CryptoZeno
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Verified Creator on #BinanceSquare #CoinMarketCap and #CryptoQuant | On Chain Research and Market Insights with Smart Trading Signals
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Tomorrow starts week 18 of $BTC possible 52-week bear market.
Three longer-term targets have been smashed so far, and price nearly tagged the 200-week SMA along with longer-term target 4.
We've been here for it every step of the way.
Three longer-term targets have been smashed so far, and price nearly tagged the 200-week SMA along with longer-term target 4.
We've been here for it every step of the way.
INSANE VOLATILITY IN THE MARKETS.
The US #stock market and crypto market have erased all their gains made after US unemployment data.
S&P 500 is down -0.3%
Nasdaq is down -0.35%
Russell 2000 is down -1.25%
$BTC also dropped below $66,000 while $ETH touched $1,900.
The crypto market erased nearly $90 billion and most assets are now trading at their daily lows.
The US #stock market and crypto market have erased all their gains made after US unemployment data.
S&P 500 is down -0.3%
Nasdaq is down -0.35%
Russell 2000 is down -1.25%
$BTC also dropped below $66,000 while $ETH touched $1,900.
The crypto market erased nearly $90 billion and most assets are now trading at their daily lows.
Compression Tightens Around XPL as Supply Dynamics and Structure Begin Aligning
Following the extended post-listing decline, $XPL is no longer trading in impulsive sell conditions but has shifted into a compression structure where liquidity is being gradually absorbed.
Looking at the chart, price has established a repeated reaction zone near the lower range. Earlier breakdown attempts showed wide bearish bodies, yet recent retests are producing tighter spreads and long downside rejections. This change in candle behavior signals that market sell orders are being matched by passive bids rather than triggering continuation.
Short timeframe structure is now attempting to print a sequence of higher lows inside the broader base. While still early, this transition is critical. If price can reclaim the mid-range resistance cluster that previously acted as distribution, the market opens room for a liquidity-driven expansion due to reduced overhead supply.
Volume profile across the range also shows contraction. Declining sell volume during support retests often precedes volatility expansion, particularly when paired with tightening price structure.
Supply mechanics add another supportive layer. Circulating emission remains limited as the majority of allocation is still locked. This restricted float reduces immediate unlock-driven sell pressure, allowing price stabilization to develop without constant dilution. In early-stage assets, this dynamic often amplifies upside responsiveness once demand rotates back in.
The evolving structure sits alongside the infrastructure narrative being developed by @Plasma , where $XPL operates within a settlement-oriented Layer 1 optimized for stablecoin throughput. As float constraint meets improving technical footing, attention around #Plasma may increasingly synchronize with price structure rather than purely speculative cycles.
At this stage, compression, liquidity absorption, and low unlock circulation collectively position #XPL in a zone where base formation could precede its first sustained expansion phase.
Looking at the chart, price has established a repeated reaction zone near the lower range. Earlier breakdown attempts showed wide bearish bodies, yet recent retests are producing tighter spreads and long downside rejections. This change in candle behavior signals that market sell orders are being matched by passive bids rather than triggering continuation.
Short timeframe structure is now attempting to print a sequence of higher lows inside the broader base. While still early, this transition is critical. If price can reclaim the mid-range resistance cluster that previously acted as distribution, the market opens room for a liquidity-driven expansion due to reduced overhead supply.
Volume profile across the range also shows contraction. Declining sell volume during support retests often precedes volatility expansion, particularly when paired with tightening price structure.
Supply mechanics add another supportive layer. Circulating emission remains limited as the majority of allocation is still locked. This restricted float reduces immediate unlock-driven sell pressure, allowing price stabilization to develop without constant dilution. In early-stage assets, this dynamic often amplifies upside responsiveness once demand rotates back in.
The evolving structure sits alongside the infrastructure narrative being developed by @Plasma , where $XPL operates within a settlement-oriented Layer 1 optimized for stablecoin throughput. As float constraint meets improving technical footing, attention around #Plasma may increasingly synchronize with price structure rather than purely speculative cycles.
At this stage, compression, liquidity absorption, and low unlock circulation collectively position #XPL in a zone where base formation could precede its first sustained expansion phase.
A big move is coming.
$BTC hit $70,000 yesterday liquidating $65M shorts.
Then, $BTC dumped below $67,000 liquidating $290M longs.
Now, below at $65,000 - $66,000 we have built up additional liquidity which could be swept.
Meanwhile, at $71,000 - $74,000 we have a much larger liquidity zone making this the higher probability area to target next.
