike sounds scary. But what does it actually mean for crypto? Let me explain it simply.
1️⃣ A rate hike means borrowing money becomes more expensive. Loans, credit cards, everything costs more.
2️⃣ When money is expensive, investors become careful. They move away from risky assets like crypto and stocks.
3️⃣ That is why crypto often falls when a rate hike is expected. It is not about Bitcoin itself. It is about the cost of money.
So what should a beginner do? Stay calm. Do not panic sell on one headline. A rate decision is one piece of news, not the whole story.
Did you know before today that the Fed's decision can move crypto prices? Tell me in the comments.
$BTC $ETH $XRP $SOL
#learncrypto #CryptoBasics #Fed
Educational only, not financial advice.
A rate hike sounds scary. But what does it actually mean for crypto? Let me explain it simply.
1️⃣ A rate hike means borrowing money becomes more expensive. Loans, credit cards, everything costs more.
2️⃣ When money is expensive, investors become careful. They move away from risky assets like crypto and stocks.
3️⃣ That is why crypto often falls when a rate hike is expected. It is not about Bitcoin itself. It is about the cost of money.
So what should a beginner do? Stay calm. Do not panic sell on one headline. A rate decision is one piece of news, not the whole story.
Did you know before today that the Fed's decision can move crypto prices? Tell me in the comments.
$BTC $ETH $XRP $SOL
#learncrypto #CryptoBasics #Fed
Educational only, not financial advice.
121
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🚨 CORE CPI HIT WALLER'S 0.3% LINE, 50BP NOW ON THE TABLE
October CPI came in hot, and it landed exactly on the trigger Fed Governor Christopher Waller set the night before.
Headline CPI: +0.4% vs +0.3% forecast (Sept +0.6%). Core CPI: +0.3% vs +0.2% forecast, the third straight month at 0.3% (BLS, Nov 10, 8:30am ET).
Waller said in London on Nov 10 he will support a 25bp hike at the Dec 8-9 FOMC even if inflation cooled. His condition for going bigger: if core CPI rose 0.3% or more, "a 50 basis point hike in the policy rate should be considered." Core printed exactly 0.3%.
Futures now price about an 85% chance of a December hike to 4.00-4.25%, from 3.75-4.00% today. A Reuters poll of 101 economists agrees on December, but splits on what follows: 55% say that is the end of the cycle, 45% see at least two more hikes.
🔥 Why it matters: this is the last CPI print the Fed sees before it decides. The next one lands Dec 10, one day after the meeting ends. The chain runs hot core, higher for longer, stronger dollar and yields, then risk assets reprice, and crypto felt it first. $BTC at $73,745 (-1.5%), $ETH at $2,063 (-2.9%), $SOL at $82.80 (-4.0%), with $600M in leveraged positions liquidated in 4 hours (WatcherGuru). Fear and Greed sits at 29, Fear.
My take: one governor is not the committee, and 85% market odds are not a Fed decision. Morgan Stanley's macro chief already called 50bp "too far." But the 0.3% print means Waller's bigger-hike option can no longer be dismissed as a bluff.
👀 What to watch: whether other Fed officials echo Waller before Dec 8, the Dec 8-9 decision itself, and whether BTC holds $73,000 while ETH defends $2,000.
Bottom line: the hike is nearly priced in, the size is now the argument.
December: 25bp, or does Waller get his 50? 🐂🐻
Not financial advice. DYOR.
#crypto #Fed #CPI
🚨 CORE CPI HIT WALLER'S 0.3% LINE, 50BP NOW ON THE TABLE
October CPI came in hot, and it landed exactly on the trigger Fed Governor Christopher Waller set the night before.
Headline CPI: +0.4% vs +0.3% forecast (Sept +0.6%). Core CPI: +0.3% vs +0.2% forecast, the third straight month at 0.3% (BLS, Nov 10, 8:30am ET).
Waller said in London on Nov 10 he will support a 25bp hike at the Dec 8-9 FOMC even if inflation cooled. His condition for going bigger: if core CPI rose 0.3% or more, "a 50 basis point hike in the policy rate should be considered." Core printed exactly 0.3%.
Futures now price about an 85% chance of a December hike to 4.00-4.25%, from 3.75-4.00% today. A Reuters poll of 101 economists agrees on December, but splits on what follows: 55% say that is the end of the cycle, 45% see at least two more hikes.
🔥 Why it matters: this is the last CPI print the Fed sees before it decides. The next one lands Dec 10, one day after the meeting ends. The chain runs hot core, higher for longer, stronger dollar and yields, then risk assets reprice, and crypto felt it first. $BTC at $73,745 (-1.5%), $ETH at $2,063 (-2.9%), $SOL at $82.80 (-4.0%), with $600M in leveraged positions liquidated in 4 hours (WatcherGuru). Fear and Greed sits at 29, Fear.
