机灵的杰尼君

BBW draws a perfect conclusion, successfully in the same frame with CZ, the eldest sister, and Richard.

The right hand that has shaken hands with the Chinese richest man CZ—future deals are also blessed, must achieve victory every time.🥳
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The U.S. and Iran have struck again—multiple times. The U.S. Central Command confirmed that this is the third round of strikes on southern Iran within a week. The Iranian Revolutionary Guards promptly announced the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, and Iran also claimed that it has retaliated against U.S. bases in Jordan.

Interestingly, on the crypto side, the market has become numb to the U.S.-Iran situation and still keeps trading in a $64K range.

The bearish news from MSTR selling coins has also already played out. With the negative catalyst exhausted, by month 7 of $BTC 7 it surged to around $70K—it's not a big issue, right? 🫡

Dōng Wáng’s second son, Eric @EricTrump, shouted that $ETH has surged wildly and that crypto is the future. But when I look at the candlestick chart, $ETH still isn’t below $2,000. Even the lowest point bounce on the ETH/BTC ratio doesn’t make it to 10%.

Even a president and the president’s son are so strong, yet they can’t make it with live calls anymore. People used to pay attention to WLFI’s crypto holdings, but now hardly anyone does.

From what I remember, WLFI also held $ETH before—and it lost a lot back then.

📊 Jeni Encryption Daily · 2026-07-12 07:00 (UTC+8)

【Market】
🟠 BTC $63,807 -0.40% | Resistance $64,596/$66,103 | Support $62,258/$59,071
🔵 ETH $1,785 -0.51% | Resistance $1,834/$1,890 | Support $1,760/$1,715
🟡 BNB $572.6 -0.50% | Resistance $580/$603 | Support $569/$546

【Macro】
Gold $4,113 | Oil $71.41 | DXY 100.97 | 10Y 4.57% | Fear & Greed 31 (Fear) | BTC.D 58.51%

【News】
· Trump: Iran requested to continue negotiations; the US agreed, but the ceasefire agreement has been terminated; the $70-80 range for Brent oil becomes the new effective range
· Saudi Arabia studies expanding the east-west pipeline capacity by 2 million barrels per day, bypassing the Strait of Hormuz
· The “21st Century Housing Act” with a ban on CBDC was not automatically signed into law; the Fed prohibits issuing CBDC
· Metaplanet (43,000 BTC) teams up with JPYC to study BTC-collateralized yen digital credit bond
· Standard Chartered maintains its BTC forecast of $100K by end of 2026
· Bonzo Lend was manipulated by Supra oracles, causing a loss of $9 million

【Strategy】
🟠 BTC mildly bearish 59%
Go long $62,905-$63,416 → $64,693 SL $61,961 (R/R 1.28)
Go short $64,437-$64,948 → $63,161 SL $65,922 (R/R 1.25)

🔵 ETH neutral-to-bearish 50/50
Go long $1,731-$1,745 → $1,804 SL $1,705 (R/R 2.0)
Go short $1,796-$1,811 → $1,738 SL $1,838 (R/R 1.9)

🟡 BNB mildly bearish 54%
Go short $578-$582 → $570 SL $591 (R/R 0.91)

⚠️ Risk: Middle East situation + Kevin Warsh congressional hearing (next week) before the 7/28-29 FOMC

Hold big at the moment and it feels great; keep holding big and it keeps feeling great. Yesterday I bet on Spain and I reaped a huge payout. Today’s AI predictions are as follows, for reference only:
Norway vs England home win
Argentina vs Switzerland home win

Although the AI’s recent win rate has been pretty good, for this Norway match, I really want to see Jeni go big and flip the script. At least, I feel like England won’t make it look this easy. A draw in regulation time or even a loss is possible.

As for Argentina, trust Messi!

A real business war is this plain and unadorned—did Apple really get flustered this time because of an “Ultraman”?

On July 10, a case was filed in the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of California. Apple, through a complaint, accused OpenAI of stealing trade secrets, including the core materials of AI hardware projects—specifically the allegedly poached former employees Tang Tan and Chang Liu.

Whether they win or lose remains to be seen, but the market signal is already out: AI hardware could be the next round of bloodshed/a hot wave.

This is also a sort of indirect admission from Cook that they can’t build AI hardware.🤡

$BTC at $60K to $70K, accumulated sideways movement for 307 days (not continuous), becoming the third-longest range-bound period in history, only behind the $10K~$20K and $20K~$30K ranges.

Along with an on-chain not-so-good signal: the realized losses of long-term holders are starting to increase—meaning chips are changing hands and more investors are beginning to cut losses.

