BlockBeats News, April 15th, according to AXIOS, two American officials stated that US-Iran negotiation representatives made progress during Tuesday's local time meeting, moving towards a framework agreement to end the war. One American official said that the Trump negotiation team (Vice President Pence, Special Envoy for the Middle East Watterson, Senior Advisor to Trump Kushner) continued to have phone calls with Iran and the mediator, exchanging drafts, and are "getting close to the goal." A third official stated: "We want to reach an agreement, some people in Iran also want to, the key is to get the entire Iranian government to agree." Sources said that if a framework agreement is reached, the ceasefire would need to be extended to negotiate the details. "The details are complex, cannot be completed within two days," one official said. Another official stated that the US has not formally agreed to extend the ceasefire and both sides are still in continuous contact.According to PolyBeats monitoring, on the prediction market Polymarket, the probability of "US-Iran reaching a permanent peace agreement timepoint" before April 22nd is 27%, before April 30th is 42%, and before May 31st is 60%.