My take: one governor is not the committee, and 85% market odds are not a Fed decision. Morgan Stanley's macro chief already called 50bp "too far." But the 0.3% print means Waller's bigger-hike option can no longer be dismissed as a bluff.
👀 What to watch: whether other Fed officials echo Waller before Dec 8, the Dec 8-9 decision itself, and whether BTC holds $73,000 while ETH defends $2,000.
Bottom line: the hike is nearly priced in, the size is now the argument.
December: 25bp, or does Waller get his 50? 🐂🐻
Not financial advice. DYOR.
#crypto #Fed #CPI
October CPI came in hot, and it landed exactly on the trigger Fed Governor Christopher Waller set the night before.
Headline CPI: +0.4% vs +0.3% forecast (Sept +0.6%). Core CPI: +0.3% vs +0.2% forecast, the third straight month at 0.3% (BLS, Nov 10, 8:30am ET).
Waller said in London on Nov 10 he will support a 25bp hike at the Dec 8-9 FOMC even if inflation cooled. His condition for going bigger: if core CPI rose 0.3% or more, "a 50 basis point hike in the policy rate should be considered." Core printed exactly 0.3%.
Futures now price about an 85% chance of a December hike to 4.00-4.25%, from 3.75-4.00% today. A Reuters poll of 101 economists agrees on December, but splits on what follows: 55% say that is the end of the cycle, 45% see at least two more hikes.
🔥 Why it matters: this is the last CPI print the Fed sees before it decides. The next one lands Dec 10, one day after the meeting ends. The chain runs hot core, higher for longer, stronger dollar and yields, then risk assets reprice, and crypto felt it first. $BTC at $73,745 (-1.5%), $ETH at $2,063 (-2.9%), $SOL at $82.80 (-4.0%), with $600M in leveraged positions liquidated in 4 hours (WatcherGuru). Fear and Greed sits at 29, Fear.
My take: one governor is not the committee, and 85% market odds are not a Fed decision. Morgan Stanley's macro chief already called 50bp "too far." But the 0.3% print means Waller's bigger-hike option can no longer be dismissed as a bluff.
👀 What to watch: whether other Fed officials echo Waller before Dec 8, the Dec 8-9 decision itself, and whether BTC holds $73,000 while ETH defends $2,000.
Bottom line: the hike is nearly priced in, the size is now the argument.
December: 25bp, or does Waller get his 50? 🐂🐻
Not financial advice. DYOR.
#crypto #Fed #CPI
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Проверено
Sismo en el criptomercado!
#bitcoin perfora los $74.000 arrastrado por un #IPC caliente y el fantasma de una #Fed más agresiva
#BTC rompe soportes clave
La criptomoneda líder sufrió un duro revés al cotizar por debajo de la barrera de los $74.000, ubicándose en la zona de los $73.917 en medio de una fuerte presión vendedora.
Corrección en los mercados tradicionales: Los futuros de Wall Street operaron en rojo, con caídas destacadas en el Nasdaq-100 (cerca de un -1,2% / -1,05%) y el S&P 500 (-0,5%), reflejando el nerviosismo de los operadores ante el panorama macroeconómico.
Inflación por encima de las previsiones: El Índice de Precios al Consumo (IPC) de octubre registró un incremento mensual del 0,4%, superando el 0,3% que pronosticaban los economistas de Dow Jones.
El giro de la Reserva Federal: El gobernador de la Fed, Christopher Waller, advirtió que ve muy probable una subida de tipos de interés en diciembre y no descartó un incremento mayor de medio punto (50 puntos básicos) debido a la persistencia de las presiones inflacionistas.
$BTC
{future}(BTCUSDT)
$QQQB
{spot}(QQQBUSDT)
$SPYB
{spot}(SPYBUSDT)
Sismo en el criptomercado!
#bitcoin perfora los $74.000 arrastrado por un #IPC caliente y el fantasma de una #Fed más agresiva
#BTC rompe soportes clave
La criptomoneda líder sufrió un duro revés al cotizar por debajo de la barrera de los $74.000, ubicándose en la zona de los $73.917 en medio de una fuerte presión vendedora.
Corrección en los mercados tradicionales: Los futuros de Wall Street operaron en rojo, con caídas destacadas en el Nasdaq-100 (cerca de un -1,2% / -1,05%) y el S&P 500 (-0,5%), reflejando el nerviosismo de los operadores ante el panorama macroeconómico.
Inflación por encima de las previsiones: El Índice de Precios al Consumo (IPC) de octubre registró un incremento mensual del 0,4%, superando el 0,3% que pronosticaban los economistas de Dow Jones.