Bulls could respond here.
$BTC hit $70,000 yesterday liquidating $65M shorts.
Then, $BTC dumped below $67,000 liquidating $290M longs.
Now, below at $65,000 - $66,000 we have built up additional liquidity which could be swept.
Meanwhile, at $71,000 - $74,000 we have a much larger liquidity zone making this the higher probability area to target next.
Bulls could respond here.
October 10th I laid out the $BTC bear market roadmap.
Four months later. Another target hit. Two left.
Four months later. Another target hit. Two left.
CryptoZeno
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Tomorrow starts week 18 of $BTC possible 52-week bear market.
Three longer-term targets have been smashed so far, and price nearly tagged the 200-week SMA along with longer-term target 4.
We've been here for it every step of the way.
Three longer-term targets have been smashed so far, and price nearly tagged the 200-week SMA along with longer-term target 4.
We've been here for it every step of the way.
$ETH The strong rally that followed the 2022 bear market created the appearance of a renewed bull market, but structurally it fits better as a counter-trend move within a broader corrective range rather than the start of a new long-term cycle.
Throughout this corrective phase, price has remained largely range-bound, repeatedly failing to establish sustained acceptance above the previous cycle highs. This behavior points to distribution and consolidation, not continuation.
From this perspective, the apparent bull market that developed within the correction can be interpreted as a dead cat bounce, a technically strong bounce occurring inside a larger corrective structure.
The current market structure suggests that a final shakeout phase may still be required to fully reset sentiment and liquidity before Ethereum can transition into a new impulsive bullish cycle. Only after such a reset would a genuine long-term move toward new all-time highs become structurally likely.
Macro Structure Breakdown (Chart Context)
The Pump (2019–2021)
This phase represents the true impulsive bullish move following the 2018 bear market. Price shows strong trend expansion, increasing momentum, and clear higher highs and higher lows, classic characteristics of a genuine bull market.
The Correction (2021–2026)
After the peak, ETH enters a wide, multi-year corrective structure. Despite several strong rallies within this range, price fails to establish sustained new highs above the prior cycle peak. Structurally, this period behaves more like distribution and correction than continuation.
The Shakeout (Projected)
The chart anticipates a final liquidity-driven move to the downside, likely intended to break market confidence, force capitulation, and reset positioning ahead of a new cycle.
The Moon (Projected)
Only after this shakeout does the structure suggest the conditions for a true long-term bullish continuation, with price discovery and expansion well beyond previous highs.
#CryptoZeno #WhaleDeRiskETH
Throughout this corrective phase, price has remained largely range-bound, repeatedly failing to establish sustained acceptance above the previous cycle highs. This behavior points to distribution and consolidation, not continuation.
From this perspective, the apparent bull market that developed within the correction can be interpreted as a dead cat bounce, a technically strong bounce occurring inside a larger corrective structure.
The current market structure suggests that a final shakeout phase may still be required to fully reset sentiment and liquidity before Ethereum can transition into a new impulsive bullish cycle. Only after such a reset would a genuine long-term move toward new all-time highs become structurally likely.
Macro Structure Breakdown (Chart Context)
The Pump (2019–2021)
This phase represents the true impulsive bullish move following the 2018 bear market. Price shows strong trend expansion, increasing momentum, and clear higher highs and higher lows, classic characteristics of a genuine bull market.
The Correction (2021–2026)
After the peak, ETH enters a wide, multi-year corrective structure. Despite several strong rallies within this range, price fails to establish sustained new highs above the prior cycle peak. Structurally, this period behaves more like distribution and correction than continuation.
The Shakeout (Projected)
The chart anticipates a final liquidity-driven move to the downside, likely intended to break market confidence, force capitulation, and reset positioning ahead of a new cycle.
The Moon (Projected)
Only after this shakeout does the structure suggest the conditions for a true long-term bullish continuation, with price discovery and expansion well beyond previous highs.
#CryptoZeno #WhaleDeRiskETH
$INIT Let's go 🚀
CryptoZeno
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$INIT – base formed after deep drawdown, upside expansion in focus.
Long #INIT
Entry: 0.068 – 0.070
SL: 0.056
TP1: 0.088
TP2: 0.096
TP3: 0.122
$INIT s stabilizing after a prolonged sell-off, holding above a fresh demand base with sellers showing clear exhaustion. On one side, downside momentum has been fully absorbed at the lows; on the other, price is starting to expand away from support, signaling a shift in control. As long as this base holds, current consolidation favors a strong upside continuation rather than a renewed breakdown.
