🧐 Will the Price of $BTC BTC Drop?
In the short term, the potential for correction is still open, although the medium to long-term trend remains bullish:
1. Current Market Conditions
• As of July 25, 2025, BTC fell about 2.9% to around $115,000–$116,000 following a post-rally decline. This pressure indicates liquidation pressure and negative sentiment, causing some altcoins to also fall  .
• According to Citi analysts, demand from spot ETF inflows is now the main driver of BTC prices, with year-end price estimates in the range of:
• Base case: $135,000
• Bull case: $199,000
• Bear case: $64,000, if macro conditions deteriorate drastically .
2. Brief Technical Analysis
• Many technical analysts such as CryptoRank and CoinDCX highlight important support levels in the $104,000–$106,000 area. If this support holds strong, the bias remains upward.
• Short-term resistance is in the $108,000–$110,000 zone, and a breakout above could open a path towards $114,500–$125,000 .
3. Analyst Expectations and Projections for 2025
• Some key predictions:
• Tom Lee (Fundstrat) mentions a potential of $250,000 by the end of 2025 .
• Gerry O’Shea (Hashdex) estimates BTC could reach $140,000 this year .
• Economic Times mentions a potential bull scenario of up to $250,000, if the combination of inflation, institutional adoption, and macro context continues to support .
• Conversely, the most pessimistic prediction from Citi indicates a downside to $64,000 if ETF inflows slow and macro conditions deteriorate drastically .
4. Significance of US Regulations
• Recent crypto regulations such as the Genius Act, Clarity Act, and Anti‑CBDC Act create a clear legal framework in the US, supporting adoption and strengthening long-term sentiment for BTC .
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📉 Risk Scale – When Could BTC Drop?
• If BTC fails to hold support around $115,000, there is a risk of retesting the $110,000–$112,000 area or even lower to around $104,000–$106,000.
• However, if support is strong and ETF inflows remain high,
In the short term, the potential for correction is still open, although the medium to long-term trend remains bullish:
1. Current Market Conditions
• As of July 25, 2025, BTC fell about 2.9% to around $115,000–$116,000 following a post-rally decline. This pressure indicates liquidation pressure and negative sentiment, causing some altcoins to also fall  .
• According to Citi analysts, demand from spot ETF inflows is now the main driver of BTC prices, with year-end price estimates in the range of:
• Base case: $135,000
• Bull case: $199,000
• Bear case: $64,000, if macro conditions deteriorate drastically .
2. Brief Technical Analysis
• Many technical analysts such as CryptoRank and CoinDCX highlight important support levels in the $104,000–$106,000 area. If this support holds strong, the bias remains upward.
• Short-term resistance is in the $108,000–$110,000 zone, and a breakout above could open a path towards $114,500–$125,000 .
3. Analyst Expectations and Projections for 2025
• Some key predictions:
• Tom Lee (Fundstrat) mentions a potential of $250,000 by the end of 2025 .
• Gerry O’Shea (Hashdex) estimates BTC could reach $140,000 this year .
• Economic Times mentions a potential bull scenario of up to $250,000, if the combination of inflation, institutional adoption, and macro context continues to support .
• Conversely, the most pessimistic prediction from Citi indicates a downside to $64,000 if ETF inflows slow and macro conditions deteriorate drastically .
4. Significance of US Regulations
• Recent crypto regulations such as the Genius Act, Clarity Act, and Anti‑CBDC Act create a clear legal framework in the US, supporting adoption and strengthening long-term sentiment for BTC .
⸻
📉 Risk Scale – When Could BTC Drop?
• If BTC fails to hold support around $115,000, there is a risk of retesting the $110,000–$112,000 area or even lower to around $104,000–$106,000.
• However, if support is strong and ETF inflows remain high,