El giro de la Reserva Federal: El gobernador de la Fed, Christopher Waller, advirtió que ve muy probable una subida de tipos de interés en diciembre y no descartó un incremento mayor de medio punto (50 puntos básicos) debido a la persistencia de las presiones inflacionistas.
$BTC
$QQQB
$SPYB
#bitcoin perfora los $74.000 arrastrado por un #IPC caliente y el fantasma de una #Fed más agresiva
#BTC rompe soportes clave
La criptomoneda líder sufrió un duro revés al cotizar por debajo de la barrera de los $74.000, ubicándose en la zona de los $73.917 en medio de una fuerte presión vendedora.
Corrección en los mercados tradicionales: Los futuros de Wall Street operaron en rojo, con caídas destacadas en el Nasdaq-100 (cerca de un -1,2% / -1,05%) y el S&P 500 (-0,5%), reflejando el nerviosismo de los operadores ante el panorama macroeconómico.
Inflación por encima de las previsiones: El Índice de Precios al Consumo (IPC) de octubre registró un incremento mensual del 0,4%, superando el 0,3% que pronosticaban los economistas de Dow Jones.
El giro de la Reserva Federal: El gobernador de la Fed, Christopher Waller, advirtió que ve muy probable una subida de tipos de interés en diciembre y no descartó un incremento mayor de medio punto (50 puntos básicos) debido a la persistencia de las presiones inflacionistas.
$BTC
$QQQB
$SPYB
3
1.5k
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Thị trường đang phóng đại rủi ro Fed tăng 50 điểm cơ bản vào tháng 12?
CPI Mỹ tháng 10 nóng hơn dự báo: +0,4% so với +0,3% kỳ vọng, lõi +0,3% tháng thứ 3 liên tiếp. Thị trường bắt đầu đồn Fed có thể tăng mạnh tay 50bp tại cuộc họp 8–9/12.
Nhưng nhà kinh tế Seiji Katsurahata (Daiichi Life Research Institute) cho rằng kỳ vọng này quá mức — kịch bản cơ sở vẫn là +25bp. Lợi suất trái phiếu ngắn hạn đang chịu áp lực tăng, đẩy USD mạnh lên và kìm hãm chứng khoán Mỹ. Khi kỳ vọng ổn định ở mức +25bp, lợi suất ngắn hạn sẽ phục hồi và đà tăng của USD có thể bị hạn chế.
$BTC hiện quanh 73.800 USD, giảm 1,1% trong 24h qua.
#fed #cpiwatch
Thị trường đang phóng đại rủi ro Fed tăng 50 điểm cơ bản vào tháng 12?
CPI Mỹ tháng 10 nóng hơn dự báo: +0,4% so với +0,3% kỳ vọng, lõi +0,3% tháng thứ 3 liên tiếp. Thị trường bắt đầu đồn Fed có thể tăng mạnh tay 50bp tại cuộc họp 8–9/12.
Nhưng nhà kinh tế Seiji Katsurahata (Daiichi Life Research Institute) cho rằng kỳ vọng này quá mức — kịch bản cơ sở vẫn là +25bp. Lợi suất trái phiếu ngắn hạn đang chịu áp lực tăng, đẩy USD mạnh lên và kìm hãm chứng khoán Mỹ. Khi kỳ vọng ổn định ở mức +25bp, lợi suất ngắn hạn sẽ phục hồi và đà tăng của USD có thể bị hạn chế.
$BTC hiện quanh 73.800 USD, giảm 1,1% trong 24h qua.
#fed #cpiwatch
CPI Mỹ tháng 10 nóng hơn dự báo: +0,4% so với +0,3% kỳ vọng, lõi +0,3% tháng thứ 3 liên tiếp. Thị trường bắt đầu đồn Fed có thể tăng mạnh tay 50bp tại cuộc họp 8–9/12.
Nhưng nhà kinh tế Seiji Katsurahata (Daiichi Life Research Institute) cho rằng kỳ vọng này quá mức — kịch bản cơ sở vẫn là +25bp. Lợi suất trái phiếu ngắn hạn đang chịu áp lực tăng, đẩy USD mạnh lên và kìm hãm chứng khoán Mỹ. Khi kỳ vọng ổn định ở mức +25bp, lợi suất ngắn hạn sẽ phục hồi và đà tăng của USD có thể bị hạn chế.
$BTC hiện quanh 73.800 USD, giảm 1,1% trong 24h qua.