Do you think these 307 days are the “big rest” during a bull market, or the “top platform” signaling the start of a bear market? 🫡

📊 Jeni Jun AI Crypto Daily · 2026-07-11

🟠 BTC $64,085｜+1.49%｜Resistance $64,588/$66,228｜Support $62,271/$59,636
🔵 ETH $1,794｜+3.02%｜Resistance $1,811/$1,836｜Support $1,775/$1,618
🟡 BNB $575.6｜+1.15%｜Resistance $611/$618｜Support $552/$547

📊 Gold $4,129｜Oil $71.5｜DXY 100.97｜Fear & Greed 31 (Fear)｜BTC.D 58.5%｜Total Market Cap $2.20T

🌍 Trump announced that the U.S.-Iran “ceasefire is over,” agreed to continue negotiations; OFAC sanctions Iranian exchange and remittance institutions. Market interpretation: it’s bargaining, not escalation—WTI slipped to $71.5.
🏛 CFTC Chair publicly supports the CLARITY Act as “a must-pass piece of legislation,” while the chair of the House Financial Services Committee urges the Senate to vote by August.
🔗 Galaxy Digital withdrew 2,500 BTC ($160 million) over the past hour—most flowed to exchanges, signaling short-term selling pressure.

Strategy:
🟠 BTC slightly bearish (51%)｜Long $62,908-$63,421→$64,588 SL $61,964｜Short $64,331-$64,845→$63,164 SL $65,818
🔵 ETH slightly bearish (51%)｜Long $1,720-$1,734→$1,808 SL $1,694 (R/R 2.45)｜Short $1,801-$1,816→$1,727 SL $1,843 (R/R 2.36)
🟡 BNB slightly bearish (51%)｜Long $561-$566→$579 SL $553｜Short $577-$581→$563 SL $590

⚠️ Risks: U.S.-Iran ceasefire breaks down + risk of disruptions to Hormuz shipping; Galaxy Digital’s 2,500 BTC deposits into exchanges and ETF net outflows for two consecutive days in July—alts/BTC divergence

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Do we even need to watch the French team play? Wake up and it’s another win!

If you ask who’s the favorite to win this tournament, then according to Jeni-kun: first choice is France, second choice is Spain. In the World Cup, they’ve conceded 0 goals in five matches—so even if Cape Verde pulls off an upset, it’ll still be 0-0.

Today’s AI prediction (for reference only):
Spain vs Belgium — home win. Scorelines: 1-0 / 0-0 / 2-0!

The World Cup is almost over. This is where Jeni-kun goes all-in with his points on Spain. Don’t let me down!

Ever since crypto went public on the US stock market, didn’t everyone finally realize how fun US perpetual futures are?

With enough volatility, the key is that every time it drops, it strongly V-reverses. This $MU wave bottomed and V’d back by almost 20%. Low-multiple US stocks are really too brainless.

Turns out that when you leave crypto, you find out outside isn’t raining.😂

📊 Jeni AI Crypto Daily · 2026-07-10

🟠 BTC $63,178｜+1.59% | Resistance $63,562/$65,555 Support $61,833/$59,631
🔵 ETH $1,742｜+0.08% | Resistance $1,760/$1,892 Support $1,696/$1,591
🟡 BNB $568.8｜+0.13% | Resistance $575/$611 Support $553/$540

📊 Gold $4,133 | Crude Oil $71.86 | DXY 100.9 | 10Y 4.54% | Fear & Greed 28（Fear） | BTC.D 58.43%

🌍 Headlines:
1) Escalation in the U.S.-Iran conflict: the U.S. launched airstrikes targeting 80 sites in Iran; the passage of Hormuz oil tankers is nearly at a standstill—risk assets have not shown a clear pullback
2) The Fed’s June minutes showed serious disagreement among委员; the probability of a rate hike in September rose from 40.8% to 52.2%; Warsh formed five working groups to review the policy framework

Strategy:
🟠 BTC Neutral-to-Bearish (60%): short $63,031–$63,536; take profit $61,833; stop loss $64,489. If it breaks below $61,833, watch for $59,631
🔵 ETH Bearish (61%): short $1,751–$1,765; take profit $1,722; stop loss $1,791
🟡 BNB Bearish (64%): short $573–$577; take profit $561; stop loss $586

⚠️ Risks: Hormuz escalation → oil prices break above $80 driving DXY strength, which pressures crypto; Fear & Greed 28 + BTC.D 58.43% makes chasing breakouts into pump-and-dumps risky

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📊 Jeni Jun AI Crypto Daily · 2026-07-09

🟠 BTC $62,180｜24h -1.94%
Resistance $63,700 / $65,000｜Support $61,500 / $60,000
Daily chart bearish candle breaks down; MACD flattens and turns slightly weaker; RSI in the 35 range

🔵 ETH $1,741｜24h -1.80%
Resistance $1,784 / $1,850｜Support $1,712 / $1,680

🟡 BNB $568｜24h -1.45%
Resistance $580 / $600｜Support $561 / $550

📊 Gold $4,082 | Crude Oil $74.45 | DXY 101.04 | Fear & Greed 26 (Fear) | BTC.D 58.08% | Total Market Cap $2.15T

