marketanalysis

To nie był przypadkowy krach, to była systematyczna likwidacja
Bitcoin przeszedł przez jedną z najbardziej gwałtownych korekt od 2022 roku.
Zgodnie z aktualizacją rynku Wintermute z 9 lutego 2026 roku:
BTC spadł z ~$80K do $60K
Odbił się z powrotem w kierunku $70K
W pełni zniwelował wszystkie zyski po wyborach Trumpa (od 11/2024)
Spadek o ~50% od szczytu $126K
Największa strata od czterech lat
To nie była panika. To była struktura łamiąca się pod presją.
$2.7 miliarda likwidacji. Dlaczego tak ekstremalne?
Układ był podręcznikowy. Przez prawie dwa miesiące BTC poruszał się bokiem.

$BNB is currently around $614 USDT, trading between $587 and $624 over the past 24 hours. After a recent push higher, the price has pulled back slightly and is hovering just above the MA60 (~611), which may act as short-term support.

The RSI (~26) indicates oversold conditions, suggesting a potential rebound. In the next 24 hours, $BNB could bounce toward $620–$630 if buyers step in, move sideways between $605–$620 as traders wait for signals, or dip toward $590–$600 if fear dominates.

Overall, the market is cautious, $BTC movement will be key, and traders should stay alert and consider stop-losses given the high volatility.

#BNB #Binance #MarketAnalysis #BNBBullish

Złoto obecnie handluje w okolicach $2,375, a rynek zbliża się do strefy decyzyjnej.
🔎 Scenariusz byczy:
Jeśli cena przebije i utrzyma się powyżej oporu na poziomie $2,400, możemy zobaczyć kontynuację w kierunku nowych szczytów. Kupujący silnie bronią strefy wsparcia.
📉 Scenariusz niedźwiedzi:
Jeśli złoto nie utrzyma się powyżej bieżących poziomów i spadnie poniżej $2,340, możliwa jest głębsza korekta w kierunku $2,300.
📌 Poziomy kluczowe do obserwacji:
• Opór: $2,400
• Wsparcie: $2,340
• Główne wsparcie: $2,300
Rynek czeka na potwierdzenie. Wybicie lub odrzucenie — następne 24–48 godzin są kluczowe.

Na rynkach finansowych nastał moment prawdy, który zdarza się raz na dekadę. Podczas gdy zachodnie indeksy handlują w pobliżu historycznych maksimów, rzeczywista wartość wschodnich gigantów — Chińskiego CSI 300, Hang Seng i Indyjskiego Nifty 50 — osiągnęła punkt krytyczny w pomiarze w najtwardszym aktywie ludzkości Złocie $XAU

The crypto market remains deep in Extreme Fear mode today, with sentiment hitting rock-bottom levels not seen since major past crashes. Here's a quick breakdown based on the latest data:
Key Metrics at a Glance
Total Market Cap: ~$2.29T (down 0.32% in the last 24h)
The overall crypto ecosystem continues its mild bleed, hovering around the $2.29T mark after sharper drops earlier in the year. Volume remains subdued, signaling low conviction and thin liquidity.
Bitcoin (BTC): $66,996 (flat to slightly down ~0.03–0.17% recently)
BTC is stuck in a frustrating range, failing to decisively break (or even approach) the psychological $70K resistance. It's consolidating just below that level after recent weakness, with the chart showing repeated rejections.
Ethereum (ETH): $1,960.70 (down ~0.6%)
ETH continues underperforming BTC, now down significantly YTD (~33–34% in some trackers), reflecting broader altcoin pressure.
Fear & Greed Index: 8 – Extreme Fear (record lows around 5 recently, plunged from 11 yesterday)
This is one of the lowest readings ever recorded. Extreme fear zones have historically marked capitulation and exhaustion, often preceding short-term rebounds (though not always full trend reversals). Previous lows (e.g., 5 in Aug 2019, 6 in June 2022, 10 during FTX) frequently led to temporary bounces as emotional selling dries up.
Altcoin Index / CMC20: 30/100 (weak) – Altcoins are lagging badly, with the index showing heavy pressure.
Other Indicators:
Market cap down ~22% in 2026 so far in some views.
BTC specifically -14.6% in February alone in recent reports.
Broader risk-off mood tied to macro factors.
Why Can't BTC Break $70K Resistance?
BTC has been pinned below $70K for weeks now, despite earlier attempts. Key reasons from current market dynamics:
Stronger-than-expected US jobs data (e.g., recent NFP additions beating estimates, unemployment dropping to 4.3%, JOLTS revisions showing labor resilience) → This reduces odds of near-term Fed rate cuts, pushes Treasury yields higher, and hurts risk assets like crypto.
Lack of fresh catalysts: No major inflows or positive triggers to fuel a breakout; institutional/ETF flows have been mixed or negative in spots.
Technical pressure: Repeated failures at resistance create a bearish structure. Liquidity is thin, open interest in futures has dropped sharply (demand weakening), and downside risks point toward tests of $65K–$60K if support fails.
Macro overhang: Higher-for-longer rates, profit-taking after 2025 highs, and whale movements (e.g., large dumps reported) add selling pressure.
The path of least resistance looks downward short-term unless we see a clear macro pivot (e.g., softer inflation data ahead or renewed ETF inflows).
Broader Takeaway
This is classic capitulation territory: Extreme Fear rarely lasts forever. Historically, these zones signal exhaustion where "emotional money" exits and smart money starts eyeing liquidity grabs. We're seeing oversold conditions across indicators (RSI low, etc.), but no immediate reversal signal yet.
Watch for:
Any bounce on short-covering.
Key supports: $65K–$60K zone for BTC.
Upcoming CPI/inflation data — could shift rate cut expectations.
Risk remains high — crypto stays volatile. This could be accumulation in disguise for patient holders, but near-term caution is warranted.

#Bitcoin #BTC

$XRP Overall trend is bearish, though a potential reversal could emerge if support around 1.3721–1.3410 holds. This would likely follow a liquidity sweep beneath the recent low at 1.3410, without sustained downside momentum.
· Should buyers step in after that sweep and push price back above 1.3721, a move toward 1.4092 is expected, with a possible extension to 1.4636.
· If selling pressure intensifies and price closes decisively below 1.3410, further declines are likely, with next targets at 1.2708 and 1.1744.
· I’ll wait for a clean signal before acting—such as a bullish engulfing or pin bar after a dip below 1.3410 (for long entries), or a clear rejection at 1.4092 (for short entries).
· Bearish outlook remains intact unless 1.4092 is convincingly reclaimed and price holds above the equilibrium level of 1.4023. Only then would I consider a trend shift and aim for higher resistances.
#Xrp #MarketAnalysis #CZAMAonBinanceSquare #USNFPBlowout #TrumpCanadaTariffsOverturned