Trade $INIT here 👇
{future}(INITUSDT)
Long #INIT
Entry: 0.068 – 0.070
SL: 0.056
TP1: 0.088
TP2: 0.096
TP3: 0.122
$INIT s stabilizing after a prolonged sell-off, holding above a fresh demand base with sellers showing clear exhaustion. On one side, downside momentum has been fully absorbed at the lows; on the other, price is starting to expand away from support, signaling a shift in control. As long as this base holds, current consolidation favors a strong upside continuation rather than a renewed breakdown.
Trade $INIT here 👇
{future}(INITUSDT)
🔥 #Bitcoin Short Term MVRV hits historic support zone
$BTC is once again testing the Short Term MVRV support band, the same region that marked major cycle bottoms in 2016, 2019, 2020, and 2023.
Each touch of this green zone previously triggered strong demand absorption, aggressive dip buying, and multi month expansions. Now the metric is compressing near 1.0 again, signaling short term holders are back to breakeven where fear peaks and smart money accumulates
Red circles in past cycles aligned with breakdown risk and weak structure. Green clusters consistently preceded explosive rebound🚀
If history rhymes, this is not distribution. This is positioning. Capitulation creates opportunity.
#CryptoZeno #WhenWillBTCRebound
$BTC is once again testing the Short Term MVRV support band, the same region that marked major cycle bottoms in 2016, 2019, 2020, and 2023.
Each touch of this green zone previously triggered strong demand absorption, aggressive dip buying, and multi month expansions. Now the metric is compressing near 1.0 again, signaling short term holders are back to breakeven where fear peaks and smart money accumulates
Red circles in past cycles aligned with breakdown risk and weak structure. Green clusters consistently preceded explosive rebound🚀
If history rhymes, this is not distribution. This is positioning. Capitulation creates opportunity.
#CryptoZeno #WhenWillBTCRebound
#Gold at Extreme Liquidity Premium While #Bitcoin Trades at Deep Liquidity Discount - A Rare Relative Value Setup
Gold’s global liquidity oscillator is pushing toward +2σ, signaling historical overextension versus macro liquidity conditions.
Bitcoin’s liquidity oscillator is pressing into -2σ territory, reflecting extreme undervaluation relative to the same backdrop.
The BTC/Gold relative liquidity Z-score is now at cycle lows on one side gold is pricing tight liquidity as strength, on the other side $BTC is pricing it as stress. Mean reversion between these two has historically been violent.
#CryptoZeno #GoldSilverRally
Gold’s global liquidity oscillator is pushing toward +2σ, signaling historical overextension versus macro liquidity conditions.
Bitcoin’s liquidity oscillator is pressing into -2σ territory, reflecting extreme undervaluation relative to the same backdrop.
The BTC/Gold relative liquidity Z-score is now at cycle lows on one side gold is pricing tight liquidity as strength, on the other side $BTC is pricing it as stress. Mean reversion between these two has historically been violent.
#CryptoZeno #GoldSilverRally
🔥 $BTC Blood in the Streets or the Last Shakeout Before Liftoff
Every bull cycle tells the same story. Violent pullbacks, panic selling, then explosive continuation.
Data shows repeated mid cycle drawdowns of 20 to 40%, with occasional 50% flushes that wipe out leverage and force weak hands to exit. These are not breakdowns. They are fuel resets.
Structurally, #BTC still prints higher highs and higher lows. Corrections compress volatility, rebuild liquidity, and set the stage for the next expansion leg.
Historically, the deepest fear zones marked the best entries, not the top.
If this cycle follows the script, this is consolidation before acceleration, not the end.
#CryptoZeno #WhenWillBTCRebound
Every bull cycle tells the same story. Violent pullbacks, panic selling, then explosive continuation.
Data shows repeated mid cycle drawdowns of 20 to 40%, with occasional 50% flushes that wipe out leverage and force weak hands to exit. These are not breakdowns. They are fuel resets.
Structurally, #BTC still prints higher highs and higher lows. Corrections compress volatility, rebuild liquidity, and set the stage for the next expansion leg.
Historically, the deepest fear zones marked the best entries, not the top.
If this cycle follows the script, this is consolidation before acceleration, not the end.
#CryptoZeno #WhenWillBTCRebound
Only a small portion of $XPL supply is currently unlocked while the majority remains locked, structurally limiting immediate sell pressure as price continues to base near its lower range.
This controlled release dynamic keeps volatility compressed, with short-term behavior leaning more toward accumulation than expansion.
