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“Only a fool trips on what’s behind them.” — Iceberg Slim ◢ Founder, CEO, Asymmetric Financial & Asymmetric Information
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Another AI success story from a normie.
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$GOLD and CTA positioning looking like September 2024
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.@shieldaitech to acquire software simulation company Aechelon and raise $2B at $12.7B valuation
https://shield.ai/shield-ai-to-acquire-software-simulation-company-aechelon-and-raise-2b-at-12-7b-valuation/
https://shield.ai/shield-ai-to-acquire-software-simulation-company-aechelon-and-raise-2b-at-12-7b-valuation/
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$PLTR right into the gamma wall/call resistance
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💸 Closed $GLD Risk Reversal (Short $400 Put / Long $425 Call)
+145.52%
Executed with Radon
+145.52%
Executed with Radon
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💸 Closed $GLD Risk Reversal (Short $400 Put / Long $425 Call)
+145.52%
Executed with Radon
+145.52%
Executed with Radon
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🚨 Every Market. Same Short.
CTAs just hit a 2.9 standard deviation short on SPX futures, the most extreme positioning in 3 months.
One month ago CTAs were long at +0.44. The vol-targeting models picked up the regime change and mechanically reversed. This selling isn't discretionary. It's algorithmic, and it won't stop until realized vol compresses below the lookback window.
> Crowded commodity longs:
· Sugar 100th pctile
· Brent 90th pctile
· Cotton 90th pctile
> Bonds also max short: 10Y at -2.19 (z=-2.64) — full curve short
> Gold CTAs long at +0.82 (z=-2.23)
Analyzed by Radon ·
CTAs just hit a 2.9 standard deviation short on SPX futures, the most extreme positioning in 3 months.
One month ago CTAs were long at +0.44. The vol-targeting models picked up the regime change and mechanically reversed. This selling isn't discretionary. It's algorithmic, and it won't stop until realized vol compresses below the lookback window.
> Crowded commodity longs:
· Sugar 100th pctile
· Brent 90th pctile
· Cotton 90th pctile
> Bonds also max short: 10Y at -2.19 (z=-2.64) — full curve short
> Gold CTAs long at +0.82 (z=-2.23)
Analyzed by Radon ·
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SaaS Zombie, Braze, has a monster quarter
$BRZE Q3'26 Earnings Highlights
🔹 Revenue: $190.8M (Est. $184.22M) 🟢; UP +25.5% YoY
🔹 EPS (Non-GAAP): $0.06 (Est. $0.06) 🟡
🔹 TTM Dollar-Based Net Retention: 108%
🔹 FCF: $17.8M
FY26 Guidance:
🔹 Revenue: $730.5M–$731.5M (Est. $718.0M) 🟢
🔹 Non-GAAP EPS, diluted: $0.42–$0.43 (Est. $0.42) 🟢
$BRZE Q3'26 Earnings Highlights
🔹 Revenue: $190.8M (Est. $184.22M) 🟢; UP +25.5% YoY
🔹 EPS (Non-GAAP): $0.06 (Est. $0.06) 🟡
🔹 TTM Dollar-Based Net Retention: 108%
🔹 FCF: $17.8M
FY26 Guidance:
🔹 Revenue: $730.5M–$731.5M (Est. $718.0M) 🟢
🔹 Non-GAAP EPS, diluted: $0.42–$0.43 (Est. $0.42) 🟢
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💸 Closed $AAOI (Long $115 Call)
> +$54,699.79
>+94.64%
Executed with Radon
> +$54,699.79
>+94.64%
Executed with Radon
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.@shieldaitech just hit a milestone that rewrites how European air defense works.
Their Hivemind autonomy software, already running 130+ combat sorties in Ukraine, just finished a two-month flight test in Spain. The platform was a Swiss-made interceptor drone called Hornet, built by Destinus. No ground control station needed. No GPS. No manual reprogramming while airborne.
