First Test Day: Withdrawals Opened the Door — the Real Proof Comes Tuesday
$BTC $ETH Sunday ends with the first practical test after the breach week: Binance targeted a phased reopening of withdrawals today, after replenishing 95% of the stolen funds and publishing a reserves snapshot showing full coverage for the ten largest user-held tokens.
First, the facts — what happened today:
• Bitcoin closed Saturday at $77,437, up 0.4%, and traded around $77,683 on Sunday morning — briefly above $77,494, with no daily close yet to confirm a breakout
• Ethereum held around $2,264 — above $2,248, so the consolidation we discussed yesterday survived the day
• Bitcoin ETFs lost $643 million on Friday — the biggest daily outflow since June, wiping out the week's inflows; Ethereum ETFs lost around $156 million for a fifth straight day
• Ripple unlocked 1 billion XRP from escrow as scheduled — but around 70% of past monthly unlocks were re-locked, so the headline number is not a selling number
Second, scoring the morning — right / wrong yesterday:
• Right: $76,155 held as the low — Saturday's low was $76,974
• Partly right: $77,494 broke in the morning, but the daily close is the judge — the breakout is still unconfirmed
• Wrong: no bounce toward $80,000 happened — the market chose to wait, and today confirmed waiting was the right call
Third, the analysis — levels for the new week:
• Bitcoin: a daily close above $77,494 opens $78,260, then $80,000; a close below $76,155 cancels the bottom thesis and opens $75,000, then $73,000
• Ethereum: above $2,248 means consolidation holds toward $2,300; below $2,170 means deeper toward $2,100
• The general invalidation level: a Bitcoin close below $76,155 turns a "panic week" into a "new downtrend" — so far, that has not happened
Fourth, what decides the week:
• Monday: US ISM manufacturing at 18:00 Amman time, plus Apple and Palantir earnings in the evening
• Tuesday: US midterm elections, Binance's full cryptographic proof of reserves, and Australia's rate decision
• Wednesday: eurozone inflation and ISM services
• Thursday: Bank of England decision — expected hike to 4%
• Friday: US jobs report at 16:30 Amman time
What does all this mean? Sunday was an "open the door and see" day — Tuesday is the "prove it with numbers" day. In between, price moves on closes, not morning candles, and patience with the close shows a clearer picture than chasing every intraday break.
Tonight's question: will next week's proofs calm the market or raise tension? Write your call in a comment.
Source: Kraken, SoSoValue, Binance, ISM — 1 November 2026