tradinganalytics

Atjauninājums no 2025-06-28, pamatojoties uz kopienas tirdzniecības datiem:

• Vidējā uzvaru likme ir 44.10%.

• Augstākā uzvaru likme notika 2025-04-27 ar 57.78%, bet zemākā bija 2025-03-28 ar 29.38%.

• Diena ar augstāko vidējo uzvaru likmi ir piektdiena ar 45.13%, bet zemākā ir pirmdiena ar 43.24%.

• Labākā 7 dienu sērija beidzās 2025-04-27, ar vidējo uzvaru likmi 52.18%. Sliktākā 7 dienu sērija beidzās 2025-03-12, vidēji 36.64%.

• Bija 175 dienas ar virs vidējām uzvaru likmēm un 185 dienas zem vidējām.

• Dienas ar uzvaru likmi virs 50%: 41. Starp 40% un 50%: 243. Zem 40%: 76.

#WinRateStats #TradingAnalytics #CommunityData

Update 2025-11-01, community-wide trading data:


🔹 The average win rate is 44.99%.

🔹 The highest daily win rate is 2025-07-20 at 65.03%. The lowest is 2025-03-28 at 29.38%.

🔹 The day of the week with the highest average win rate is Saturday at 45.66%. The lowest average is Monday at 44.31%.

🔹 The 7-day window with the highest average win rate ended on 2025-07-22 at 56.98%. The lowest window ended on 2025-03-12 at 36.64%.

🔹 Number of days with an above-average win rate: 229. Number of days at or below average: 258.

🔹 Number of days with a win rate above 50%: 84. Between 40%–50%: 311. Below 40%: 92.


#CommunityStats #TradingAnalytics

📊 WIN RATE & FEAR & GREED INDEX (FGI) ANALYSIS – updated through 2025-09-20

Community daily win-rate data shows a very weak FGI–win rate correlation (≈ -0.07). Win rate does not move linearly with FGI; the “Extreme Greed” phase remains the riskiest for performance.

🔍 Quick take

In Fear (20–<40) and Neutral (40–60), performance hovers around the average, with Neutral slightly higher. Greed (60–<80) shows no clear improvement. Extreme Greed (≥80) drags win rate down notably. Extreme Fear (<20) has a small sample, so treat it as indicative only.

📉 Average win rate by FGI band (with day counts)

😨 Extreme Fear (<20): 45.93% — n=5

😟 Fear (20–<40): 44.91% — n=92

😐 Neutral (40–60): 45.29% — n=118

😃 Greed (60–<80): 44.95% — n=205

🤑 Extreme Greed (≥80): 40.52% — n=25 (lowest)

Share of days beating the 44.80% average win rate by band:

Extreme Fear 60.00% • Fear 52.17% • Neutral 52.54% • Greed 47.32% • Extreme Greed 12.00%.

This reinforces that “Extreme Greed” is where discipline matters most; Fear/Neutral tend to deliver relatively stable, around-average outcomes.

📈 Implications for scalping

➤ FGI ≥80: lower TP expectations, tighten SL, favor partial/early takes when momentum weakens.

➤ FGI 20–<80: stick to R:R discipline; avoid stretching TP due to FOMO (differences across Fear/Neutral/Greed aren’t large enough to justify a wholesale strategy change).

➤ FGI <20: limited sample—handle cautiously; keep risk management front and center.

#TradingAnalytics #MarketSentiment

📊 Update 2025-09-20, community-wide trading data:

🔹 The average win rate is 44.80%

🔹 The highest daily win rate is on 2025-07-20 at 65.03%. The lowest is on 2025-03-28 at 29.38%

🔹 The weekday with the highest average win rate is Friday at 45.54%. The lowest is Monday at 44.02%

🔹 The 7-day period with the highest average win rate ends on 2025-07-22 at 56.98%. The lowest ends on 2025-03-12 at 36.64%

🔹 Days with above-average win rates: 213. Days with win rates at or below average: 232

🔹 Days with win rate above 50%: 69. Between 40%–50%: 289. Below 40%: 87

#TradingAnalytics #WinRate