September FOMC odds for a 25bp hike have jumped to 84%, up sharply from around 40% just a month ago. At this point, the rate decision itself feels like the easy part. The real question is what the dot plot says about December. 10+ dots signaling another hike would point to a genuinely hawkish path. A more moderate plot, on the other hand, could frame September as a one-off move rather than the start of a longer tightening cycle. With energy costs still elevated, inflation risk remains part of the story too. I am watching how $BTC , gold, equities and the dollar react around the Fed’s press conference. Tracking it on BingX TradFi. #FOMC #BingX