#fed #cpiwatch
157
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澳新银行：美债收益率仍有上行空间，油价大跌或暂缓涨势
美国10月CPI环比上涨0.4%、核心CPI上涨0.3%，均高于预期（北京时间10日晚21:30公布），叠加美联储官员接连放鹰，引发美债抛售，10年期收益率升至5.012%。
澳新银行利率策略师Jack Chambers认为，美债收益率仍有上行空间：经济动能与美联储加息预期将占上风，推动10年期收益率继续走高。
不过他同时指出，油价大跌可能让这轮涨势在未来几周暂歇，市场需同时紧盯油价与加息预期这两条线。
CME FedWatch最新显示，美联储12月加息25个基点的概率为88.5%，加息50个基点的概率为11.5%。
$BTC $ETH
#fed #cpiwatch
澳新银行：美债收益率仍有上行空间，油价大跌或暂缓涨势
美国10月CPI环比上涨0.4%、核心CPI上涨0.3%，均高于预期（北京时间10日晚21:30公布），叠加美联储官员接连放鹰，引发美债抛售，10年期收益率升至5.012%。
澳新银行利率策略师Jack Chambers认为，美债收益率仍有上行空间：经济动能与美联储加息预期将占上风，推动10年期收益率继续走高。
不过他同时指出，油价大跌可能让这轮涨势在未来几周暂歇，市场需同时紧盯油价与加息预期这两条线。
CME FedWatch最新显示，美联储12月加息25个基点的概率为88.5%，加息50个基点的概率为11.5%。
$BTC $ETH
#fed #cpiwatch
美国10月CPI环比上涨0.4%、核心CPI上涨0.3%，均高于预期（北京时间10日晚21:30公布），叠加美联储官员接连放鹰，引发美债抛售，10年期收益率升至5.012%。
澳新银行利率策略师Jack Chambers认为，美债收益率仍有上行空间：经济动能与美联储加息预期将占上风，推动10年期收益率继续走高。
不过他同时指出，油价大跌可能让这轮涨势在未来几周暂歇，市场需同时紧盯油价与加息预期这两条线。
CME FedWatch最新显示，美联储12月加息25个基点的概率为88.5%，加息50个基点的概率为11.5%。
$BTC $ETH
#fed #cpiwatch
43
$BTC القنبلة الاولي انفجرت والر قالها و CPI نفدها
كريستوفر والر خرج اليوم وقاله:
إذا جاء التضخم الأساسي 0.3% أو أكثر .. أعتقد أنه يجب أن يُنظر في رفع *0.50%* في ديسمبر .. رفع 0.25% فقط سيضع مصداقيتنا في خطر"
وبعدها بساعات ..
تقرير CPI جاء:
*الأساسي Core: 0.3%
*العام: 0.4%
يعني وصل بالضبط للرقم اللي حدده والر!
يعني الباب انفتح الآن للتفكير في رفع 0.50%
السوق الآن - CME FedWatch:
90%* يتوقعون رفع 0.25%
+ 10%* يتوقعون رفع 0.50%
= 100%* رفع مؤكد في ديسمبر
$BTC
{future}(BTCUSDT)
#BTC #CPI #FED
$BTC القنبلة الاولي انفجرت والر قالها و CPI نفدها
كريستوفر والر خرج اليوم وقاله:
إذا جاء التضخم الأساسي 0.3% أو أكثر .. أعتقد أنه يجب أن يُنظر في رفع *0.50%* في ديسمبر .. رفع 0.25% فقط سيضع مصداقيتنا في خطر"
وبعدها بساعات ..
تقرير CPI جاء:
*الأساسي Core: 0.3%
*العام: 0.4%
يعني وصل بالضبط للرقم اللي حدده والر!
يعني الباب انفتح الآن للتفكير في رفع 0.50%
السوق الآن - CME FedWatch:
90%* يتوقعون رفع 0.25%
+ 10%* يتوقعون رفع 0.50%
= 100%* رفع مؤكد في ديسمبر
$BTC
#BTC #CPI #FED
كريستوفر والر خرج اليوم وقاله:
إذا جاء التضخم الأساسي 0.3% أو أكثر .. أعتقد أنه يجب أن يُنظر في رفع *0.50%* في ديسمبر .. رفع 0.25% فقط سيضع مصداقيتنا في خطر"
وبعدها بساعات ..
تقرير CPI جاء:
*الأساسي Core: 0.3%
*العام: 0.4%
يعني وصل بالضبط للرقم اللي حدده والر!
يعني الباب انفتح الآن للتفكير في رفع 0.50%
السوق الآن - CME FedWatch:
90%* يتوقعون رفع 0.25%
+ 10%* يتوقعون رفع 0.50%
= 100%* رفع مؤكد في ديسمبر
$BTC
#BTC #CPI #FED
Alex Crypto X:
Thanks for sharing
1
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