The Federal Reserve is set to reveal its latest interest rate decision today at 2 PM .
#usdt #FedWatch ETWhile the "3.75%" figure in your original graphic is a specific benchmark, the reality of the current market is slightly more nuanced. Here is the updated breakdown of how investors are positioned:
* Scenario A: The Dovish Surprise (Rate < 3.50%) — If the Fed cuts more aggressively than expected, expect a parabolic move in equities and crypto as cheap liquidity floods the system.
* Scenario B: The Status Quo (Rate = 3.50% - 3.75%) — If the Fed holds steady, the market is likely to remain flat or see a "sell the news" event, as this outcome is already largely priced in.
* Scenario C: The Hawkish Stance (Rate > 3.75%) — Any hint of a rate hike or a "higher for longer" pause will likely cause the market to dump hard, as it would defy current easing expectation.