Every Bitcoin bear market looks different on the surface, but the structure is usually the same.
A sharp dump. A relief bounce. Then one final flush that makes most people give up.
That’s exactly why I kept saying the Bitcoin bottom is not in yet. My view hasn’t changed. I still believe we’ll see below $55K, with $52K being the most important level. If panic gets worse, even $48K-$50K shouldn’t surprise anyone.
At the same time, I’ve already started buying more Bitcoin. I’m not trying to catch the exact bottom because nobody knows where it is. If Bitcoin never gives us another big drop, I don’t want to miss the opportunity by waiting for the perfect entry.
You don’t have to agree with my analysis. The market will decide. For now, I’ll continue following the same roadmap.
$ADA is coiling inside a descending wedge and the exit looks ugly 📉
They've been squeezing Cardano into a tighter and tighter range, and right now the lower support is cracking. This isn't a setup built for longs it's a trap that punishes anyone holding hope near $0.22.
The wedge has been printing lower highs for weeks. Upper boundary capping every attempt at $0.26, lower support sitting at $0.22 and the latest candles just broke that floor. No sharp rejection, no fakeout wick, just quiet bearish momentum doing what it does. 👀
Levels that matter:
Above $0.26 —the whole bearish narrative flips. That's where this wedge gets invalidated and the shorts start sweating.
Below $0.22 confirmed next area of interest is $0.20 to $0.21. That's the real target zone and it's closer than most people want to admit. #ADA
Candle behavior near the edge is telling. Bodies are compressing, wicks are shrinking. That kind of silence before a move usually means one side is about to get wrecked. Right now the structure is pointing at late longs as the sacrificial offering.
No volume data visible on this chart, which keeps a small door open for a fakeout but the momentum and candle structure don't lie. ⚡
The market reads bearish until $0.26 proves otherwise.
The one major still red on the week: $AAVE , down about 9%.
$AAVE is around $87.50, giving back the real-yield spike that made it a leader a couple of weeks ago. It is still up over 20% on the month, so this is digestion, not a breakdown, but it is the laggard of the bounce.
$HMSTR SHORT SETUP - PARABOLIC BLOW-OFF TOP AFTER +147% IN 90 DAYS 🐹
🔴 (SHORT)📍 Entry: $0.000340 - $0.000347
🎯 TP1: $0.000300
🎯 TP2: $0.000260
🎯 TP3: $0.000210
🔴 SL: $0.000385
⚡ Leverage: 10x | R:R 1:3.2
HMSTR pumped +42% today alone on massive volume of 473B tokens ($134M USDT) - that kind of vertical move on a meme token rarely sustains. Price went from $0.000187 low to $0.000347 high in 24h - a near 2x move begging for a correction. Volume MA(5) at 105B is way above MA(10) at 71B showing blow-off top characteristics. Despite +91% in 7 days and +105% in 30 days, the token is still -51% on the yearly - meaning this is a relief rally into heavy overhead supply from bag holders waiting to exit.
The $0.000383 level is the key resistance from prior structure. Expect profit-taking to kick in hard once momentum fades.
Three green days, and the deepest bottom signals in years are flashing: $BTC is holding above $62,000.
On-chain, the realized profit/loss ratio just hit a 43-month low, the kind of reading that marked the 2019 and 2022 bottoms. $ETH is leading and $ADA is up almost 20% on the week.
The catch: it is July 4. Volume is thin, US markets are closed, and nothing confirms it today. #altcoins
Backed by one of Thailand's wealthiest families, DV8 reportedly plans to build a digital asset portfolio equivalent to 10,000 Bitcoin by 2028, starting with 1,000 $BTC in 2026.
Retail sees a bear market. Institutions see an accumulation window 🟠🚀
Quietly one of the best on the board: $ADA is up about 14% on the week.
$ADA is near $0.165, riding the broad Layer-1 bid alongside Solana and Avalanche. It gets statutory clarity if CLARITY passes, one of the alts that would be reclassified cleanly as a commodity.
When the smaller L1s run, risk appetite is genuinely back.
$NFP is another reminder that not every pump deserves a buy.
Just look at the chart. In a single day, NFP exploded from $0.0040 to $0.0434, a gain of more than 900% in just one day. But within few hours, almost the entire pump was erased and price dumped to $0.0075, trapping everyone who bought this hype.
We’ve already seen the same thing happen with $LUNA , $FTT , OM, SQUID, TAC and many other pump-and-dump charts. A small bounce can happen, but expecting another 5x or 10x without a completely new catalyst is usually just hope, not analysis.
From a technical perspective, $0.0068-$0.0070 is the first support zone. If that fails, the market can easily revisit the $0.0040 area where the pump started. On the upside, $0.010-$0.012 is now the first major resistance because many trapped holders will likely sell into any recovery.
If you’re stuck in this trade, don’t let emotions make the next decision. Recover your losses slowly with better setups instead of trying to win everything back on one risky trade. Protect your capital first.
🚨 Bitcoin Is Waiting But the Next Big Move May Not Come From Crypto 👀
While $BTC continues to trade sideways, the real market drivers are shifting back to macro. According to Bitunix analysts, traders are closely watching:
U.S. jobs data (Non-Farm Payrolls)
Signals from the Federal Reserve on future rate hikes
🇯🇵 The Bank of Japan's next policy moves
Higher interest rates could keep pressure on risk assets, while any surprise from central banks may trigger increased volatility across both traditional and crypto markets.
TESLA JUST BEAT EXPECTATIONS... BUT THE STOCK IS CRASHING. 📉
$TSLA Tesla delivered a record 480,126 vehicles in Q2, beating Wall Street estimates by nearly 77,000 vehicles.
But shares still fell more than 7%.
Investors are questioning whether the rebound is sustainable as Tesla tries to recover from back-to-back annual sales declines, weaker EV incentives, and lingering brand damage tied to Elon Musk.
$BTC spent years reacting mostly to crypto headlines. Exchange collapses, ETF approvals, halving events were the days everyone watched. This week reminded me that macro news can sometimes move Bitcoin more than anything happening in the industry.
Kevin Warsh's comments about the chance of lower interest rates were enough to change sentiment across financial markets, and Bitcoin moved with them. It wasn't a blockchain upgrade or a major exchange announcement that caught traders' attention.
I think this shows how the market has evolved. More institutional investors mean that $BTC is now part of portfolios that include equities, bonds and commodities instead of existing in its own bubble. When expectations around monetary policy change, $BTC often reacts like other risk assets.
Crypto news still matters. ETF flows, regulation and on-chain activity all shape the long-term picture. But over the past year, I've found myself checking the macro calendar almost as often as the crypto one. Sometimes the biggest Bitcoin catalyst isn't coming from crypto at all.
$SOL has broken above the major resistance and the chart looks much stronger now. As long as we stay above $80, I think the move towards $90 is still on. #altcoins
Just don’t FOMO into green candles. A pullback around $83-85 would be completely normal before the next leg up.