A poeira das eleições baixou e Trump foi reeleito Presidente dos Estados Unidos.
Trump também é o primeiro presidente dos EUA a apoiar publicamente o Bitcoin e as criptomoedas. O BTC está prestes a abrir o mar de estrelas.
US$ 75.000, um novo futuro.
Vamos começar com as 10 promessas de Trump para a criptomoeda.
1. Demita o presidente da SEC, Gary Gensler, em seu primeiro dia de mandato (20 de janeiro de 2025) e nomeie um novo presidente!
2. Mantenha todos os empregos relacionados ao Bitcoin nos Estados Unidos!
3. Nomear um Comitê Consultivo Presidencial de Bitcoin/Criptomoeda para elaborar orientações regulatórias transparentes e concluí-las em 100 dias!
4. Support Bitcoin mining in the United States!
5. Lessen the sentence of Silk Road founder Ross Ulbricht!
6. End the regulatory hostility towards the crypto industry and relax crypto regulations!
7. There will never be a CBDC during my presidency!
8. Bitcoin's market cap will soon surpass silver and will surpass gold in the future!
9. Prevent the occurrence of World War III!
10. The U.S. government guarantees 100% retention of Bitcoin.
I wonder when he will fulfill these promises?
First, we need to understand why Bitcoin prices rise when Trump's winning rate increases?
It's because Trump promised many crypto-friendly policies while campaigning, aligning himself with crypto users, so the market believes that his election will bring new support to the crypto market, thus driving up coin prices.
The current market's optimism for Trump's presidency is mainly emotional, and from the perspective of the presidential winning rate, the market's rise has already anticipated Trump's victory.
Based on these factors, I believe:
After Trump's victory, it will first release the emotional sentiment of the crypto market, driving prices to surge in the short term, but the sustainability will be weak (after all, it is driven by emotion), and then early investors will begin to take profits, causing prices to start to decline, sentiment to fade, and then enter a period of adjustment waiting for the market to choose a new direction. (Refer to the BTC ETF approval during that market condition)
After the election, what else is worth looking forward to?
The election is actually just one factor in the cycle, and not even the most important one; in trends and cycles, we can also foresee:
The impact of the BTC halving cycle often also occurs within the election period.
FASB will officially take effect in December 2024.
There will definitely be a resubmission of SAB121 in 2025, and the passing rate will be very high this time.
More importantly, the Federal Reserve's monetary policy has shifted from tightening to easing.
These are things that will happen in Q4 2024 and Q1 2025, and even the monetary policy itself is continuous; an easing monetary policy will continuously enhance investors' risk appetite, which is very helpful for stimulating on-site liquidity.
We will have an unprecedented bull market in the future, a luxurious bull market with Trump + Musk supporting crypto and CZ's return; we will meet at the peak!