nfp

Virsraksts: Bitcoin zaudē galveno atbalstu pie $67,300, kamēr Volstrīta tur elpu par Nefarmu algām (NFP).
Saskaņā ar FXStreet ziņojumu, mēs esam priekšā bīstamai novirzei: cena krītas, bet iestādes turpina pirkt.
1. Tehniskā situācija (Slikti)
Atbalsta plīsums: BTC tiek tirgots zem konsolidācijas "grīdas" ($67,300). Ja diena beidzas tā, durvis veras uz $60,000.
Negaidīti rādītāji: RSI ir 37 (lāči kontrolē) un MACD tikko ir krustojies uz leju. Grafika 4 stundu laikā nav redzama tūlītēja pirkšanas spēka.

Nefarmu algas var atjaunot zelta pieaugumu, tālāk samazinot zaļo dolāru

Stāsts

Īpaša iesildīšanās – Visi acis ir uz ASV Nefarmu algām (NFP), kas tiks publicētas šodien, trešdien, neparastā laikā šim rādītājam. Tas ir īslaicīgas valdības slēgšanas rezultāts. Notikumi pirms šīs publikācijas bija arī neparasti: Baltais nams padomnieks Kevins Hasets norādīja, ka skaitļi būs vāji, samazinot gaidas. Neseni ekonomiskie dati ir parādījuši atrofiju pasaules lielākajā ekonomikā, ar jaunākajiem mazumtirdzniecības pārdošanas datiem, kas liecina, ka indekss decembrī 2025 palika nemainīgs.

NFP Januari 2026 (+130,000 jobs, unemployment rate 4.3%) ini beat ekspektasi (konsensus ~70K jobs, previous ~48K direvisi turun). Artinya labor market AS lebih kuat dari yang ditakutkan, meski ada benchmark revision besar yang nunjukin 2025 lebih lemah (job growth tahun lalu direvisi turun signifikan).
Ini implikasinya buat saham dan crypto (ringkas + detail, fokus reaksi pasar pasca-release):
Untuk Saham (Stock Market, terutama US indices seperti S&P 500, Dow, Nasdaq)
Reaksi umum: Mixed to slightly negative jangka pendek. Kenapa? Karena data "stronger than expected" → kurangi peluang Fed cut rate cepat (March cut odds turun tajam). The Fed kemungkinan hold lebih lama atau cut lebih lambat → yields naik, USD kuat → tekanan ke risk assets seperti saham (terutama growth/tech stocks yang sensitif rate tinggi).
S&P 500 / Nasdaq: Cenderung volatile turun awal (sell on news), karena "good news is bad" lagi (ekonomi kuat = rate tinggi lebih lama = valuasi saham mahal terancam). Tapi kalau wage growth tetap lambat (seperti +3.6% YoY), bisa batasi downside.
Sector impact:
Cyclical (financials, industri) bisa naik sedikit (ekonomi kuat).
Tech/growth (Magnificent 7) tekanan jual karena higher-for-longer rates.
Overall outlook: Tidak langsung crash, tapi momentum bullish 2026 bisa pause. Pasar pricing Fed hold sampai Juni/September, bukan cut agresif. Kalau revision 2025 bikin narasi "labor cooling overall", upside saham bisa balik.
Untuk Crypto (Bitcoin, Ethereum, altcoins)
Reaksi umum: Bearish/short-term pressure. Crypto sangat sensitif risk-on/risk-off + USD strength.
USD kuat (DXY rebound) → tekanan jual ke BTC/ETH (karena crypto priced in USD, USD naik = crypto lebih mahal buat buyer non-USD).
Kurangnya rate cut cepat → kurangi liquidity murah → risk appetite turun → crypto drop (sering amplify gerak saham).
Bitcoin (BTC): Cenderung turun pasca-release (bisa test support $80K–$85K kalau momentum bearish), karena correlation tinggi dengan equities + USD. Kalau DXY push ke 99+, BTC bisa volatile lebih dalam.
Ethereum (ETH) & altcoins: Lebih sensitif lagi (beta lebih tinggi), sering drop lebih dalam daripada BTC.
Positive side: Kalau wage growth lemah (inflasi tenaga kerja cooling), bisa batasi downside. Crypto kadang rebound kalau narasi "Fed cut eventually" tetap hidup.
Ringkasan cepat implikasi trading
USD: Bullish (DXY rebound ke 98–99 area).
Saham US: Volatile, bias downside jangka pendek (S&P test lower range ~6,800–6,900 kalau sell-off).
Crypto: Bearish pressure (BTC/ETH bisa -3% sampai -8% intraday/post-release, tergantung volume).
Emas: Turun (karena USD kuat + yields naik).
#NFP #BTC

$BTC
$USDC

The latest U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report delivered a major upside surprise, sending shockwaves across traditional and digital asset markets. A significantly stronger-than-expected jobs print reinforced the resilience of the U.S. economy — but it also complicated expectations around Federal Reserve rate cuts.For crypto traders, a “blowout” NFP report is more than just a macro headline. It can reshape liquidity expectations, shift risk appetite, and trigger sharp volatility across Bitcoin and altcoins.What Happened?The U.S. economy added far more jobs than economists anticipated, while unemployment either held steady or declined. Wage growth remained firm, signaling continued strength in the labor market.A strong labor report typically suggests:The economy remains resilientInflationary pressures could persistThe Federal Reserve may delay interest rate cutsImmediately following the release, U.S. Treasury yields surged and the U.S. dollar strengthened — classic reactions to a hawkish macro surprise.Why NFP Matters for CryptoCrypto markets are deeply connected to global liquidity conditions. When rate cuts appear less likely, risk assets often face short-term pressure. Higher yields make traditional assets like bonds more attractive relative to speculative investments such as cryptocurrencies.Short-Term ImpactBitcoin often experiences sharp volatility within minutes of the releaseLeverage gets flushed as liquidations spikeAltcoins tend to amplify BTC’s directional moveIf markets interpret the data as “higher rates for longer,” risk assets may initially pull back.Medium-Term PerspectiveHowever, a strong labor market also signals economic stability. In some cases, once initial rate fears subside, investors rotate back into growth and risk assets — including crypto — especially if inflation continues trending lower.Liquidity, Rates, and Crypto CorrelationOver the past two years, Bitcoin has shown strong correlation with:U.S. real yieldsDollar strength (DXY)Fed policy expectationsA blowout NFP generally:Pushes yields higherStrengthens the dollarPressures BTC in the short termBut context matters. If inflation data cools in subsequent reports, markets may reprice rate expectations again.How Traders Can RespondExpect volatility around NFP releases (typically first Friday of each month).Manage leverage carefully — liquidations often spike.Watch bond yields and DXY for directional confirmation.Avoid emotional trading during the initial reaction spike.Macro-driven volatility often creates opportunity — but only for disciplined traders.Bigger PictureWhile short-term price action may turn reactive, the long-term crypto thesis remains centered on adoption, institutional flows, and structural liquidity cycles.A single strong NFP report doesn’t change the broader digital asset narrative — but it can temporarily reshape market structure.As always, traders should balance macro awareness with risk management#USNFPB#Binance #Binance #NFP #CryptoMarketSentiment😬📉📈 #cryptotrading