cpi

Today’s U.S. inflation (CPI) report is one of the most important macro events for financial markets — and yes, crypto traders should care a lot.
📊 The Data (Latest Release)
CPI YoY: 2.4%
Previous: 2.7%
Forecast: ~2.5%
Monthly CPI: +0.2%
Core CPI: 2.5% YoY
Inflation cooled more than expected, showing price pressures in the U.S. economy are slowing.
Why CPI Matters (Especially for Crypto)
CPI → Federal Reserve interest rates → Liquidity → Risk assets
This is the chain.
The Fed raises rates when inflation is high and cuts rates when inflation falls. Lower inflation increases expectations of rate cuts, and markets immediately react to that.
And here is the key:
Crypto and gold don’t react to inflation itself — they react to interest rate expectations.
When interest rates fall:
Money becomes cheaper
Liquidity enters markets
Investors move into risk assets
🪙 Impact on Bitcoin (BTC)
Bitcoin behaves like a liquidity asset.
Historically:
Higher-than-expected inflation → BTC drops
Lower-than-expected inflation → BTC pumps
Research shows Bitcoin often reacts negatively to inflation surprises because they imply tighter monetary policy.
So today’s lower CPI = bullish bias.
Why? Because cooling inflation increases the probability of Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2026.
👉 What typically happens:
Bond yields fall
Dollar weakens
BTC rises
This is why major BTC moves often start on CPI days.
🥇 Impact on Gold
Gold is a rate-sensitive safe haven.
Gold moves mainly with:
Real yields
Dollar strength
Lower inflation → lower bond yields → weaker dollar → gold bullish
Markets were already positioning for this as gold prices started rising ahead of the CPI release.
So both Bitcoin and gold benefit, but for different reasons:
Asset
Reaction Driver
Bitcoin
Liquidity & risk appetite
Gold
Real yields & dollar weakness
What Traders Should Watch Next
Now CPI is out, the next catalyst is: Federal Reserve rate-cut expectations
If markets start pricing cuts:
BTC → strong bullish continuation
Gold → steady uptrend
If inflation rebounds next month:
BTC volatility returns
Gold may hold better
Simple Takeaway
Today’s CPI is macro-bullish.
Cooling inflation:
increases rate-cut probability
improves liquidity conditions
supports both crypto and metals
But remember: Bitcoin reacts fast. Gold reacts steady.
That’s why on CPI days you often see BTC move first — gold follows.
Trade the liquidity, not the headline.
$BTC #crypto #GOLD #cpi #FOMC #Macro

The volatility is back. Following the release of the January CPI (Consumer Price Index) data today, February 13, 2026, the crypto market has shifted from "Extreme Fear" to a definitive "Relief Rally." With inflation cooling more than expected to 2.4%, the macro narrative for a potential Fed pivot is finally gaining legs.

​Here is a deep dive into the current market structure for BTC and ETH.
​🟠 Bitcoin ($BTC ): The Battle for $70,000
​Bitcoin reacted aggressively to the CPI print, spiking from the mid-$65k range to briefly touch $69,190. This move invalidated the immediate bearish threat of a fourth consecutive weekly red candle.
​Key Technical Observations:
​The Support Flip: The most critical task for bulls is to flip the $68,800 – $69,000 zone (the 2021 cycle high) into a solidified support floor. If we hold this level, it signals a structural shift from a correction to a new uptrend.
​Liquidation Data: Over $60 million in BTC shorts were liquidated within an hour of the announcement. This "short squeeze" provided the fuel for the initial pump.
​Resistance: The next major "supply wall" sits at $71,600 – $72,000. A daily close above this would open the doors for a retest of the $74,500 yearly highs.
​Trading View: Watch the DXY (Dollar Index). The dollar is showing weakness post-CPI; as long as the DXY stays suppressed, the path of least resistance for BTC remains upward.
​🔷 Ethereum ($ETH ): Catching Up or Still Lagging?
​While BTC has taken the spotlight, Ethereum is showing signs of stabilizing after a brutal start to February. ETH is currently hovering near $1,970, attempting to reclaim the psychological $2,000 level.
​Key Technical Observations:
​Oversold Bounce: The RSI for ETH hit extreme oversold levels (near 24) earlier this week. The current bounce is technically a "mean reversion," but momentum is building.
​The $2,050 Ceiling: ETH faces immediate heavy resistance at $2,050 – $2,200. Unlike BTC, ETH still has significant "leverage overhang" to clear before it can target the $2,400 range.
​ETF Flows: Keep an eye on the spot ETH ETF net flows. While BTC ETFs saw a return to inflows today, ETH funds have been seeing expanded outflows. A stabilization here is the "missing ingredient" for a parabolic ETH move.
​📊 Market Outlook: Q2 2026
​The "Soft Landing" narrative is back on the table. If inflation continues to trend toward the 2% target, the market will begin pricing in rate cuts for the second half of 2026.
​Bullish Case: BTC maintains $69k, leading to a "FOMO" wave toward $80k by the end of March.
​Bearish Case: If the Fed remains hawkish in their upcoming speeches despite the cool CPI, expect a retracement to the $64,500 liquidity pocket.
​The Bottom Line
​The CPI data has given the market the green light it needed to breathe. However, professional traders should look for confirmation (a daily close above $69k for BTC) rather than chasing the initial green candle.

​What’s your move? Are you longing for the breakout or waiting for a retest of the support? Let us know in the comments below! 👇
​#bitcoin #Ethereum #cpi #CryptoAnalysis #Fed