Right now, $BITCOIN is trading around the $64K area while Ethereum is holding near $1.8K. Most traders are expecting an immediate rally, but I think it's important to consider the downside before assuming the next bull run has already started.
If Bitcoin revisits the $50K zone, that would be roughly a 20–22% correction from current levels. In my opinion, that wouldn't be a sign of weakness—it would actually be a very healthy bear market bottom. Compared to previous cycles, a 60% decline from the all-time high would still show that Bitcoin is becoming stronger with every cycle.
Ethereum usually reacts with higher volatility than Bitcoin. If $BTC drops toward $50K, I wouldn't be surprised to see ETH trading somewhere around $1,300–$1,400. At the moment,
$ETH is approaching an important resistance area, so
I believe traders should stay patient instead of chasing green candles.
No one knows the exact bottom, but risk management is more important than trying to predict every move. I'll continue watching key support and resistance before changing my market view.
What do you think comes first—BTC $50K or a new rally?
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