šÆšµ Japan Rate Decision Incoming ā Why BTCās Reaction Could Be Very Different This Time šāæ

Japanās interest rate decision is taking center stage tomorrow šā³. One thing history makes very clear: markets donāt move on the news itself ā they move on expectations ā”š.
We saw this last time š. When Japan delivered an unexpected rate hike, Bitcoin reacted violently, crashing from $62,000 straight down to $49,590 š„šµ. The issue wasnāt the hike ā it was the surprise.
This time, the setup looks very different šš§ . The rate decision has been widely discussed, and much of the risk is already priced in š”. Most traders are positioned on the short side š»š, with clear downside liquidity sitting below the market š§.
When the crowd expects the same outcome, the probability of a major crash usually decreases āļø.
š Possible BTC Scenarios (Short-Term):
Initial pullback zone: $80,200
Liquidity sweep area: $78,500
Worst-case shakeout: $74,500 ā ļø
Beyond these levels, market structure favors a bounce šš„. In a recovery phase, $89,500 becomes a strong upside magnet šš.
š® Looking ahead, next weekās liquidity map and broader market structure point toward a potential move into the $101,500 zone šš.
At @Crypto_LUX, the focus remains on positioning, liquidity, and market impact ā not emotional headlines or panic š§ ā.
š Direction matters more than fear.
Have a different view or questions? Drop a comment below šš¬
Stay sharp ā”