As network activity builds, @Plasma positions $XPL within a settlement-focused execution layer designed for stablecoin throughput across the #Plasma ecosystem.
This controlled release dynamic keeps volatility compressed, with short-term behavior leaning more toward accumulation than expansion.
As network activity builds, @Plasma positions $XPL within a settlement-focused execution layer designed for stablecoin throughput across the #Plasma ecosystem.
🔥 Web3 gaming is moving from experiments to real distribution, where infrastructure must support speed, scale and mainstream users rather than niche wallets
@Vanarchain builds its L1 specifically for this shift, powering products like Virtua Metaverse and the VGN games network with real traffic and brand integration
$VANRY fuels transactions and access across the ecosystem as #Vanar expands beyond pure speculation into usable platforms
@Vanarchain builds its L1 specifically for this shift, powering products like Virtua Metaverse and the VGN games network with real traffic and brand integration
$VANRY fuels transactions and access across the ecosystem as #Vanar expands beyond pure speculation into usable platforms
$BTC is below the peak of the 2021 bull market ~$69K.
An all-in purchase at the top would be underwater.
But a small weekly purchase of the same amount (dollar-cost averaging) starting at that point would be up ~67% today.
The DCA strategy is undefeated.
An all-in purchase at the top would be underwater.
But a small weekly purchase of the same amount (dollar-cost averaging) starting at that point would be up ~67% today.
The DCA strategy is undefeated.
#Silver Macro - Has the blow-off top already happened?
The current move shows clear vertical acceleration, similar to late-cycle phases seen in previous Silver peaks.
However, a true blow-off top is only confirmed after a sharp rejection and rapid unwind, not during the expansion itself.
Until Silver decisively loses its parabolic structure and fails back into prior range, this should be treated as late-cycle behavior rather than a confirmed top.
#CryptoZeno #GoldSilverRally
The current move shows clear vertical acceleration, similar to late-cycle phases seen in previous Silver peaks.
However, a true blow-off top is only confirmed after a sharp rejection and rapid unwind, not during the expansion itself.
Until Silver decisively loses its parabolic structure and fails back into prior range, this should be treated as late-cycle behavior rather than a confirmed top.
#CryptoZeno #GoldSilverRally
In the market, profits fluctuate, emotions follow, but discipline stays. Focusing on risk and consistency often matters more than being right on every move
Binance Angels
·
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We’re 150K+ strong. Now we want to hear from you.
Tell us What wisdom would you pass on to new traders? 💛 and win your share of $500 in USDC.
🔸 Follow @BinanceAngel square account
🔸 Like this post and repost
🔸 Comment What wisdom would you pass on to new traders? 💛
🔸 Fill out the survey: Fill in survey
Top 50 responses win. Creativity counts. Let your voice lead the celebration. 😇 #Binance
$BNB
{spot}(BNBUSDT)
Tell us What wisdom would you pass on to new traders? 💛 and win your share of $500 in USDC.
🔸 Follow @BinanceAngel square account
🔸 Like this post and repost
🔸 Comment What wisdom would you pass on to new traders? 💛
🔸 Fill out the survey: Fill in survey
Top 50 responses win. Creativity counts. Let your voice lead the celebration. 😇 #Binance
$BNB
{spot}(BNBUSDT)
Selling Pressure Fades as XPL Tests Structural Reversal Zone
After an extended downtrend post-listing, $XPL is beginning to show early signs of seller exhaustion as price stabilizes near its lower demand range.
Multiple reactions around the same support zone indicate that downside momentum is no longer impulsive. Recent candles formed long lower wicks, reflecting absorption rather than continuation a typical signal seen when markets transition from distribution to accumulation.
From a structure standpoint, price is attempting to establish its first higher low on the short timeframe. If this base holds and #XPL reclaims the nearby resistance cluster, a relief expansion could unfold quickly due to thin overhead liquidity left from the prior selloff.
This is where the broader narrative around #Plasma positioning starts to matter. As a settlement-focused Layer 1 optimized for stablecoin throughput, the infrastructure thesis behind @Plasma and its native asset $XPL adds contextual backing to the current price stabilization, especially as network design targets real payment flows rather than purely speculative activity.
On the supply side, unlock data shows the majority of tokens remain locked, keeping circulating float relatively constrained. With emission pressure still limited, any demand rotation could translate into sharper price responsiveness.
As volatility compresses near support while structural footing improves, XPL is entering a zone where reversal probability begins to outweigh continuation risk.