Destinus built the Hornet to kill other drones autonomously. Shield AI's Hivemind runs onboard the aircraft itself, not on some ground station. During testing, geofenced zones were altered while the drone was already in the air. It rerouted on its own. No human touched anything.
That's the first time a US autonomy stack has been integrated onto a European combat drone and it worked.
And the operational proof already exists. V-BAT drones running Hivemind are flying real missions in Ukraine right now, punching through heavy Russian electronic warfare and jamming. Still delivering results. The Netherlands just ordered 12 of them for naval ops across eight warships.
The pipeline keeps growing:
> Hornet (counter-drone interceptor), tested and baselined in Spain.
> V-BAT (ISR and strike), operational in Ukraine, purchased by the Dutch.
> X-BAT (stealthy loyal wingman), currently being shown to European militaries.
Next up: terrain-aware flight profiles and coordinated multi-drone swarm behaviors.
Here's the part that caught my attention. No customer funded this test. Both companies paid from their own R&D budgets. That's a calculated bet: European air forces need autonomous counter-drone systems that work without crewed aircraft or GPS, and they need them yesterday.
The company building the software layer for autonomous air combat just proved it works across platforms and across continents.
Their Hivemind autonomy software, already running 130+ combat sorties in Ukraine, just finished a two-month flight test in Spain. The platform was a Swiss-made interceptor drone called Hornet, built by Destinus. No ground control station needed. No GPS. No manual reprogramming while airborne.
Destinus built the Hornet to kill other drones autonomously. Shield AI's Hivemind runs onboard the aircraft itself, not on some ground station. During testing, geofenced zones were altered while the drone was already in the air. It rerouted on its own. No human touched anything.
That's the first time a US autonomy stack has been integrated onto a European combat drone and it worked.
And the operational proof already exists. V-BAT drones running Hivemind are flying real missions in Ukraine right now, punching through heavy Russian electronic warfare and jamming. Still delivering results. The Netherlands just ordered 12 of them for naval ops across eight warships.
The pipeline keeps growing:
> Hornet (counter-drone interceptor), tested and baselined in Spain.
> V-BAT (ISR and strike), operational in Ukraine, purchased by the Dutch.
> X-BAT (stealthy loyal wingman), currently being shown to European militaries.
Next up: terrain-aware flight profiles and coordinated multi-drone swarm behaviors.
Here's the part that caught my attention. No customer funded this test. Both companies paid from their own R&D budgets. That's a calculated bet: European air forces need autonomous counter-drone systems that work without crewed aircraft or GPS, and they need them yesterday.
The company building the software layer for autonomous air combat just proved it works across platforms and across continents.
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.@tradexyz really doing it https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-03-18/booming-crypto-exchange-gets-official-s-p-data-in-tradfi-push
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Doomers BTFO
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Austin-based startup @neurophos just built an AI chip that processes data with light instead of electrons. The performance improvements are wild.
Neurophos uses optical metamaterials, the same physics behind invisibility cloaks (used mostly on clothing), to build optical modulators that are 1/10,000th the size of current designs. Standard CMOS. No exotic materials.
They fit 1,000 x 1,000 optical modulators on a 5x5mm chip.
The same setup in silicon photonics?
About a square meter.
Same compute. 1/40,000th the area.
50x the compute density and 50x the energy efficiency of NVIDIA's Blackwell GPUs.
Here’s how it works: a laser encodes data, hits the chip, each metamaterial element changes the reflected beam, and the system outputs results from complex AI workloads with far less power draw.
Hyperscalers are evaluating proof-of-concept chips this year. Production ramp: mid-2028.
Scaling AI is now bound by the laws of physics. Neurophos is betting the future of compute isn’t faster electrons, it’s light.
And what is faster than the speed of light?
Neurophos uses optical metamaterials, the same physics behind invisibility cloaks (used mostly on clothing), to build optical modulators that are 1/10,000th the size of current designs. Standard CMOS. No exotic materials.