⚡ News Highlights:
· The U.S. carried out its second military strike against Iran; the Port of Hormuz / tankers were attacked; Brent broke above $78; NATO Secretary General backed the U.S.
· The Fed’s June minutes remained hawkish; officials cited the Middle East + AI as new inflation drivers, and rate-cut pricing fell sharply
· U.S. stocks closed lower across the board: Nasdaq -1.16%, S&P -0.45%; VIX +4.77%
· Bitmine (Tom Lee) bought 40,000 ETH (~$71.6M); 63,000 ETH is suspected to have been deposited to Coinbase, potentially creating sell pressure

🎯 Strategy:
🟠 BTC slightly bearish (60%): short $62,800–$63,500, target $60,500, stop loss $63,900; or long $60,200–$60,600, target $62,500, stop loss $59,600
🔵 ETH slightly bearish (58%): short $1,762–$1,780, target $1,700, stop loss $1,795; or long $1,690–$1,700, target $1,745, stop loss $1,672
🟡 BNB slightly bearish (55%): short $572–$576, target $560, stop loss $580

⚠️ Risks: Second upgrade of Hormuz → Brent $80+ / Next Tuesday’s June CPI comes in below expectations → DXY rebounds again and weighs

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Thanks, big shots, for recommending
$80 DRAM
$2300 SanDisk
$1200 Micron
$190 double-capacity Heisles
$210 SpaceX
making this year incredibly fulfilling for me.

If it weren’t for your bringing me into investing,
I probably would have a little savings by now.

It’s over, everything is over.

Trump said: Last night we launched a powerful attack on Iran. We’ve wasted too much time on the Iran issue, (regarding the understanding memorandum with Iran) and I think it’s already over.

It’s all because Belgium beat the U.S. team big, and the host World Cup team got knocked out—Wang is angry!

How does this plot feel like I’ve seen it N times. Is it ever going to end? 🤬

Getting better?
$BTC Spot ETF finally ended the net outflow streak of the previous more than ten consecutive days, with net inflows of about $507M over the past three days.
Correspondingly, the US stocks appear to have topped out; the technology sector has continued to decline, with $MU falling nearly 30% from its peak.
East rising, west falling!? That day, humanity finally remembered: digital gold is the real gold!🫣

📊 JeniJun AI Crypto Daily · 2026-07-08

🟠 BTC $63,397｜-1.05%
Resistance $64,025/$64,604｜Support $61,227/$59,064
🔵 ETH $1,772｜-1.54%
Resistance $1,803/$1,851｜Support $1,729/$1,682
🟡 BNB $576｜-1.67%
Resistance $581/$592｜Support $563/$547

📊 Gold $4,111 | WTI $72.35 (+2.71%) | DXY 101.17 | Fear & Greed 28 Fear | BTC.D 58.23%

🔥 Top News
· The U.S. military launches a large-scale strike against Iran (4–5 times the scale from 10 days ago), revokes Iran’s oil sales exemptions; WTI rises 2.9% intraday to $72.46. Geopolitical risk-hedging sentiment heats up, putting pressure on crypto as well.
· Suspected new Bitmine wallet receives 40,000 ETH ($71.62M); the CoinShares wallet transfers 63,000 ETH to Coinbase ($111.56M)—potential sell pressure from institutions + holding/accumulation coexist.

🎯 Strategy
BTC Slightly bearish (74%): Sell $63,746–$64,252, target $62,590, stop loss $65,216 (RR 1.16)
ETH Slightly bearish (73%): Sell $1,797–$1,811, target $1,758, stop loss $1,838 (RR 1.35)
BNB Slightly bearish (63%): Sell $591–$596, target $571, stop loss $605 (RR 1.96)

⚠️ Risk: Escalation of the Iran conflict + sudden spike in oil prices + FOMC meeting minutes (Beijing 7/9 02:00)

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Which of these two do you believe?

Trump: “The stock market will soar to its peak”;
Michael Burry, the “Big Short” fund manager, in his own words: “The end is coming for AI stocks.”

Jingyijun votes for Trump—after all, can you really outplay someone who draws candlesticks with someone who draws lines? In the blink of an eye, just drop a piece of good news and watch it rip higher!

Trump: I’ve seen many stock gods, but they all call me the stock god.

C罗 finally ended up going home after all. I didn’t expect him to refuse to toast Belgium—what’s more, he’s just asking for trouble. He utterly dominated the host, the United States, with Trump. Punish him properly, damn it!

Here are today’s World Cup AI predictions—just for reference:
Argentina vs Egypt: home win. Score prediction: 1-0 / 2-0
Switzerland vs Colombia: away win. Score prediction: 0-0 / 1-1

XP’s points time is running out. The big-match strategy is ready to be adjusted again so we can go all-in in top form!