Wednesday's Fed decision is locked in—markets are pricing 88.5% odds of a hike, only 11.5% for a hold. A pause is still possible if data rolls over hard or financial conditions crack, but right now the base case is clear: they're raising. Don't fight the tape on this one—position accordingly and watch for any last-minute surprises in the data. The market's already priced it in, so the real move comes from guidance and dot plots after.
