"Hamare yahan jab kisi larki ke liye ladka dekhne jaate hain na to sabse pehle uska pura background aur past pata karte hain... Bilkul yahi cheez Bitcoin ke saath bhi hai."
1. Bitcoin ka chakkar (Cycle):
· Bitcoin baar-baar girtā (crash) hai, phir wapas aata hai. Har crash ke baad ye pehle se zyada mazboot hokar wapas aaya hai.
2. Mukhya crash aur recovery ka itihaas:
· 2011: $29 se girkar $2 (84% giraavat). Phir 2013 tak $1000 pahuncha. 2013-2015: $1150 se girkar $170 (85% giraavat). Phir 2017 mein $20000 pahuncha. 2017-2018: $20000 se girkar $3200 (84% giraavat). Phir 2021 mein $69000 pahuncha. 2021-2022: $69000 se girkar $15500 (77% giraavat). Phir 2025 mein $1,25,000 (lagbhag ₹1 crore) pahuncha.
3. Samaan pattern:
· Har 4 saal baad halving hoti hai. Crash aam taur par 70-85% tak hota hai. Recovery mein 2-3 saal lagte hain, par naya all-time high pichhle record se 3-5 guna zyada hota hai. Har crash ke baad media "Bitcoin mar gaya" ki headline deta hai.
4. Safal aur asafal niveshak ka farq:
· Haarne wale: Peak par kharidte hain, dar/panic mein bech dete hain. Jeetne wale: Giraavat (bottom) par kharidte hain, lambe samay tak hold karte hain, dhairya rakhte hain.
5. Giraavat ke samay kya karein:
· Panic mein na bechein. DCA (Dollar Cost Averaging / Rupya averaging) karein: Chhote-chhote hisson mein nivesh karte rahein. Keval wahi paisa lagayein jiske doobne ka risk utha saken (kabhi loan ya emergency fund na lagayein). Diversify karein (stocks, gold, real estate bhi rakhein).
6. Bitcoin ki moolbhut taqat:
· Seemit aapurti (kul 21 million). Badhta hua apnaan (adoption) aur sansthagat nivesh.
7. Saavadhaani:
· Bitcoin "raaton-raat ameer banne" ki yojna nahi hai, ye ek marathon hai.
#RiskAssetsMarketShock #MarketCorrection #WhenWillBTCRebound #BitcoinCyclePeak #WarshFedPolicyOutlook $BTC