Multiple reactions around the same support zone indicate that downside momentum is no longer impulsive. Recent candles formed long lower wicks, reflecting absorption rather than continuation a typical signal seen when markets transition from distribution to accumulation.
From a structure standpoint, price is attempting to establish its first higher low on the short timeframe. If this base holds and #XPL reclaims the nearby resistance cluster, a relief expansion could unfold quickly due to thin overhead liquidity left from the prior selloff.
This is where the broader narrative around #Plasma positioning starts to matter. As a settlement-focused Layer 1 optimized for stablecoin throughput, the infrastructure thesis behind @Plasma and its native asset $XPL adds contextual backing to the current price stabilization, especially as network design targets real payment flows rather than purely speculative activity.
On the supply side, unlock data shows the majority of tokens remain locked, keeping circulating float relatively constrained. With emission pressure still limited, any demand rotation could translate into sharper price responsiveness.
As volatility compresses near support while structural footing improves, XPL is entering a zone where reversal probability begins to outweigh continuation risk.
A Quiet Base Is Forming on VANRY While Attention Starts Returning to Small Cap Setups
Price action on $VANRY has been compressing into a tight range after an extended decline, and this type of structure often signals exhaustion rather than continuation. Volatility is decreasing, candles are clustering near support, and repeated sell attempts are failing to push the price meaningfully lower. On lower timeframes, the range is getting narrower, suggesting supply is gradually being absorbed.
For traders, this phase usually matters more than sharp moves. Long consolidations near local lows tend to create asymmetric setups. Risk stays limited because downside is clearly defined, while any shift in momentum can trigger fast expansion. With smaller market cap assets, even moderate inflows can translate into outsized percentage moves. Once liquidity returns, breakouts rarely stay slow for long.
What makes the current situation more interesting is timing. Community activity is picking up, and the upcoming AMA with Binance adds a short term catalyst that can attract fresh visibility. Events like this often increase trading volume and participation, especially for projects that have been quietly building in the background. For low cap tokens, attention alone can significantly change order book dynamics.
Beyond the trading perspective, @Vanarchain continues developing Vanar Chain as a Layer 1 focused on entertainment, gaming, and consumer facing applications where transactions happen frequently and naturally. The network is designed for smooth execution and low friction so users can interact without technical barriers. Within the ecosystem, $VANRY is used for transfers, utility, and in platform activity across products, forming the operational backbone of the broader #Vanar environment.
When tight consolidation, small valuation, and new visibility line up at the same time, momentum can build faster than expected. For many traders, these are exactly the conditions where early positioning becomes interesting before expansion begins.
For traders, this phase usually matters more than sharp moves. Long consolidations near local lows tend to create asymmetric setups. Risk stays limited because downside is clearly defined, while any shift in momentum can trigger fast expansion. With smaller market cap assets, even moderate inflows can translate into outsized percentage moves. Once liquidity returns, breakouts rarely stay slow for long.
What makes the current situation more interesting is timing. Community activity is picking up, and the upcoming AMA with Binance adds a short term catalyst that can attract fresh visibility. Events like this often increase trading volume and participation, especially for projects that have been quietly building in the background. For low cap tokens, attention alone can significantly change order book dynamics.
Beyond the trading perspective, @Vanarchain continues developing Vanar Chain as a Layer 1 focused on entertainment, gaming, and consumer facing applications where transactions happen frequently and naturally. The network is designed for smooth execution and low friction so users can interact without technical barriers. Within the ecosystem, $VANRY is used for transfers, utility, and in platform activity across products, forming the operational backbone of the broader #Vanar environment.
When tight consolidation, small valuation, and new visibility line up at the same time, momentum can build faster than expected. For many traders, these are exactly the conditions where early positioning becomes interesting before expansion begins.
$BTC pumped to $71,000 yesterday liquidating $130M shorts.
Then, $BTC dumps straight back to $68,000 liquidating another $150M longs.
Now, above at $72,000 - $74,000 we still have large liquidity waiting to be taken.
However, at $66,000 - $68,000 we have even larger leveraged liquidity building up making this the higher-probability zone for a sweep next
Bears are attempting to regain control.
Then, $BTC dumps straight back to $68,000 liquidating another $150M longs.
Now, above at $72,000 - $74,000 we still have large liquidity waiting to be taken.
However, at $66,000 - $68,000 we have even larger leveraged liquidity building up making this the higher-probability zone for a sweep next
Bears are attempting to regain control.
နောက်ထပ်အကြောင်းအရာများကို စူးစမ်းလေ့လာရန် အကောင့်ဝင်ပါ