They fit 1,000 x 1,000 optical modulators on a 5x5mm chip.
The same setup in silicon photonics?
About a square meter.
Same compute. 1/40,000th the area.
50x the compute density and 50x the energy efficiency of NVIDIA's Blackwell GPUs.
Here’s how it works: a laser encodes data, hits the chip, each metamaterial element changes the reflected beam, and the system outputs results from complex AI workloads with far less power draw.
Hyperscalers are evaluating proof-of-concept chips this year. Production ramp: mid-2028.
Scaling AI is now bound by the laws of physics. Neurophos is betting the future of compute isn’t faster electrons, it’s light.
And what is faster than the speed of light?
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Gold futs tagged the 200 DMA and bounced on serious volume.
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If you have an em-dash in your reply you are muted forever.
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⚠️ Crash Risk Index is reading ELEVATED at 27/100
Full breakdown for Mar 19
> CRI: 27/100 — ELEVATED
> VIX: 24.06 · VVIX: 118.85 (above 110 threshold)
> COR1M: 34.09 · Realized Vol: 12.93%
> Crash Trigger: 🟡 INACTIVE (1/3 conditions active)
> SPX below 100d MA: ✓ · RVol > 25%: ✗ · COR1M > 60: ✗
> SPX CTA position at 0th percentile (3M) · z-score -2.12
> CTA vol-targeting model: $91B in forced selling pipeline
> Equity exposure pulling back; deleveraging underway
Elevated, but not at crash threshold yet.
Analyzed by Radon
Full breakdown for Mar 19
> CRI: 27/100 — ELEVATED
> VIX: 24.06 · VVIX: 118.85 (above 110 threshold)
> COR1M: 34.09 · Realized Vol: 12.93%
> Crash Trigger: 🟡 INACTIVE (1/3 conditions active)
> SPX below 100d MA: ✓ · RVol > 25%: ✗ · COR1M > 60: ✗
> SPX CTA position at 0th percentile (3M) · z-score -2.12
> CTA vol-targeting model: $91B in forced selling pipeline
> Equity exposure pulling back; deleveraging underway
Elevated, but not at crash threshold yet.
Analyzed by Radon
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🚨 CTAs are sitting on the most extreme short equity position in 3 months and it's a coil ready to snap.
> SPX CTA position: −0.35 (was +0.68 one month ago)
> 0th percentile of 3M range · z-score −2.12
> $90.6B in forced selling still in pipeline
> Every global equity index futures at 0–3rd pctile simultaneously:
> SPX, NQ, Russell, MSCI World, DAX, Nikkei, Eurostoxx, FTSE
> The stagflation trade is maxed out:
> Cotton 98th pctile · Brent 95th · Diesel 94th · Wheat 92nd
> Full curve short: 2Y, 10Y, 30Y all at 0–2nd pctile
> All flipped from long → short in 30 days
The mean-reversion coil is set.
Any bullish catalyst, a signal from the Fed, a ceasefire, the Straight of Hormuz flowing again, triggers a violent CTA short-covering across equities, bonds, and commodities simultaneously.
Analyzed by Radon
> SPX CTA position: −0.35 (was +0.68 one month ago)
> 0th percentile of 3M range · z-score −2.12
> $90.6B in forced selling still in pipeline
> Every global equity index futures at 0–3rd pctile simultaneously:
> SPX, NQ, Russell, MSCI World, DAX, Nikkei, Eurostoxx, FTSE
> The stagflation trade is maxed out:
> Cotton 98th pctile · Brent 95th · Diesel 94th · Wheat 92nd
> Full curve short: 2Y, 10Y, 30Y all at 0–2nd pctile
> All flipped from long → short in 30 days
The mean-reversion coil is set.
Any bullish catalyst, a signal from the Fed, a ceasefire, the Straight of Hormuz flowing again, triggers a violent CTA short-covering across equities, bonds, and commodities simultaneously.
Analyzed by Radon
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@walkerguffey yo check your DM mate
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