August 16: The U.S. Treasury’s reliance on short-term debt is on the rise. Currently, U.S. Treasury bills account for 21% of the market for tradable Treasury securities—nearing the highest level since 2020, when borrowing surged during the pandemic. This figure is far above the 10–15% range observed between 2012 and 2019. By contrast, during the 2008 financial crisis, this proportion reached roughly 34%.
Meanwhile, the U.S. government is becoming increasingly dependent on short-term Treasuries to meet its growing borrowing needs rather than on long-term bonds. If the Treasury continues issuing long-term debt at its current pace before fiscal year 2027, Treasuries would make up 25% of total debt—the highest level since 2004. However, this approach increases the risk that the government will face volatility in short-term interest rates. If rates keep rising—or rise again—debt repayment costs would become harder to bear. The U.S. debt crisis is unfolding in full.
Believe in the power of compounding Recently, I’ve been studying U.S. stocks. The more I research, the more it feels like internet entrepreneurship and investing are especially similar. Why does Buffett always emphasize compounding? Because what’s truly terrifying about compounding isn’t the first year—it’s the many years that come after. Many people think: someone else already has one million, and I only have a hundred thousand—how can I catch up? Actually, that’s an illusion. What truly determines the future is never the principal amount, but the rate of return. If a person with one million earns 10% in a year, that’s 100,000 gained. If a person with a hundred thousand earns 100% in a year, that’s also 100,000 gained. By the second year, the gap between them starts to shrink. Many excellent funds, small companies, and entrepreneurs grow so fast in the early stages—not because their foundation is thick, but because their growth rate is far higher than the industry average. The same is true for the internet. A marketing account with 100,000 followers might gain 1,000 followers per month. A new account might gain 5,000 followers per month. Even though the gap is huge right now, as long as the growth rate keeps being faster, the gap will become smaller and smaller. What truly determines the future isn’t how much you have now—it’s how fast you’re growing.
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CMC data shows LINK around $9.33, with a bullish technical structure, but momentum is getting stretched.
RSI 14: 71.73 → overbought zone
MACD: bullish, histogram +0.1066
7D SMA: $8.74
30D SMA: $8.44
200D SMA: $8.79
Pivot: $9.38
Resistance: $9.72
Fib 127.2%: $10.21
Fib 161.8%: $10.84
Support: $9.29 / $9.02 / $8.81
🚀 Breakout plan
Long trigger: $9.72+ with strong volume TP1: $10.21 TP2: $10.84 TP3: $11.53 SL: below $9.29 for an aggressive setup, or below $9.02 for wider risk.
Current bias: 🟢 Bullish, but don't chase. LINK has already moved strongly, so the safer entry is a confirmed breakout/retest rather than buying directly into the resistance zone.
BIO is showing strong bullish momentum after a 27.6% 24H move.
Price is above all major EMAs, MACD remains positive, and a volume spike confirms strong buying pressure. RSI at 69.96 is bullish but approaching overbought territory.