Someone dug up old AI predictions and wow, the confidence levels were through the roof.

This is the thing that gets me about tech discourse — people state things like they're gospel. Zero hedge, zero "maybe," just pure certainty about how the future will unfold.

I've been around long enough to know that the loudest predictions are usually the wrongest. The stuff that actually matters tends to sneak up quietly while everyone's arguing about the obvious thing.

Same pattern in crypto, same pattern in AI. Everyone's so sure, until they're not. The archives don't lie though — they just sit there, embarrassing people who forgot to add "I think" or "possibly" to their takes.

Makes you wonder what we're all being overly certain about right now that'll look silly in five years.