$RIVER Short Setup (Long-Term View) 📉

This analysis focuses on a high-timeframe short idea, emphasizing a long-term perspective rather than a quick scalp.

Entry (short): 19.0–20.5 zone
Time horizon: ~100 weeks ⏳
Primary TP: Below 10 USD
Extended downside: 6–7 USD (if market fully unwinds)

Rationale:
Price is trading near a major distribution/supply zone following a parabolic expansion. The current structure shows lower high formation and weakening momentum, with upside continuation getting rejected quickly. This price action often precedes a long-term mean reversion, especially after excessive gains.

This setup demands patience over high leverage. While short-term volatility is expected to remain high, downside pressure will dominate as long as price fails to reclaim and hold above the 20–21 zone.

Please note, this is not a trade suitable for everyone. It represents a macro short opportunity, betting on time and underlying market structure, not on rapid price movements.