Trader, Certified Technical Analyst since Jan 2015. Called the market Tops and Bottom publicly since 2019. Am here to help. Follow me on Twitter @Cryptorphic
It’s been a while since I last posted here. Most of the detailed breakdowns have been shared inside the Futures Premium, and I guess those with an active subscription are printing regardless of the market conditions.
Now coming to the important part — there has been a major shift across the altcoin market structure, and the charts are starting to look very interesting.
The resemblance between the current setup and the previous accumulation-to-reversal phase is honestly uncanny. See it for yourself.
From a technical perspective, the TOTAL2 chart is showing a very similar structure to the previous cycle:
* A prolonged downtrend followed by compression under a descending resistance. * Reclaim of key moving averages after a period of heavy consolidation. * Multiple successful defenses of the support zone around the $1T market cap region. * Declining bearish momentum while volume slowly starts returning.
What’s even more interesting is how the current price action mirrors the previous breakout structure almost candle for candle. In the last cycle, a similar rounded accumulation phase around the EMAs eventually led to a strong expansion move across altcoins.
Right now, altcoins are attempting to break out of the descending trendline while holding above the 100/200 EMA cluster. If this breakout confirms with sustained volume, the next major targets sit around:
* $1.17T * $1.21T * $1.40T * Eventually $1.68T market cap resistance.
As long as TOTAL2 holds above the $1T psychological support, the probability of a broader altcoin reversal remains strong.
The market still looks messy on lower timeframes, liquidity hunts are everywhere, and volatility remains brutal — but structurally, this is the first time in months that altcoins are showing signs of genuine strength rather than just relief bounces.
Patience is key here. The biggest moves usually begin when most participants are still expecting another collapse.
IMX finally broke above the major descending resistance and is now trying to hold that breakout. Price is showing strong momentum after weeks of compression, and buyers are starting to step in aggressively.
As long as IMX stays above this breakout zone, the structure looks bullish and continuation towards higher levels becomes likely. RSI is also pushing higher, showing growing strength behind the move.
Right now, this breakout zone is the key level to watch. If bulls hold it, IMX could see a strong expansion move from here. 👀
$USDT : Well, you knew the levels, and if you followed them, you should be safe. If you FOMO’d in, take this as a lesson, chasing green candles often comes at an expensive cost.
$BTC : Rejected from the 200 EMA on the daily chart. $76,022 is a key Fibonacci level, aligning with the 100 EMA, a zone that has historically acted as a strong support area for Bitcoin.
For those wondering whether to lean bullish or bearish, let me be clear:
As long as this conflict continues, markets are likely to remain unstable, not one-directional. Right now, a more tactical approach makes sense. Short-term positioning and disciplined risk management matter more than long-term conviction on most assets. Many projects struggle to sustain value as narratives shift quickly with each cycle.
This isn’t the same “buy and hold” environment, it has changed significantly. I’ll be sharing a detailed article tomorrow on how to approach and trade in these market conditions.
$USDT Update: Clear battle between bulls and bears here. The 7.20%–7.01% zone remains a key support cluster. A confirmed breakdown below this level could open the door for further upside in BTC. Until that happens, this move still looks like a liquidity grab rather than a sustained trend.
There’s significant short liquidation stacked around $81,540, which could act as a magnet if momentum builds.
For now, I’m leaning for scalps deploying size, but with strict stop losses. In and out, no overexposure.
Waiting for a clean directional break.
In this market, patience pays more than prediction.
#ETH Vai šis scenārijs tev nāk prātā? Ko ja...\n\n$ETH krīt zem $3,000, varbūt $2700, un visi domā, ka viss ir beidzies. Tad, tieši kad visi ir pārliecināti, ka lāči ir uzvarējuši, ETH atgūstas, izsistot skeptiķus, kamēr lielākā daļa cilvēku paliek malā. Tikmēr Tether un Bitcoin dominances indekss rāda optimistiskus kustības, bet pēkšņi sāk drukāt negatīvus ikdienas slēgumus.\n\nAltcoinus sāk atkal pumpēt. Lai noslēptu to, kas patiesībā notiek, tu sāksi redzēt dažus optimistiskus virsrakstus par kādu nejaušu uzņēmumu, kam nav nekā kopīga ar kriptovalūtu. Klasika.\n\nKāds ir tavs viedoklis par to?\n\n#Ethereum \n\n
$BTC ir atkārtota apakšējā atbalsta tendences līnija, kas turas kopš aprīļa, tagad darbojas kā pretestība 23, 2025. Lai iedarbotos bullish kustība, Bitcoin ir jānoslēdz virs šī līmeņa.
Laba daļa, nav jaunu zemāku līmeņu zem $107,255. Paskatieties tālāk, un jūs redzēsiet, ka struktūra joprojām ir neskarta.
Galvenais signāls: atgūt un turēt virs $113.5K. Viss joprojām sakrīt spēcīgai sākumam #Uptober.
$BTC Atjauninājums: Ikdienas slēgšana pie $112,870, izlaušanās zem $115K atbalsta. Nākamais svarīgais līmenis ir ap $110.5K, kas atbilst 100 EMA.
Kamēr BTC ir krities tikai par 2.92% šodien, altcoins cīnās, lai noturētu savus līmeņus.
Tieši tāpēc es jau divas nedēļas saku, ka jādodas prom no kreditēšanas darījumiem. Jūsu kapitāla aizsardzība, paliekot prom no riskantiem darījumiem, ir tikpat vērtīga kā peļņas gūšana. Ja jūs sekojāt, jūs esat drošībā. Atcerieties, FOMO nekad nenodrošina peļņu; tas tikai palielina zaudējumus.
Nav nepieciešams panikā. Šis atsitiens ir pagaidu, un es rīt dalīšos ar jauniem atjauninājumiem. Lielā bilde nav beigusies, jums vienkārši jābūt izvēlīgam un jāiekļaujas pareizajās iespējās nākamo mēnešu laikā ar atlaidi.
Sekojiet līdzi, sekojiet, ja vēl neesat, un pārbaudiet manu Telegram (saite biogrāfijā) par nākotnes iestatījumiem un dziļāku ieskatu.
$BTC is testē 115K atbalsta zonu. Turpinot šo līmeni, saglabājas bullīska struktūra. Ja tas tiks pārkāpts, sagaidāms dziļāks korekcijas kustība uz zemākām likviditātes zonām.
Vai vēlies uzzināt, kur varētu būt vietējā apakšējā robeža $BTC ?
Iespējams, ka tā ir starp 112 000 $ – 113 000 $, tas ir galvenais likviditātes zonas un arī sakrīt ar tīru ikdienas FVG. Augsta sakritības zona. Man ir divi scenāriji šeit. Skatīties, kā cena reaģē tur.